Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9
Slick's track record
Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.
Backtested record · Not live picks
Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.
Methodology
Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.
Backtested record
Sep 2024 → Apr 2025
+101.77u
50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41
Live record
Begins May 9, 2026
1 graded · sample too small to publish
Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.
NCAAF
New for 2026
NBA
Live picks daily
NFL backtest
268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI
+43.05u · backtested
NCAA Basketball backtest
320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI
+28.70u · backtested
PGA backtest
110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI
+30.02u · backtested
Sun, Jan 26·NFL
PUnder 61.0
Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs · Bills 29, Chiefs 32
Sun, Jan 19·NFL
PBuffalo Bills -2.0
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills · Ravens 25, Bills 27
Sun, Jan 12·NFL
PTampa Bay Buccaneers +3.0
Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Commanders 23, Buccaneers 20
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
PGreen Bay Packers +2.0
Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers · Bears 24, Packers 22
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
PDetroit Lions -17.0
Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears · Lions 34, Bears 17
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
PCarolina Panthers -6.0
Arizona Cardinals @ Carolina Panthers · Cardinals 30, Panthers 36
Sun, Dec 8·NFL
PArizona Cardinals +12.0
Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals · Seahawks 30, Cardinals 18
Sun, Dec 1·NFL
PNew Orleans Saints +7.0
Los Angeles Rams @ New Orleans Saints · Rams 21, Saints 14
Sun, Dec 1·NFL
PWashington Commanders -23.0
Tennessee Titans @ Washington Commanders · Titans 19, Commanders 42
Sun, Dec 1·NFL
PJacksonville Jaguars +3.0
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Texans 23, Jaguars 20
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
PTennessee Titans +10.0
Minnesota Vikings @ Tennessee Titans · Vikings 23, Titans 13
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
PLos Angeles Rams -6.0
Los Angeles Rams @ New England Patriots · Rams 28, Patriots 22
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
PMiami Dolphins +3.0
Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills · Dolphins 27, Bills 30
Sun, Oct 27·NFL
PUnder 34.0
New Orleans Saints @ Los Angeles Chargers · Saints 8, Chargers 26
Sun, Oct 27·NFL
PCincinnati Bengals +20.0
Philadelphia Eagles @ Cincinnati Bengals · Eagles 37, Bengals 17
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
PTennessee Titans +24.0
Tennessee Titans @ Buffalo Bills · Titans 10, Bills 34
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
PCincinnati Bengals -7.0
Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns · Bengals 21, Browns 14
Thu, Oct 17·NFL
PDenver Broncos -23.0
Denver Broncos @ New Orleans Saints · Broncos 33, Saints 10
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
PUnder 24.0
Cincinnati Bengals @ New York Giants · Bengals 17, Giants 7
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
PCarolina Panthers +18.0
Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers · Falcons 38, Panthers 20
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
PBaltimore Ravens -3.0
Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals · Ravens 41, Bengals 38
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
PChicago Bears -6.0
Los Angeles Rams @ Chicago Bears · Rams 18, Bears 24
Mon, Sep 23·NFL
PJacksonville Jaguars +37.0
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills · Jaguars 10, Bills 47
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
PGreen Bay Packers -6.0
Indianapolis Colts @ Green Bay Packers · Colts 10, Packers 16
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
POver 41.0
Tennessee Titans @ Chicago Bears · Titans 17, Bears 24
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Book | Odds | Units | P/L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Jan 26 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs Bills 29, Chiefs 32 | Under 61.0 Total · U 61.0 | CZR | -109 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Jan 19 | NFL | Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills Ravens 25, Bills 27 | Buffalo Bills -2.0 Spread · -2.0 | BMGM | -114 | 2.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Jan 12 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Commanders 23, Buccaneers 20 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.0 Spread · +3.0 | CZR | -105 | 2.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Bears 24, Packers 22 | Green Bay Packers +2.0 Spread · +2.0 | CZR | -110 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears Lions 34, Bears 17 | Detroit Lions -17.0 Spread · -17.0 | DK | -114 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Arizona Cardinals @ Carolina Panthers Cardinals 30, Panthers 36 | Carolina Panthers -6.0 Spread · -6.0 | DK | -113 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Dec 8 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals Seahawks 30, Cardinals 18 | Arizona Cardinals +12.0 Spread · +12.0 | FD | -108 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Dec 1 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ New Orleans Saints Rams 21, Saints 14 | New Orleans Saints +7.0 Spread · +7.0 | CZR | -113 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Dec 1 | NFL | Tennessee Titans @ Washington Commanders Titans 19, Commanders 42 | Washington Commanders -23.0 Spread · -23.0 | CZR | -112 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Dec 1 | NFL | Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars Texans 23, Jaguars 20 | Jacksonville Jaguars +3.0 Spread · +3.0 | CZR | -106 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Minnesota Vikings @ Tennessee Titans Vikings 23, Titans 13 | Tennessee Titans +10.0 Spread · +10.0 | FD | -108 | 3.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ New England Patriots Rams 28, Patriots 22 | Los Angeles Rams -6.0 Spread · -6.0 | BMGM | -109 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills Dolphins 27, Bills 30 | Miami Dolphins +3.0 Spread · +3.0 | FD | -115 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Oct 27 | NFL | New Orleans Saints @ Los Angeles Chargers Saints 8, Chargers 26 | Under 34.0 Total · U 34.0 | CZR | -115 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Oct 27 | NFL | Philadelphia Eagles @ Cincinnati Bengals Eagles 37, Bengals 17 | Cincinnati Bengals +20.0 Spread · +20.0 | DK | -112 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Tennessee Titans @ Buffalo Bills Titans 10, Bills 34 | Tennessee Titans +24.0 Spread · +24.0 | FD | -113 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns Bengals 21, Browns 14 | Cincinnati Bengals -7.0 Spread · -7.0 | DK | -112 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Thu, Oct 17 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ New Orleans Saints Broncos 33, Saints 10 | Denver Broncos -23.0 Spread · -23.0 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ New York Giants Bengals 17, Giants 7 | Under 24.0 Total · U 24.0 | DK | -110 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers Falcons 38, Panthers 20 | Carolina Panthers +18.0 Spread · +18.0 | DK | -109 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals Ravens 41, Bengals 38 | Baltimore Ravens -3.0 Spread · -3.0 | FD | -108 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ Chicago Bears Rams 18, Bears 24 | Chicago Bears -6.0 Spread · -6.0 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Mon, Sep 23 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills Jaguars 10, Bills 47 | Jacksonville Jaguars +37.0 Spread · +37.0 | CZR | -114 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Indianapolis Colts @ Green Bay Packers Colts 10, Packers 16 | Green Bay Packers -6.0 Spread · -6.0 | BMGM | -109 | 2.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Tennessee Titans @ Chicago Bears Titans 17, Bears 24 | Over 41.0 Total · O 41.0 | BMGM | -112 | 2.00u | 0.00u | P |