Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9
Slick's track record
Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.
Backtested record · Not live picks
Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.
Methodology
Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.
Backtested record
Sep 2024 → Apr 2025
+101.77u
50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41
Live record
Begins May 9, 2026
1 graded · sample too small to publish
Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.
NCAAF
New for 2026
NBA
Live picks daily
NFL backtest
268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI
+43.05u · backtested
NCAA Basketball backtest
320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI
+28.70u · backtested
PGA backtest
110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI
+30.02u · backtested
Sat, Jan 18·NFL
LKansas City Chiefs -12.5
Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs · Texans 14, Chiefs 23
Sun, Jan 12·NFL
LDenver Broncos +22.0
Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills · Broncos 7, Bills 31
Sat, Jan 11·NFL
LPittsburgh Steelers ML
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens · Steelers 14, Ravens 28
Sat, Jan 11·NFL
LLos Angeles Chargers ML
Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans · Chargers 12, Texans 32
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
LOver 59.0
Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders · Chargers 34, Raiders 20
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
LJacksonville Jaguars +1.0
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts · Jaguars 23, Colts 26
Sat, Jan 4·NFL
LPittsburgh Steelers -0.5
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Bengals 19, Steelers 17
Sat, Jan 4·NFL
LUnder 42.5
Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens · Browns 10, Ravens 35
Mon, Dec 30·NFL
LDetroit Lions -7.0
Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49ers · Lions 40, 49ers 34
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
LWashington Commanders -7.0
Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Commanders · Falcons 24, Commanders 30
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
LMinnesota Vikings -4.0
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings · Packers 25, Vikings 27
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
LCleveland Browns ML
Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns · Dolphins 20, Browns 3
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
LNew Orleans Saints +13.0
Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints · Raiders 25, Saints 10
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
LOver 63.0
Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Panthers 14, Buccaneers 48
Thu, Dec 26·NFL
LChicago Bears ML
Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears · Seahawks 6, Bears 3
Wed, Dec 25·NFL
LKansas City Chiefs -23.5
Kansas City Chiefs @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Chiefs 29, Steelers 10
Mon, Dec 23·NFL
LOver 38.0
New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers · Saints 0, Packers 34
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
LUnder 49.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys · Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 26
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
LJacksonville Jaguars +4.0
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Las Vegas Raiders · Jaguars 14, Raiders 19
Sat, Dec 21·NFL
LBaltimore Ravens -20.0
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens · Steelers 17, Ravens 34
Sat, Dec 21·NFL
LHouston Texans +1.5
Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs · Texans 19, Chiefs 27
Mon, Dec 16·NFL
LOver 31.0
Atlanta Falcons @ Las Vegas Raiders · Falcons 15, Raiders 9
Mon, Dec 16·NFL
LChicago Bears +15.5
Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings · Bears 12, Vikings 30
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
LUnder 38.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Philadelphia Eagles · Steelers 13, Eagles 27
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
LLos Angeles Chargers +22.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Los Angeles Chargers · Buccaneers 40, Chargers 17
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
LNew York Giants +18.0
Baltimore Ravens @ New York Giants · Ravens 35, Giants 14
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
LCarolina Panthers +13.5
Dallas Cowboys @ Carolina Panthers · Cowboys 30, Panthers 14
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
LMiami Dolphins +7.0
Miami Dolphins @ Houston Texans · Dolphins 12, Texans 20
Thu, Dec 12·NFL
LLos Angeles Rams -6.5
Los Angeles Rams @ San Francisco 49ers · Rams 12, 49ers 6
Mon, Dec 9·NFL
LUnder 40.5
Cincinnati Bengals @ Dallas Cowboys · Bengals 27, Cowboys 20
Sun, Dec 8·NFL
LOver 54.5
Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers · Bears 13, 49ers 38
Sun, Dec 8·NFL
LNew York Giants +2.0
New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants · Saints 14, Giants 11
Sun, Dec 8·NFL
LUnder 37.0
Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles · Panthers 16, Eagles 22
Sun, Dec 1·NFL
LPhiladelphia Eagles -7.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Baltimore Ravens · Eagles 24, Ravens 19
Sun, Dec 1·NFL
LCarolina Panthers -0.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers · Buccaneers 26, Panthers 23
Sun, Dec 1·NFL
LPittsburgh Steelers -13.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals · Steelers 44, Bengals 38
Sun, Dec 1·NFL
LSeattle Seahawks -8.5
Seattle Seahawks @ New York Jets · Seahawks 26, Jets 21
Sun, Dec 1·NFL
LLos Angeles Chargers -10.0
Los Angeles Chargers @ Atlanta Falcons · Chargers 17, Falcons 13
Fri, Nov 29·NFL
LLas Vegas Raiders +1.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs · Raiders 17, Chiefs 19
Thu, Nov 28·NFL
LUnder 42.0
Miami Dolphins @ Green Bay Packers · Dolphins 17, Packers 30
Thu, Nov 28·NFL
LChicago Bears +2.0
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions · Bears 20, Lions 23
Mon, Nov 25·NFL
LLos Angeles Chargers +5.5
Baltimore Ravens @ Los Angeles Chargers · Ravens 30, Chargers 23
Sun, Nov 24·NFL
LLas Vegas Raiders ML
Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders · Broncos 29, Raiders 19
Sun, Nov 24·NFL
LDallas Cowboys -14.5
Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Commanders · Cowboys 34, Commanders 26
Sun, Nov 24·NFL
LOver 60.0
Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans · Titans 32, Texans 27
Thu, Nov 21·NFL
LUnder 41.0
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns · Steelers 19, Browns 24
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
LCincinnati Bengals +5.0
Cincinnati Bengals @ Los Angeles Chargers · Bengals 27, Chargers 34
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
LKansas City Chiefs +3.5
Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills · Chiefs 21, Bills 30
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
LJacksonville Jaguars +45.0
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Detroit Lions · Jaguars 6, Lions 52
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
LOver 56.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ Miami Dolphins · Raiders 19, Dolphins 34
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Book | Odds | Units | P/L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jan 18 | NFL | Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs Texans 14, Chiefs 23 | Kansas City Chiefs -12.5 Spread · -12.5 | CZR | -111 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Jan 12 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills Broncos 7, Bills 31 | Denver Broncos +22.0 Spread · +22.0 | CZR | -106 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sat, Jan 11 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens Steelers 14, Ravens 28 | Pittsburgh Steelers ML Moneyline | BMGM | +237 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Jan 11 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans Chargers 12, Texans 32 | Los Angeles Chargers ML Moneyline | DK | +113 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders Chargers 34, Raiders 20 | Over 59.0 Total · O 59.0 | BMGM | -114 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts Jaguars 23, Colts 26 | Jacksonville Jaguars +1.0 Spread · +1.0 | CZR | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Jan 4 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers Bengals 19, Steelers 17 | Pittsburgh Steelers -0.5 Spread · -0.5 | DK | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Jan 4 | NFL | Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens Browns 10, Ravens 35 | Under 42.5 Total · U 42.5 | CZR | -115 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Mon, Dec 30 | NFL | Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49ers Lions 40, 49ers 34 | Detroit Lions -7.0 Spread · -7.0 | CZR | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Commanders Falcons 24, Commanders 30 | Washington Commanders -7.0 Spread · -7.0 | FD | -106 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings Packers 25, Vikings 27 | Minnesota Vikings -4.0 Spread · -4.0 | DK | -105 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns Dolphins 20, Browns 3 | Cleveland Browns ML Moneyline | BMGM | +178 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints Raiders 25, Saints 10 | New Orleans Saints +13.0 Spread · +13.0 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Panthers 14, Buccaneers 48 | Over 63.0 Total · O 63.0 | BMGM | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Dec 26 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears Seahawks 6, Bears 3 | Chicago Bears ML Moneyline | BMGM | +196 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Wed, Dec 25 | NFL | Kansas City Chiefs @ Pittsburgh Steelers Chiefs 29, Steelers 10 | Kansas City Chiefs -23.5 Spread · -23.5 | CZR | -114 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Mon, Dec 23 | NFL | New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers Saints 0, Packers 34 | Over 38.0 Total · O 38.0 | FD | -108 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 26 | Under 49.5 Total · U 49.5 | BMGM | -114 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Las Vegas Raiders Jaguars 14, Raiders 19 | Jacksonville Jaguars +4.0 Spread · +4.0 | DK | -108 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Dec 21 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens Steelers 17, Ravens 34 | Baltimore Ravens -20.0 Spread · -20.0 | BMGM | -111 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Dec 21 | NFL | Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs Texans 19, Chiefs 27 | Houston Texans +1.5 Spread · +1.5 | DK | -111 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Mon, Dec 16 | NFL | Atlanta Falcons @ Las Vegas Raiders Falcons 15, Raiders 9 | Over 31.0 Total · O 31.0 | BMGM | -109 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Mon, Dec 16 | NFL | Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings Bears 12, Vikings 30 | Chicago Bears +15.5 Spread · +15.5 | BMGM | -106 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Philadelphia Eagles Steelers 13, Eagles 27 | Under 38.5 Total · U 38.5 | DK | -114 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Los Angeles Chargers Buccaneers 40, Chargers 17 | Los Angeles Chargers +22.5 Spread · +22.5 | DK | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Baltimore Ravens @ New York Giants Ravens 35, Giants 14 | New York Giants +18.0 Spread · +18.0 | BMGM | -110 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ Carolina Panthers Cowboys 30, Panthers 14 | Carolina Panthers +13.5 Spread · +13.5 | DK | -114 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ Houston Texans Dolphins 12, Texans 20 | Miami Dolphins +7.0 Spread · +7.0 | DK | -113 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Thu, Dec 12 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ San Francisco 49ers Rams 12, 49ers 6 | Los Angeles Rams -6.5 Spread · -6.5 | CZR | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Mon, Dec 9 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ Dallas Cowboys Bengals 27, Cowboys 20 | Under 40.5 Total · U 40.5 | DK | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 8 | NFL | Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers Bears 13, 49ers 38 | Over 54.5 Total · O 54.5 | BMGM | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 8 | NFL | New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants Saints 14, Giants 11 | New York Giants +2.0 Spread · +2.0 | CZR | -111 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 8 | NFL | Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles Panthers 16, Eagles 22 | Under 37.0 Total · U 37.0 | CZR | -108 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 1 | NFL | Philadelphia Eagles @ Baltimore Ravens Eagles 24, Ravens 19 | Philadelphia Eagles -7.5 Spread · -7.5 | CZR | -110 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 1 | NFL | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers Buccaneers 26, Panthers 23 | Carolina Panthers -0.5 Spread · -0.5 | CZR | -111 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 1 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals Steelers 44, Bengals 38 | Pittsburgh Steelers -13.5 Spread · -13.5 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 1 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ New York Jets Seahawks 26, Jets 21 | Seattle Seahawks -8.5 Spread · -8.5 | CZR | -111 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 1 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Atlanta Falcons Chargers 17, Falcons 13 | Los Angeles Chargers -10.0 Spread · -10.0 | FD | -108 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Fri, Nov 29 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs Raiders 17, Chiefs 19 | Las Vegas Raiders +1.5 Spread · +1.5 | CZR | -108 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Nov 28 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ Green Bay Packers Dolphins 17, Packers 30 | Under 42.0 Total · U 42.0 | FD | -110 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Nov 28 | NFL | Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions Bears 20, Lions 23 | Chicago Bears +2.0 Spread · +2.0 | FD | -110 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Mon, Nov 25 | NFL | Baltimore Ravens @ Los Angeles Chargers Ravens 30, Chargers 23 | Los Angeles Chargers +5.5 Spread · +5.5 | CZR | -110 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 24 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders Broncos 29, Raiders 19 | Las Vegas Raiders ML Moneyline | BMGM | +203 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 24 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Commanders Cowboys 34, Commanders 26 | Dallas Cowboys -14.5 Spread · -14.5 | BMGM | -108 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 24 | NFL | Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans Titans 32, Texans 27 | Over 60.0 Total · O 60.0 | BMGM | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Nov 21 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns Steelers 19, Browns 24 | Under 41.0 Total · U 41.0 | CZR | -111 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ Los Angeles Chargers Bengals 27, Chargers 34 | Cincinnati Bengals +5.0 Spread · +5.0 | BMGM | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills Chiefs 21, Bills 30 | Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 Spread · +3.5 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Detroit Lions Jaguars 6, Lions 52 | Jacksonville Jaguars +45.0 Spread · +45.0 | BMGM | -108 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ Miami Dolphins Raiders 19, Dolphins 34 | Over 56.5 Total · O 56.5 | FD | -113 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |