Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9
Slick's track record
Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.
Backtested record · Not live picks
Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.
Methodology
Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.
Backtested record
Sep 2024 → Apr 2025
+101.77u
50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41
Live record
Begins May 9, 2026
1 graded · sample too small to publish
Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.
NCAAF
New for 2026
NBA
Live picks daily
NFL backtest
268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI
+43.05u · backtested
NCAA Basketball backtest
320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI
+28.70u · backtested
PGA backtest
110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI
+30.02u · backtested
Wed, Mar 12·NCAA Basketball
WOver 130.5
South Carolina Gamecocks @ Arkansas Razorbacks · Gamecocks 68, Razorbacks 72
Sat, Mar 1·NCAA Basketball
WOver 149.5
LSU Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs · Tigers 69, Bulldogs 81
Sat, Mar 1·NCAA Basketball
LNebraska Cornhuskers ML
Minnesota Golden Gophers @ Nebraska Cornhuskers · Gophers 67, Cornhuskers 65
Sat, Mar 1·NCAA Basketball
LOle Miss Rebels -5.0
Oklahoma Sooners @ Ole Miss Rebels · Sooners 84, Rebels 87
Sat, Mar 1·NCAA Basketball
LOver 173.0
Auburn Tigers @ Kentucky Wildcats · Tigers 94, Wildcats 78
Fri, Feb 28·NCAA Basketball
LUNLV Rebels -14.0
Nevada Wolf Pack @ UNLV Rebels · Pack 55, Rebels 68
Fri, Feb 28·NCAA Basketball
WTroy Trojans -8.0
Troy Trojans @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles · Trojans 70, Eagles 58
Fri, Feb 28·NCAA Basketball
LUnder 147.5
Georgia State Panthers @ Georgia Southern Eagles · Panthers 75, Eagles 76
Fri, Feb 28·NCAA Basketball
WSacred Heart Pioneers -12.5
Marist Red Foxes @ Sacred Heart Pioneers · Foxes 54, Pioneers 67
Thu, Feb 27·NCAA Basketball
WPortland Pilots -18.0
Pepperdine Waves @ Portland Pilots · Waves 67, Pilots 87
Thu, Feb 27·NCAA Basketball
LIdaho Vandals ML
Idaho State Bengals @ Idaho Vandals · Bengals 69, Vandals 65
Thu, Feb 27·NCAA Basketball
LSIU Edwardsville Cougars +10.0
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars · Redhawks 83, Cougars 68
Thu, Feb 27·NCAA Basketball
WUnder 141.5
Oakland Golden Grizzlies @ Milwaukee Panthers · Grizzlies 66, Panthers 71
Wed, Feb 26·NCAA Basketball
WRadford Highlanders -4.0
Radford Highlanders @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs · Highlanders 63, Bulldogs 56
Wed, Feb 26·NCAA Basketball
WAuburn Tigers ML
Ole Miss Rebels @ Auburn Tigers · Rebels 76, Tigers 106
Wed, Feb 26·NCAA Basketball
LAmerican University Eagles +6.5
Navy Midshipmen @ American University Eagles · Midshipmen 68, Eagles 60
Tue, Feb 25·NCAA Basketball
LIowa Hawkeyes +15.5
Iowa Hawkeyes @ Illinois Fighting Illini · Hawkeyes 61, Illini 81
Tue, Feb 25·NCAA Basketball
WUnder 172.0
James Madison Dukes @ UL Monroe Warhawks · Dukes 85, Warhawks 79
Tue, Feb 25·NCAA Basketball
WMiami Hurricanes +40.5
Duke Blue Devils @ Miami Hurricanes · Devils 97, Hurricanes 60
Tue, Feb 25·NCAA Basketball
LOver 161.5
Ohio Bobcats @ Western Michigan Broncos · Bobcats 73, Broncos 82
Tue, Feb 25·NCAA Basketball
LProvidence Friars ML
Providence Friars @ Marquette Golden Eagles · Friars 52, Eagles 82
Tue, Feb 25·NCAA Basketball
WEastern Michigan Eagles +8.5
Bowling Green Falcons @ Eastern Michigan Eagles · Falcons 65, Eagles 60
Sun, Feb 23·NCAA Basketball
WUTSA Roadrunners +10.0
UTSA Roadrunners @ East Carolina Pirates · Roadrunners 89, Pirates 96
Sun, Feb 23·NCAA Basketball
LOver 165.5
Green Bay Phoenix @ Youngstown State Penguins · Phoenix 77, Penguins 81
Sun, Feb 23·NCAA Basketball
WSouth Dakota State Jackrabbits -4.0
Kansas City Roos @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits · Roos 65, Jackrabbits 70
Sat, Feb 22·NCAA Basketball
LUC Irvine Anteaters -9.5
UC Irvine Anteaters @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners · Anteaters 73, Roadrunners 64
Sat, Feb 22·NCAA Basketball
WMissouri State Bears +2.5
Illinois State Redbirds @ Missouri State Bears · Redbirds 70, Bears 68
Sat, Feb 22·NCAA Basketball
WUnder 123.5
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles · Cajuns 62, Eagles 60
Sat, Feb 22·NCAA Basketball
WWestern Kentucky Hilltoppers -0.5
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · Bulldogs 63, Hilltoppers 64
Sat, Feb 22·NCAA Basketball
LUnder 123.5
Tarleton State Texans @ UT Arlington Mavericks · Texans 57, Mavericks 67
Sat, Feb 22·NCAA Basketball
WUAlbany Great Danes +12.0
New Hampshire Wildcats @ UAlbany Great Danes · Wildcats 71, Danes 60
Sat, Feb 22·NCAA Basketball
LOver 188.5
Santa Clara Broncos @ Washington State Cougars · Broncos 109, Cougars 79
Sat, Feb 22·NCAA Basketball
LUnder 116.5
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks @ Incarnate Word Cardinals · Lumberjacks 61, Cardinals 63
Sat, Feb 22·NCAA Basketball
LPennsylvania Quakers +0.5
Harvard Crimson @ Pennsylvania Quakers · Crimson 79, Quakers 78
Sat, Feb 22·NCAA Basketball
LJames Madison Dukes -5.5
Georgia Southern Eagles @ James Madison Dukes · Eagles 73, Dukes 78
Sat, Feb 22·NCAA Basketball
WUnder 134.5
Eastern Illinois Panthers @ Morehead State Eagles · Panthers 67, Eagles 62
Thu, Feb 13·NCAA Basketball
WUC Davis Aggies +2.5
UC Riverside Highlanders @ UC Davis Aggies · Highlanders 74, Aggies 75
Thu, Feb 13·NCAA Basketball
WLipscomb Bisons -29.5
Stetson Hatters @ Lipscomb Bisons · Hatters 60, Bisons 93
Thu, Feb 13·NCAA Basketball
LJacksonville State Gamecocks +4.0
Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ Sam Houston Bearkats · Gamecocks 61, Bearkats 66
Thu, Feb 13·NCAA Basketball
WOver 109.0
Kennesaw State Owls @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · Owls 69, Bulldogs 47
Thu, Feb 13·NCAA Basketball
WLe Moyne Dolphins +0.5
Wagner Seahawks @ Le Moyne Dolphins · Seahawks 68, Dolphins 72
Thu, Feb 13·NCAA Basketball
LCharleston Cougars ML
Charleston Cougars @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks · Cougars 66, Seahawks 86
Thu, Feb 13·NCAA Basketball
LUnder 153.5
West Georgia Wolves @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels · Wolves 73, Colonels 95
Thu, Feb 13·NCAA Basketball
WWilliam & Mary Tribe +1.0
Hofstra Pride @ William & Mary Tribe · Pride 60, Tribe 61
Thu, Feb 13·NCAA Basketball
POver 140.0
Chicago State Cougars @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · Cougars 49, Knights 91
Thu, Feb 13·NCAA Basketball
LUMass Lowell River Hawks +1.0
UAlbany Great Danes @ UMass Lowell River Hawks · Danes 90, Hawks 88
Wed, Feb 12·NCAA Basketball
LArizona State Sun Devils ML
Arizona State Sun Devils @ Texas Tech Red Raiders · Devils 106, Raiders 111
Wed, Feb 12·NCAA Basketball
LFordham Rams +13.0
Dayton Flyers @ Fordham Rams · Flyers 93, Rams 76
Wed, Feb 12·NCAA Basketball
WDavidson Wildcats -5.5
Davidson Wildcats @ Massachusetts Minutemen · Wildcats 77, Minutemen 68
Wed, Feb 12·NCAA Basketball
WLouisville Cardinals -24.0
Louisville Cardinals @ NC State Wolfpack · Cardinals 91, Wolfpack 66
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Book | Odds | Units | P/L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Mar 12 | NCAA Basketball | South Carolina Gamecocks @ Arkansas Razorbacks Gamecocks 68, Razorbacks 72 | Over 130.5 Total · O 130.5 | BMGM | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sat, Mar 1 | NCAA Basketball | LSU Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Tigers 69, Bulldogs 81 | Over 149.5 Total · O 149.5 | BMGM | -111 | 2.00u | +1.80u | W |
| Sat, Mar 1 | NCAA Basketball | Minnesota Golden Gophers @ Nebraska Cornhuskers Gophers 67, Cornhuskers 65 | Nebraska Cornhuskers ML Moneyline | DK | +254 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Mar 1 | NCAA Basketball | Oklahoma Sooners @ Ole Miss Rebels Sooners 84, Rebels 87 | Ole Miss Rebels -5.0 Spread · -5.0 | DK | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Mar 1 | NCAA Basketball | Auburn Tigers @ Kentucky Wildcats Tigers 94, Wildcats 78 | Over 173.0 Total · O 173.0 | DK | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Fri, Feb 28 | NCAA Basketball | Nevada Wolf Pack @ UNLV Rebels Pack 55, Rebels 68 | UNLV Rebels -14.0 Spread · -14.0 | BRV | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Fri, Feb 28 | NCAA Basketball | Troy Trojans @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles Trojans 70, Eagles 58 | Troy Trojans -8.0 Spread · -8.0 | DK | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Fri, Feb 28 | NCAA Basketball | Georgia State Panthers @ Georgia Southern Eagles Panthers 75, Eagles 76 | Under 147.5 Total · U 147.5 | BMGM | -109 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Fri, Feb 28 | NCAA Basketball | Marist Red Foxes @ Sacred Heart Pioneers Foxes 54, Pioneers 67 | Sacred Heart Pioneers -12.5 Spread · -12.5 | BMGM | -108 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Thu, Feb 27 | NCAA Basketball | Pepperdine Waves @ Portland Pilots Waves 67, Pilots 87 | Portland Pilots -18.0 Spread · -18.0 | DK | -113 | 2.00u | +1.77u | W |
| Thu, Feb 27 | NCAA Basketball | Idaho State Bengals @ Idaho Vandals Bengals 69, Vandals 65 | Idaho Vandals ML Moneyline | DK | +245 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Feb 27 | NCAA Basketball | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars Redhawks 83, Cougars 68 | SIU Edwardsville Cougars +10.0 Spread · +10.0 | DK | -106 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Feb 27 | NCAA Basketball | Oakland Golden Grizzlies @ Milwaukee Panthers Grizzlies 66, Panthers 71 | Under 141.5 Total · U 141.5 | DK | -113 | 1.00u | +0.88u | W |
| Wed, Feb 26 | NCAA Basketball | Radford Highlanders @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs Highlanders 63, Bulldogs 56 | Radford Highlanders -4.0 Spread · -4.0 | FD | -114 | 2.00u | +1.75u | W |
| Wed, Feb 26 | NCAA Basketball | Ole Miss Rebels @ Auburn Tigers Rebels 76, Tigers 106 | Auburn Tigers ML Moneyline | BMGM | +179 | 2.00u | +3.58u | W |
| Wed, Feb 26 | NCAA Basketball | Navy Midshipmen @ American University Eagles Midshipmen 68, Eagles 60 | American University Eagles +6.5 Spread · +6.5 | DK | -112 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Tue, Feb 25 | NCAA Basketball | Iowa Hawkeyes @ Illinois Fighting Illini Hawkeyes 61, Illini 81 | Iowa Hawkeyes +15.5 Spread · +15.5 | DK | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Tue, Feb 25 | NCAA Basketball | James Madison Dukes @ UL Monroe Warhawks Dukes 85, Warhawks 79 | Under 172.0 Total · U 172.0 | DK | -106 | 1.00u | +0.94u | W |
| Tue, Feb 25 | NCAA Basketball | Duke Blue Devils @ Miami Hurricanes Devils 97, Hurricanes 60 | Miami Hurricanes +40.5 Spread · +40.5 | BRV | -113 | 1.00u | +0.88u | W |
| Tue, Feb 25 | NCAA Basketball | Ohio Bobcats @ Western Michigan Broncos Bobcats 73, Broncos 82 | Over 161.5 Total · O 161.5 | FD | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Tue, Feb 25 | NCAA Basketball | Providence Friars @ Marquette Golden Eagles Friars 52, Eagles 82 | Providence Friars ML Moneyline | FD | +263 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Tue, Feb 25 | NCAA Basketball | Bowling Green Falcons @ Eastern Michigan Eagles Falcons 65, Eagles 60 | Eastern Michigan Eagles +8.5 Spread · +8.5 | BMGM | -110 | 1.00u | +0.91u | W |
| Sun, Feb 23 | NCAA Basketball | UTSA Roadrunners @ East Carolina Pirates Roadrunners 89, Pirates 96 | UTSA Roadrunners +10.0 Spread · +10.0 | BRV | -110 | 2.00u | +1.82u | W |
| Sun, Feb 23 | NCAA Basketball | Green Bay Phoenix @ Youngstown State Penguins Phoenix 77, Penguins 81 | Over 165.5 Total · O 165.5 | BMGM | -114 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Feb 23 | NCAA Basketball | Kansas City Roos @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits Roos 65, Jackrabbits 70 | South Dakota State Jackrabbits -4.0 Spread · -4.0 | BRV | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sat, Feb 22 | NCAA Basketball | UC Irvine Anteaters @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners Anteaters 73, Roadrunners 64 | UC Irvine Anteaters -9.5 Spread · -9.5 | DK | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Feb 22 | NCAA Basketball | Illinois State Redbirds @ Missouri State Bears Redbirds 70, Bears 68 | Missouri State Bears +2.5 Spread · +2.5 | FD | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sat, Feb 22 | NCAA Basketball | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles Cajuns 62, Eagles 60 | Under 123.5 Total · U 123.5 | BRV | -113 | 1.00u | +0.88u | W |
| Sat, Feb 22 | NCAA Basketball | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Bulldogs 63, Hilltoppers 64 | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -0.5 Spread · -0.5 | BRV | -110 | 1.00u | +0.91u | W |
| Sat, Feb 22 | NCAA Basketball | Tarleton State Texans @ UT Arlington Mavericks Texans 57, Mavericks 67 | Under 123.5 Total · U 123.5 | DK | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Feb 22 | NCAA Basketball | New Hampshire Wildcats @ UAlbany Great Danes Wildcats 71, Danes 60 | UAlbany Great Danes +12.0 Spread · +12.0 | BMGM | -109 | 3.00u | +2.75u | W |
| Sat, Feb 22 | NCAA Basketball | Santa Clara Broncos @ Washington State Cougars Broncos 109, Cougars 79 | Over 188.5 Total · O 188.5 | DK | -111 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Feb 22 | NCAA Basketball | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks @ Incarnate Word Cardinals Lumberjacks 61, Cardinals 63 | Under 116.5 Total · U 116.5 | DK | -106 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Feb 22 | NCAA Basketball | Harvard Crimson @ Pennsylvania Quakers Crimson 79, Quakers 78 | Pennsylvania Quakers +0.5 Spread · +0.5 | FD | -112 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Feb 22 | NCAA Basketball | Georgia Southern Eagles @ James Madison Dukes Eagles 73, Dukes 78 | James Madison Dukes -5.5 Spread · -5.5 | DK | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Feb 22 | NCAA Basketball | Eastern Illinois Panthers @ Morehead State Eagles Panthers 67, Eagles 62 | Under 134.5 Total · U 134.5 | FD | -115 | 3.00u | +2.61u | W |
| Thu, Feb 13 | NCAA Basketball | UC Riverside Highlanders @ UC Davis Aggies Highlanders 74, Aggies 75 | UC Davis Aggies +2.5 Spread · +2.5 | BMGM | -106 | 1.00u | +0.94u | W |
| Thu, Feb 13 | NCAA Basketball | Stetson Hatters @ Lipscomb Bisons Hatters 60, Bisons 93 | Lipscomb Bisons -29.5 Spread · -29.5 | DK | -108 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Thu, Feb 13 | NCAA Basketball | Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ Sam Houston Bearkats Gamecocks 61, Bearkats 66 | Jacksonville State Gamecocks +4.0 Spread · +4.0 | DK | -107 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Feb 13 | NCAA Basketball | Kennesaw State Owls @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Owls 69, Bulldogs 47 | Over 109.0 Total · O 109.0 | DK | -110 | 1.00u | +0.91u | W |
| Thu, Feb 13 | NCAA Basketball | Wagner Seahawks @ Le Moyne Dolphins Seahawks 68, Dolphins 72 | Le Moyne Dolphins +0.5 Spread · +0.5 | BRV | -105 | 2.00u | +1.90u | W |
| Thu, Feb 13 | NCAA Basketball | Charleston Cougars @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks Cougars 66, Seahawks 86 | Charleston Cougars ML Moneyline | DK | +381 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Feb 13 | NCAA Basketball | West Georgia Wolves @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels Wolves 73, Colonels 95 | Under 153.5 Total · U 153.5 | BRV | -108 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Feb 13 | NCAA Basketball | Hofstra Pride @ William & Mary Tribe Pride 60, Tribe 61 | William & Mary Tribe +1.0 Spread · +1.0 | DK | -108 | 2.00u | +1.85u | W |
| Thu, Feb 13 | NCAA Basketball | Chicago State Cougars @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights Cougars 49, Knights 91 | Over 140.0 Total · O 140.0 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Thu, Feb 13 | NCAA Basketball | UAlbany Great Danes @ UMass Lowell River Hawks Danes 90, Hawks 88 | UMass Lowell River Hawks +1.0 Spread · +1.0 | DK | -106 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Wed, Feb 12 | NCAA Basketball | Arizona State Sun Devils @ Texas Tech Red Raiders Devils 106, Raiders 111 | Arizona State Sun Devils ML Moneyline | FD | +166 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Wed, Feb 12 | NCAA Basketball | Dayton Flyers @ Fordham Rams Flyers 93, Rams 76 | Fordham Rams +13.0 Spread · +13.0 | BRV | -106 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Wed, Feb 12 | NCAA Basketball | Davidson Wildcats @ Massachusetts Minutemen Wildcats 77, Minutemen 68 | Davidson Wildcats -5.5 Spread · -5.5 | BMGM | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Wed, Feb 12 | NCAA Basketball | Louisville Cardinals @ NC State Wolfpack Cardinals 91, Wolfpack 66 | Louisville Cardinals -24.0 Spread · -24.0 | DK | -115 | 1.00u | +0.87u | W |