Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9
Slick's track record
Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.
Backtested record · Not live picks
Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.
Methodology
Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.
Backtested record
Sep 2024 → Apr 2025
+101.77u
50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41
Live record
Begins May 9, 2026
1 graded · sample too small to publish
Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.
NCAAF
New for 2026
NBA
Live picks daily
NFL backtest
268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI
+43.05u · backtested
NCAA Basketball backtest
320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI
+28.70u · backtested
PGA backtest
110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI
+30.02u · backtested
Sun, Feb 9·NFL
WPhiladelphia Eagles ML
Kansas City Chiefs @ Philadelphia Eagles · Chiefs 22, Eagles 40
Sun, Feb 2·NFL
WOver 137.0
AFC @ NFC
Sun, Jan 26·NFL
WWashington Commanders +38.5
Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles · Commanders 23, Eagles 55
Sun, Jan 19·NFL
WPhiladelphia Eagles ML
Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles · Rams 22, Eagles 28
Mon, Jan 13·NFL
WUnder 45.0
Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams · Vikings 9, Rams 27
Sun, Jan 12·NFL
WUnder 33.0
Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles · Packers 10, Eagles 22
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WDetroit Lions -20.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions · Vikings 9, Lions 31
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WDenver Broncos -41.5
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos · Chiefs 0, Broncos 38
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WUnder 64.0
Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams · Seahawks 30, Rams 25
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WNew York Jets -11.5
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets · Dolphins 20, Jets 32
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WOver 64.0
San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals · 49ers 24, Cardinals 47
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WCarolina Panthers -7.0
Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons · Panthers 44, Falcons 38
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WWashington Commanders -3.5
Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys · Commanders 23, Cowboys 19
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WHouston Texans -8.5
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans · Texans 23, Titans 14
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WBuffalo Bills +9.5
Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots · Bills 16, Patriots 23
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WPhiladelphia Eagles ML
New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles · Giants 13, Eagles 20
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WTampa Bay Buccaneers -6.5
New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Saints 19, Buccaneers 27
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
WNew York Giants -9.0
Indianapolis Colts @ New York Giants · Colts 33, Giants 45
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
WPhiladelphia Eagles -33.0
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles · Cowboys 7, Eagles 41
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
WTennessee Titans +8.0
Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Titans 13, Jaguars 20
Sat, Dec 28·NFL
WLos Angeles Rams -1.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams · Cardinals 9, Rams 13
Sat, Dec 28·NFL
WUnder 54.5
Denver Broncos @ Cincinnati Bengals · Broncos 24, Bengals 30
Sat, Dec 28·NFL
WNew England Patriots +33.5
Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots · Chargers 40, Patriots 7
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
WBuffalo Bills ML
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills · Patriots 21, Bills 24
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
WSan Francisco 49ers +14.5
San Francisco 49ers @ Miami Dolphins · 49ers 17, Dolphins 29
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
WUnder 53.0
Minnesota Vikings @ Seattle Seahawks · Vikings 27, Seahawks 24
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
WIndianapolis Colts -7.0
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts · Titans 30, Colts 38
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
WNew York Jets +10.5
Los Angeles Rams @ New York Jets · Rams 19, Jets 9
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
WWashington Commanders +2.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders · Eagles 33, Commanders 36
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
WUnder 46.0
New York Giants @ Atlanta Falcons · Giants 7, Falcons 34
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
WCleveland Browns +21.5
Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals · Browns 6, Bengals 24
Thu, Dec 19·NFL
WDenver Broncos +11.0
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers · Broncos 27, Chargers 34
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
WGreen Bay Packers -11.0
Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks · Packers 30, Seahawks 13
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
WIndianapolis Colts +23.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos · Colts 13, Broncos 31
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
WBuffalo Bills -3.5
Buffalo Bills @ Detroit Lions · Bills 48, Lions 42
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
WArizona Cardinals -10.0
New England Patriots @ Arizona Cardinals · Patriots 17, Cardinals 30
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
WCincinnati Bengals ML
Cincinnati Bengals @ Tennessee Titans · Bengals 37, Titans 27
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
WNew Orleans Saints ML
Washington Commanders @ New Orleans Saints · Commanders 20, Saints 19
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
WUnder 29.0
Kansas City Chiefs @ Cleveland Browns · Chiefs 21, Browns 7
Sun, Dec 8·NFL
WLos Angeles Chargers +5.0
Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs · Chargers 17, Chiefs 19
Sun, Dec 8·NFL
WBuffalo Bills +1.0
Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams · Bills 42, Rams 44
Sun, Dec 8·NFL
WOver 18.0
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans · Jaguars 10, Titans 6
Sun, Dec 8·NFL
WMiami Dolphins -1.5
New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins · Jets 26, Dolphins 32
Sun, Dec 8·NFL
WAtlanta Falcons ML
Atlanta Falcons @ Minnesota Vikings · Falcons 21, Vikings 42
Sun, Dec 8·NFL
WUnder 47.0
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Browns 14, Steelers 27
Sun, Dec 8·NFL
WLas Vegas Raiders +15.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Raiders 13, Buccaneers 28
Thu, Dec 5·NFL
WUnder 69.0
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions · Packers 31, Lions 34
Mon, Dec 2·NFL
WDenver Broncos -3.0
Cleveland Browns @ Denver Broncos · Browns 32, Broncos 41
Sun, Dec 1·NFL
WOver 44.0
Arizona Cardinals @ Minnesota Vikings · Cardinals 22, Vikings 23
Sun, Dec 1·NFL
WNew England Patriots +6.0
Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots · Colts 25, Patriots 24
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Book | Odds | Units | P/L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Feb 9 | NFL | Kansas City Chiefs @ Philadelphia Eagles Chiefs 22, Eagles 40 | Philadelphia Eagles ML Moneyline | FD | +220 | 1.00u | +2.20u | W |
| Sun, Feb 2 | NFL | AFC @ NFC | Over 137.0 Total · O 137.0 | BMGM | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Jan 26 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles Commanders 23, Eagles 55 | Washington Commanders +38.5 Spread · +38.5 | BMGM | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Jan 19 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles Rams 22, Eagles 28 | Philadelphia Eagles ML Moneyline | BMGM | +165 | 1.00u | +1.65u | W |
| Mon, Jan 13 | NFL | Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams Vikings 9, Rams 27 | Under 45.0 Total · U 45.0 | FD | -106 | 1.00u | +0.94u | W |
| Sun, Jan 12 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles Packers 10, Eagles 22 | Under 33.0 Total · U 33.0 | FD | -110 | 1.00u | +0.91u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions Vikings 9, Lions 31 | Detroit Lions -20.5 Spread · -20.5 | CZR | -110 | 2.00u | +1.82u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Chiefs 0, Broncos 38 | Denver Broncos -41.5 Spread · -41.5 | DK | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams Seahawks 30, Rams 25 | Under 64.0 Total · U 64.0 | CZR | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets Dolphins 20, Jets 32 | New York Jets -11.5 Spread · -11.5 | FD | -110 | 1.00u | +0.91u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals 49ers 24, Cardinals 47 | Over 64.0 Total · O 64.0 | FD | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons Panthers 44, Falcons 38 | Carolina Panthers -7.0 Spread · -7.0 | DK | -111 | 3.00u | +2.70u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys Commanders 23, Cowboys 19 | Washington Commanders -3.5 Spread · -3.5 | CZR | -112 | 2.00u | +1.79u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans Texans 23, Titans 14 | Houston Texans -8.5 Spread · -8.5 | CZR | -115 | 1.00u | +0.87u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots Bills 16, Patriots 23 | Buffalo Bills +9.5 Spread · +9.5 | FD | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles Giants 13, Eagles 20 | Philadelphia Eagles ML Moneyline | CZR | +246 | 1.00u | +2.46u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Saints 19, Buccaneers 27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6.5 Spread · -6.5 | CZR | -105 | 2.00u | +1.90u | W |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Indianapolis Colts @ New York Giants Colts 33, Giants 45 | New York Giants -9.0 Spread · -9.0 | FD | -106 | 1.00u | +0.94u | W |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Cowboys 7, Eagles 41 | Philadelphia Eagles -33.0 Spread · -33.0 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars Titans 13, Jaguars 20 | Tennessee Titans +8.0 Spread · +8.0 | DK | -107 | 2.00u | +1.87u | W |
| Sat, Dec 28 | NFL | Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams Cardinals 9, Rams 13 | Los Angeles Rams -1.5 Spread · -1.5 | BMGM | -108 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sat, Dec 28 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ Cincinnati Bengals Broncos 24, Bengals 30 | Under 54.5 Total · U 54.5 | DK | -106 | 2.00u | +1.89u | W |
| Sat, Dec 28 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots Chargers 40, Patriots 7 | New England Patriots +33.5 Spread · +33.5 | CZR | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills Patriots 21, Bills 24 | Buffalo Bills ML Moneyline | FD | +193 | 1.00u | +1.93u | W |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | San Francisco 49ers @ Miami Dolphins 49ers 17, Dolphins 29 | San Francisco 49ers +14.5 Spread · +14.5 | FD | -114 | 2.00u | +1.75u | W |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Minnesota Vikings @ Seattle Seahawks Vikings 27, Seahawks 24 | Under 53.0 Total · U 53.0 | BMGM | -115 | 3.00u | +2.61u | W |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts Titans 30, Colts 38 | Indianapolis Colts -7.0 Spread · -7.0 | CZR | -110 | 2.00u | +1.82u | W |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ New York Jets Rams 19, Jets 9 | New York Jets +10.5 Spread · +10.5 | BMGM | -108 | 2.00u | +1.85u | W |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders Eagles 33, Commanders 36 | Washington Commanders +2.5 Spread · +2.5 | FD | -113 | 3.00u | +2.65u | W |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | New York Giants @ Atlanta Falcons Giants 7, Falcons 34 | Under 46.0 Total · U 46.0 | CZR | -111 | 2.00u | +1.80u | W |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals Browns 6, Bengals 24 | Cleveland Browns +21.5 Spread · +21.5 | BMGM | -108 | 2.00u | +1.85u | W |
| Thu, Dec 19 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers Broncos 27, Chargers 34 | Denver Broncos +11.0 Spread · +11.0 | BMGM | -115 | 1.00u | +0.87u | W |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks Packers 30, Seahawks 13 | Green Bay Packers -11.0 Spread · -11.0 | DK | -108 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos Colts 13, Broncos 31 | Indianapolis Colts +23.5 Spread · +23.5 | DK | -111 | 1.00u | +0.90u | W |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Detroit Lions Bills 48, Lions 42 | Buffalo Bills -3.5 Spread · -3.5 | CZR | -110 | 1.00u | +0.91u | W |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | New England Patriots @ Arizona Cardinals Patriots 17, Cardinals 30 | Arizona Cardinals -10.0 Spread · -10.0 | FD | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ Tennessee Titans Bengals 37, Titans 27 | Cincinnati Bengals ML Moneyline | DK | +114 | 2.00u | +2.28u | W |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ New Orleans Saints Commanders 20, Saints 19 | New Orleans Saints ML Moneyline | FD | +243 | 2.00u | +4.86u | W |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Kansas City Chiefs @ Cleveland Browns Chiefs 21, Browns 7 | Under 29.0 Total · U 29.0 | FD | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Sun, Dec 8 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs Chargers 17, Chiefs 19 | Los Angeles Chargers +5.0 Spread · +5.0 | DK | -113 | 2.00u | +1.77u | W |
| Sun, Dec 8 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams Bills 42, Rams 44 | Buffalo Bills +1.0 Spread · +1.0 | FD | -107 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sun, Dec 8 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans Jaguars 10, Titans 6 | Over 18.0 Total · O 18.0 | CZR | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Sun, Dec 8 | NFL | New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins Jets 26, Dolphins 32 | Miami Dolphins -1.5 Spread · -1.5 | BMGM | -110 | 1.00u | +0.91u | W |
| Sun, Dec 8 | NFL | Atlanta Falcons @ Minnesota Vikings Falcons 21, Vikings 42 | Atlanta Falcons ML Moneyline | FD | +245 | 1.00u | +2.45u | W |
| Sun, Dec 8 | NFL | Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Browns 14, Steelers 27 | Under 47.0 Total · U 47.0 | FD | -115 | 1.00u | +0.87u | W |
| Sun, Dec 8 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Raiders 13, Buccaneers 28 | Las Vegas Raiders +15.5 Spread · +15.5 | BMGM | -106 | 2.00u | +1.89u | W |
| Thu, Dec 5 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions Packers 31, Lions 34 | Under 69.0 Total · U 69.0 | BMGM | -115 | 3.00u | +2.61u | W |
| Mon, Dec 2 | NFL | Cleveland Browns @ Denver Broncos Browns 32, Broncos 41 | Denver Broncos -3.0 Spread · -3.0 | FD | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Dec 1 | NFL | Arizona Cardinals @ Minnesota Vikings Cardinals 22, Vikings 23 | Over 44.0 Total · O 44.0 | DK | -114 | 2.00u | +1.75u | W |
| Sun, Dec 1 | NFL | Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots Colts 25, Patriots 24 | New England Patriots +6.0 Spread · +6.0 | BMGM | -114 | 1.00u | +0.88u | W |