Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9
Slick's track record
Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.
Backtested record · Not live picks
Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.
Methodology
Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.
Backtested record
Sep 2024 → Apr 2025
+101.77u
50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41
Live record
Begins May 9, 2026
1 graded · sample too small to publish
Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.
NCAAF
New for 2026
NBA
Live picks daily
NFL backtest
268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI
+43.05u · backtested
NCAA Basketball backtest
320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI
+28.70u · backtested
PGA backtest
110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI
+30.02u · backtested
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
WCleveland Browns +4.5
Cleveland Browns @ Philadelphia Eagles · Browns 16, Eagles 20
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
WOver 44.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Green Bay Packers · Cardinals 13, Packers 34
Mon, Oct 7·NFL
WNew Orleans Saints +14.0
New Orleans Saints @ Kansas City Chiefs · Saints 13, Chiefs 26
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
WLos Angeles Rams +8.0
Green Bay Packers @ Los Angeles Rams · Packers 24, Rams 19
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
WOver 24.5
Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots · Dolphins 15, Patriots 10
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
WCarolina Panthers +28.0
Carolina Panthers @ Chicago Bears · Panthers 10, Bears 36
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
WWashington Commanders -15.5
Cleveland Browns @ Washington Commanders · Browns 13, Commanders 34
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
WBuffalo Bills +3.5
Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans · Bills 20, Texans 23
Mon, Sep 30·NFL
WMiami Dolphins +19.5
Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins · Titans 31, Dolphins 12
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
WBaltimore Ravens -21.5
Buffalo Bills @ Baltimore Ravens · Bills 10, Ravens 35
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
WJacksonville Jaguars +8.5
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans · Jaguars 20, Texans 24
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
WCarolina Panthers +14.0
Cincinnati Bengals @ Carolina Panthers · Bengals 34, Panthers 24
Thu, Sep 26·NFL
WNew York Giants +6.0
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants · Cowboys 20, Giants 15
Mon, Sep 23·NFL
WCincinnati Bengals +7.0
Washington Commanders @ Cincinnati Bengals · Commanders 38, Bengals 33
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WUnder 54.0
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams · 49ers 24, Rams 27
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WOver 57.5
Carolina Panthers @ Las Vegas Raiders · Panthers 36, Raiders 22
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WNew Orleans Saints +5.0
Philadelphia Eagles @ New Orleans Saints · Eagles 15, Saints 12
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WOver 40.5
Houston Texans @ Minnesota Vikings · Texans 7, Vikings 34
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WTennessee Titans ML
Green Bay Packers @ Tennessee Titans · Packers 30, Titans 14
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WNew York Giants -4.5
New York Giants @ Cleveland Browns · Giants 21, Browns 15
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WPittsburgh Steelers -3.5
Los Angeles Chargers @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Chargers 10, Steelers 20
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WDenver Broncos -13.5
Denver Broncos @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Broncos 26, Buccaneers 7
Thu, Sep 19·NFL
WUnder 35.0
New England Patriots @ New York Jets · Patriots 3, Jets 24
Mon, Sep 16·NFL
WPhiladelphia Eagles +3.0
Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles · Falcons 22, Eagles 21
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
WCincinnati Bengals +7.0
Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs · Bengals 25, Chiefs 26
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
WNew Orleans Saints -21.0
New Orleans Saints @ Dallas Cowboys · Saints 44, Cowboys 19
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
WOver 39.5
New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans · Jets 24, Titans 17
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
WCleveland Browns -2.0
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Browns 18, Jaguars 13
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
WBaltimore Ravens +5.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ Baltimore Ravens · Raiders 26, Ravens 23
Thu, Sep 12·NFL
WBuffalo Bills -20.5
Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins · Bills 31, Dolphins 10
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
WPittsburgh Steelers ML
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Atlanta Falcons · Steelers 18, Falcons 10
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
WIndianapolis Colts +3.5
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts · Texans 29, Colts 27
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Book | Odds | Units | P/L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Cleveland Browns @ Philadelphia Eagles Browns 16, Eagles 20 | Cleveland Browns +4.5 Spread · +4.5 | DK | -114 | 1.00u | +0.88u | W |
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Arizona Cardinals @ Green Bay Packers Cardinals 13, Packers 34 | Over 44.5 Total · O 44.5 | CZR | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Mon, Oct 7 | NFL | New Orleans Saints @ Kansas City Chiefs Saints 13, Chiefs 26 | New Orleans Saints +14.0 Spread · +14.0 | FD | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Los Angeles Rams Packers 24, Rams 19 | Los Angeles Rams +8.0 Spread · +8.0 | BMGM | -111 | 1.00u | +0.90u | W |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots Dolphins 15, Patriots 10 | Over 24.5 Total · O 24.5 | DK | -113 | 1.00u | +0.88u | W |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Carolina Panthers @ Chicago Bears Panthers 10, Bears 36 | Carolina Panthers +28.0 Spread · +28.0 | BMGM | -110 | 1.00u | +0.91u | W |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Cleveland Browns @ Washington Commanders Browns 13, Commanders 34 | Washington Commanders -15.5 Spread · -15.5 | FD | -112 | 2.00u | +1.79u | W |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans Bills 20, Texans 23 | Buffalo Bills +3.5 Spread · +3.5 | DK | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Mon, Sep 30 | NFL | Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins Titans 31, Dolphins 12 | Miami Dolphins +19.5 Spread · +19.5 | DK | -110 | 2.00u | +1.82u | W |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Baltimore Ravens Bills 10, Ravens 35 | Baltimore Ravens -21.5 Spread · -21.5 | CZR | -110 | 1.00u | +0.91u | W |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans Jaguars 20, Texans 24 | Jacksonville Jaguars +8.5 Spread · +8.5 | FD | -111 | 3.00u | +2.70u | W |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ Carolina Panthers Bengals 34, Panthers 24 | Carolina Panthers +14.0 Spread · +14.0 | FD | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Thu, Sep 26 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants Cowboys 20, Giants 15 | New York Giants +6.0 Spread · +6.0 | BMGM | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Mon, Sep 23 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ Cincinnati Bengals Commanders 38, Bengals 33 | Cincinnati Bengals +7.0 Spread · +7.0 | CZR | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams 49ers 24, Rams 27 | Under 54.0 Total · U 54.0 | DK | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Carolina Panthers @ Las Vegas Raiders Panthers 36, Raiders 22 | Over 57.5 Total · O 57.5 | FD | -111 | 2.00u | +1.80u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Philadelphia Eagles @ New Orleans Saints Eagles 15, Saints 12 | New Orleans Saints +5.0 Spread · +5.0 | DK | -115 | 2.00u | +1.74u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Houston Texans @ Minnesota Vikings Texans 7, Vikings 34 | Over 40.5 Total · O 40.5 | BMGM | -107 | 2.00u | +1.87u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Tennessee Titans Packers 30, Titans 14 | Tennessee Titans ML Moneyline | FD | +204 | 1.00u | +2.04u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | New York Giants @ Cleveland Browns Giants 21, Browns 15 | New York Giants -4.5 Spread · -4.5 | DK | -113 | 2.00u | +1.77u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Pittsburgh Steelers Chargers 10, Steelers 20 | Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 Spread · -3.5 | BMGM | -110 | 3.00u | +2.73u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Broncos 26, Buccaneers 7 | Denver Broncos -13.5 Spread · -13.5 | BMGM | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Thu, Sep 19 | NFL | New England Patriots @ New York Jets Patriots 3, Jets 24 | Under 35.0 Total · U 35.0 | FD | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Mon, Sep 16 | NFL | Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles Falcons 22, Eagles 21 | Philadelphia Eagles +3.0 Spread · +3.0 | CZR | -108 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs Bengals 25, Chiefs 26 | Cincinnati Bengals +7.0 Spread · +7.0 | FD | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | New Orleans Saints @ Dallas Cowboys Saints 44, Cowboys 19 | New Orleans Saints -21.0 Spread · -21.0 | BMGM | -108 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans Jets 24, Titans 17 | Over 39.5 Total · O 39.5 | BMGM | -113 | 1.00u | +0.88u | W |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars Browns 18, Jaguars 13 | Cleveland Browns -2.0 Spread · -2.0 | BMGM | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ Baltimore Ravens Raiders 26, Ravens 23 | Baltimore Ravens +5.5 Spread · +5.5 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Thu, Sep 12 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins Bills 31, Dolphins 10 | Buffalo Bills -20.5 Spread · -20.5 | DK | -110 | 3.00u | +2.73u | W |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Atlanta Falcons Steelers 18, Falcons 10 | Pittsburgh Steelers ML Moneyline | DK | +182 | 1.00u | +1.82u | W |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts Texans 29, Colts 27 | Indianapolis Colts +3.5 Spread · +3.5 | DK | -113 | 3.00u | +2.65u | W |