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How to Read American Sports Betting Odds
American odds are the standard format on US sportsbooks. They come in two shapes: negative numbers (favorites) and positive numbers (underdogs).
Negative odds: -110, -160, -350. - The number tells you how much you risk to win $100. - -110 means risk $110 to win $100. - -160 means risk $160 to win $100.
Positive odds: +120, +220, +500. - The number tells you how much you win on a $100 risk. - +120 means risk $100 to win $120. - +500 means risk $100 to win $500.
Decimal odds (used in Europe and most data providers): - Decimal = (American positive / 100) + 1, or (100 / American negative absolute value) + 1. - -110 American = 1.91 decimal. - +120 American = 2.20 decimal. - Decimal odds × bet = total return (including stake).
Converting odds to implied probability: - Negative: abs(odds) / (abs(odds) + 100). - Positive: 100 / (odds + 100). - -110 implies 52.4%. +120 implies 45.5%.
The vig: - A "-110 / -110" market implies 52.4% on each side. Sum = 104.8%. - That extra 4.8% above 100% is the sportsbook's hold (vig). - True probability is the implied probability divided by the sum, so 52.4 / 104.8 = 50% on each side.
Reduced juice books: - Pinnacle, BetOnline, lowvig.ag run thinner margins (often 102-103% combined). - Their lines are closer to true probability — that's why sharp bettors use them as their reference, not their bet ticket.
CleverBet uses Pinnacle's de-vigged price as the sharp anchor. Every pick is scored against it. Soft-book mispricings versus the sharp anchor become +EV plays.
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Moneyline is the cleanest bet on the board. Pick the winner straight up. The math under the hood matters more than people think.
Convert Sports Betting Odds to Implied Probability
Implied probability tells you what win rate the sportsbook thinks each side has. De-vig it, and you have the closest thing to true probability.
What Is Positive EV in Sports Betting?
Positive expected value (+EV) is the only thing that wins long-term in sports betting. Math, not feelings.