Slick's track record

Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9

Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.

Backtested record · Not live picks

Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.

Methodology

Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.

Backtested record

Sep 2024 → Apr 2025

+101.77u

50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41

Live record

Begins May 9, 2026

1 graded · sample too small to publish

Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.

NCAAF

New for 2026

NBA

Live picks daily

NFL backtest

268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI

+43.05u · backtested

NCAA Basketball backtest

320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI

+28.70u · backtested

PGA backtest

110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI

+30.02u · backtested

Backtest LiveAll NFL NBA PGA NCAAF NCAAB

All Wins Losses PushesAll 1u 2u 3u

Scope

Backtest Live

Sport

All NFL NBA PGA NCAA Football NCAA Basketball

Result

All Wins Losses Pushes

Confidence

All 1u 2u 3u

Sun, Feb 9·NFL

Philadelphia Eagles ML

Kansas City Chiefs @ Philadelphia Eagles · Chiefs 22, Eagles 40

FD+2201.00u

+2.20u

Sun, Feb 2·NFL

Over 137.0

AFC @ NFC

BMGM-1091.00u

+0.92u

Sun, Jan 26·NFL

Under 61.0

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs · Bills 29, Chiefs 32

CZR-1091.00u

0.00u

Sun, Jan 26·NFL

Washington Commanders +38.5

Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles · Commanders 23, Eagles 55

BMGM-1091.00u

+0.92u

Sun, Jan 19·NFL

Buffalo Bills -2.0

Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills · Ravens 25, Bills 27

BMGM-1142.00u

0.00u

Sun, Jan 19·NFL

Philadelphia Eagles ML

Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles · Rams 22, Eagles 28

BMGM+1651.00u

+1.65u

Sat, Jan 18·NFL

Kansas City Chiefs -12.5

Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs · Texans 14, Chiefs 23

CZR-1111.00u

-1.00u

Mon, Jan 13·NFL

Under 45.0

Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams · Vikings 9, Rams 27

FD-1061.00u

+0.94u

Sun, Jan 12·NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.0

Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Commanders 23, Buccaneers 20

CZR-1052.00u

0.00u

Sun, Jan 12·NFL

Under 33.0

Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles · Packers 10, Eagles 22

FD-1101.00u

+0.91u

Sun, Jan 12·NFL

Denver Broncos +22.0

Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills · Broncos 7, Bills 31

CZR-1062.00u

-2.00u

Sat, Jan 11·NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers ML

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens · Steelers 14, Ravens 28

BMGM+2371.00u

-1.00u

Sat, Jan 11·NFL

Los Angeles Chargers ML

Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans · Chargers 12, Texans 32

DK+1132.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Detroit Lions -20.5

Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions · Vikings 9, Lions 31

CZR-1102.00u

+1.82u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Denver Broncos -41.5

Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos · Chiefs 0, Broncos 38

DK-1091.00u

+0.92u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Over 59.0

Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders · Chargers 34, Raiders 20

BMGM-1141.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Under 64.0

Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams · Seahawks 30, Rams 25

CZR-1051.00u

+0.95u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

New York Jets -11.5

Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets · Dolphins 20, Jets 32

FD-1101.00u

+0.91u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Over 64.0

San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals · 49ers 24, Cardinals 47

FD-1051.00u

+0.95u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Carolina Panthers -7.0

Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons · Panthers 44, Falcons 38

DK-1113.00u

+2.70u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Washington Commanders -3.5

Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys · Commanders 23, Cowboys 19

CZR-1122.00u

+1.79u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Green Bay Packers +2.0

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers · Bears 24, Packers 22

CZR-1101.00u

0.00u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Houston Texans -8.5

Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans · Texans 23, Titans 14

CZR-1151.00u

+0.87u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars +1.0

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts · Jaguars 23, Colts 26

CZR-1151.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Buffalo Bills +9.5

Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots · Bills 16, Patriots 23

FD-1121.00u

+0.89u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Philadelphia Eagles ML

New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles · Giants 13, Eagles 20

CZR+2461.00u

+2.46u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6.5

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Saints 19, Buccaneers 27

CZR-1052.00u

+1.90u

Sat, Jan 4·NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers -0.5

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Bengals 19, Steelers 17

DK-1091.00u

-1.00u

Sat, Jan 4·NFL

Under 42.5

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens · Browns 10, Ravens 35

CZR-1152.00u

-2.00u

Mon, Dec 30·NFL

Detroit Lions -7.0

Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49ers · Lions 40, 49ers 34

CZR-1051.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Dec 29·NFL

Washington Commanders -7.0

Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Commanders · Falcons 24, Commanders 30

FD-1061.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Dec 29·NFL

Minnesota Vikings -4.0

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings · Packers 25, Vikings 27

DK-1052.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Dec 29·NFL

Cleveland Browns ML

Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns · Dolphins 20, Browns 3

BMGM+1782.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Dec 29·NFL

New Orleans Saints +13.0

Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints · Raiders 25, Saints 10

BMGM-1071.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Dec 29·NFL

New York Giants -9.0

Indianapolis Colts @ New York Giants · Colts 33, Giants 45

FD-1061.00u

+0.94u

Sun, Dec 29·NFL

Philadelphia Eagles -33.0

Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles · Cowboys 7, Eagles 41

BMGM-1071.00u

+0.93u

Sun, Dec 29·NFL

Over 63.0

Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Panthers 14, Buccaneers 48

BMGM-1091.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Dec 29·NFL

Tennessee Titans +8.0

Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Titans 13, Jaguars 20

DK-1072.00u

+1.87u

Sat, Dec 28·NFL

Los Angeles Rams -1.5

Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams · Cardinals 9, Rams 13

BMGM-1081.00u

+0.93u

Sat, Dec 28·NFL

Under 54.5

Denver Broncos @ Cincinnati Bengals · Broncos 24, Bengals 30

DK-1062.00u

+1.89u

Sat, Dec 28·NFL

New England Patriots +33.5

Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots · Chargers 40, Patriots 7

CZR-1091.00u

+0.92u

Thu, Dec 26·NFL

Chicago Bears ML

Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears · Seahawks 6, Bears 3

BMGM+1961.00u

-1.00u

Wed, Dec 25·NFL

Kansas City Chiefs -23.5

Kansas City Chiefs @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Chiefs 29, Steelers 10

CZR-1141.00u

-1.00u

Mon, Dec 23·NFL

Over 38.0

New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers · Saints 0, Packers 34

FD-1081.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Dec 22·NFL

Under 49.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys · Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 26

BMGM-1143.00u

-3.00u

Sun, Dec 22·NFL

Buffalo Bills ML

New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills · Patriots 21, Bills 24

FD+1931.00u

+1.93u

Sun, Dec 22·NFL

San Francisco 49ers +14.5

San Francisco 49ers @ Miami Dolphins · 49ers 17, Dolphins 29

FD-1142.00u

+1.75u

Sun, Dec 22·NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars +4.0

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Las Vegas Raiders · Jaguars 14, Raiders 19

DK-1081.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Dec 22·NFL

Under 53.0

Minnesota Vikings @ Seattle Seahawks · Vikings 27, Seahawks 24

BMGM-1153.00u

+2.61u

Sun, Dec 22·NFL

Detroit Lions -17.0

Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears · Lions 34, Bears 17

DK-1141.00u

0.00u

Date	Sport	Matchup	Pick	Book	Odds	Units	P/L
Sun, Feb 9	NFL	Kansas City Chiefs @ Philadelphia Eagles Chiefs 22, Eagles 40	Philadelphia Eagles ML Moneyline	FD	+220	1.00u	+2.20u	W
Sun, Feb 2	NFL	AFC @ NFC	Over 137.0 Total · O 137.0	BMGM	-109	1.00u	+0.92u	W
Sun, Jan 26	NFL	Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs Bills 29, Chiefs 32	Under 61.0 Total · U 61.0	CZR	-109	1.00u	0.00u	P
Sun, Jan 26	NFL	Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles Commanders 23, Eagles 55	Washington Commanders +38.5 Spread · +38.5	BMGM	-109	1.00u	+0.92u	W
Sun, Jan 19	NFL	Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills Ravens 25, Bills 27	Buffalo Bills -2.0 Spread · -2.0	BMGM	-114	2.00u	0.00u	P
Sun, Jan 19	NFL	Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles Rams 22, Eagles 28	Philadelphia Eagles ML Moneyline	BMGM	+165	1.00u	+1.65u	W
Sat, Jan 18	NFL	Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs Texans 14, Chiefs 23	Kansas City Chiefs -12.5 Spread · -12.5	CZR	-111	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Mon, Jan 13	NFL	Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams Vikings 9, Rams 27	Under 45.0 Total · U 45.0	FD	-106	1.00u	+0.94u	W
Sun, Jan 12	NFL	Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Commanders 23, Buccaneers 20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.0 Spread · +3.0	CZR	-105	2.00u	0.00u	P
Sun, Jan 12	NFL	Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles Packers 10, Eagles 22	Under 33.0 Total · U 33.0	FD	-110	1.00u	+0.91u	W
Sun, Jan 12	NFL	Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills Broncos 7, Bills 31	Denver Broncos +22.0 Spread · +22.0	CZR	-106	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sat, Jan 11	NFL	Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens Steelers 14, Ravens 28	Pittsburgh Steelers ML Moneyline	BMGM	+237	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sat, Jan 11	NFL	Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans Chargers 12, Texans 32	Los Angeles Chargers ML Moneyline	DK	+113	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions Vikings 9, Lions 31	Detroit Lions -20.5 Spread · -20.5	CZR	-110	2.00u	+1.82u	W
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Chiefs 0, Broncos 38	Denver Broncos -41.5 Spread · -41.5	DK	-109	1.00u	+0.92u	W
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders Chargers 34, Raiders 20	Over 59.0 Total · O 59.0	BMGM	-114	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams Seahawks 30, Rams 25	Under 64.0 Total · U 64.0	CZR	-105	1.00u	+0.95u	W
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets Dolphins 20, Jets 32	New York Jets -11.5 Spread · -11.5	FD	-110	1.00u	+0.91u	W
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals 49ers 24, Cardinals 47	Over 64.0 Total · O 64.0	FD	-105	1.00u	+0.95u	W
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons Panthers 44, Falcons 38	Carolina Panthers -7.0 Spread · -7.0	DK	-111	3.00u	+2.70u	W
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys Commanders 23, Cowboys 19	Washington Commanders -3.5 Spread · -3.5	CZR	-112	2.00u	+1.79u	W
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Bears 24, Packers 22	Green Bay Packers +2.0 Spread · +2.0	CZR	-110	1.00u	0.00u	P
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans Texans 23, Titans 14	Houston Texans -8.5 Spread · -8.5	CZR	-115	1.00u	+0.87u	W
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts Jaguars 23, Colts 26	Jacksonville Jaguars +1.0 Spread · +1.0	CZR	-115	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots Bills 16, Patriots 23	Buffalo Bills +9.5 Spread · +9.5	FD	-112	1.00u	+0.89u	W
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles Giants 13, Eagles 20	Philadelphia Eagles ML Moneyline	CZR	+246	1.00u	+2.46u	W
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Saints 19, Buccaneers 27	Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6.5 Spread · -6.5	CZR	-105	2.00u	+1.90u	W
Sat, Jan 4	NFL	Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers Bengals 19, Steelers 17	Pittsburgh Steelers -0.5 Spread · -0.5	DK	-109	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sat, Jan 4	NFL	Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens Browns 10, Ravens 35	Under 42.5 Total · U 42.5	CZR	-115	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Mon, Dec 30	NFL	Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49ers Lions 40, 49ers 34	Detroit Lions -7.0 Spread · -7.0	CZR	-105	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Dec 29	NFL	Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Commanders Falcons 24, Commanders 30	Washington Commanders -7.0 Spread · -7.0	FD	-106	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Dec 29	NFL	Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings Packers 25, Vikings 27	Minnesota Vikings -4.0 Spread · -4.0	DK	-105	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Dec 29	NFL	Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns Dolphins 20, Browns 3	Cleveland Browns ML Moneyline	BMGM	+178	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Dec 29	NFL	Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints Raiders 25, Saints 10	New Orleans Saints +13.0 Spread · +13.0	BMGM	-107	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Dec 29	NFL	Indianapolis Colts @ New York Giants Colts 33, Giants 45	New York Giants -9.0 Spread · -9.0	FD	-106	1.00u	+0.94u	W
Sun, Dec 29	NFL	Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Cowboys 7, Eagles 41	Philadelphia Eagles -33.0 Spread · -33.0	BMGM	-107	1.00u	+0.93u	W
Sun, Dec 29	NFL	Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Panthers 14, Buccaneers 48	Over 63.0 Total · O 63.0	BMGM	-109	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Dec 29	NFL	Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars Titans 13, Jaguars 20	Tennessee Titans +8.0 Spread · +8.0	DK	-107	2.00u	+1.87u	W
Sat, Dec 28	NFL	Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams Cardinals 9, Rams 13	Los Angeles Rams -1.5 Spread · -1.5	BMGM	-108	1.00u	+0.93u	W
Sat, Dec 28	NFL	Denver Broncos @ Cincinnati Bengals Broncos 24, Bengals 30	Under 54.5 Total · U 54.5	DK	-106	2.00u	+1.89u	W
Sat, Dec 28	NFL	Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots Chargers 40, Patriots 7	New England Patriots +33.5 Spread · +33.5	CZR	-109	1.00u	+0.92u	W
Thu, Dec 26	NFL	Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears Seahawks 6, Bears 3	Chicago Bears ML Moneyline	BMGM	+196	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Wed, Dec 25	NFL	Kansas City Chiefs @ Pittsburgh Steelers Chiefs 29, Steelers 10	Kansas City Chiefs -23.5 Spread · -23.5	CZR	-114	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Mon, Dec 23	NFL	New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers Saints 0, Packers 34	Over 38.0 Total · O 38.0	FD	-108	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Dec 22	NFL	Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 26	Under 49.5 Total · U 49.5	BMGM	-114	3.00u	-3.00u	L
Sun, Dec 22	NFL	New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills Patriots 21, Bills 24	Buffalo Bills ML Moneyline	FD	+193	1.00u	+1.93u	W
Sun, Dec 22	NFL	San Francisco 49ers @ Miami Dolphins 49ers 17, Dolphins 29	San Francisco 49ers +14.5 Spread · +14.5	FD	-114	2.00u	+1.75u	W
Sun, Dec 22	NFL	Jacksonville Jaguars @ Las Vegas Raiders Jaguars 14, Raiders 19	Jacksonville Jaguars +4.0 Spread · +4.0	DK	-108	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Dec 22	NFL	Minnesota Vikings @ Seattle Seahawks Vikings 27, Seahawks 24	Under 53.0 Total · U 53.0	BMGM	-115	3.00u	+2.61u	W
Sun, Dec 22	NFL	Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears Lions 34, Bears 17	Detroit Lions -17.0 Spread · -17.0	DK	-114	1.00u	0.00u	P

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