Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9
Slick's track record
Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.
Backtested record · Not live picks
Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.
Methodology
Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.
Backtested record
Sep 2024 → Apr 2025
+101.77u
50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41
Live record
Begins May 9, 2026
1 graded · sample too small to publish
Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.
NCAAF
New for 2026
NBA
Live picks daily
NFL backtest
268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI
+43.05u · backtested
NCAA Basketball backtest
320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI
+28.70u · backtested
PGA backtest
110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI
+30.02u · backtested
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
LPittsburgh Steelers -6.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts · Steelers 24, Colts 27
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
LPhiladelphia Eagles +16.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Eagles 16, Buccaneers 33
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
LNew York Jets +0.5
Denver Broncos @ New York Jets · Broncos 10, Jets 9
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
LNew Orleans Saints -1.5
New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons · Saints 24, Falcons 26
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
LDallas Cowboys ML
Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys · Ravens 28, Cowboys 25
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
LArizona Cardinals ML
Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals · Lions 20, Cardinals 13
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
LUnder 23.5
Miami Dolphins @ Seattle Seahawks · Dolphins 3, Seahawks 24
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
LIndianapolis Colts -8.5
Chicago Bears @ Indianapolis Colts · Bears 16, Colts 21
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LChicago Bears +5.5
Chicago Bears @ Houston Texans · Bears 13, Texans 19
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LUnder 16.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos · Steelers 13, Broncos 6
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LArizona Cardinals -32.0
Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals · Rams 10, Cardinals 41
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LDetroit Lions +0.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Detroit Lions · Buccaneers 20, Lions 16
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LSan Francisco 49ers ML
San Francisco 49ers @ Minnesota Vikings · 49ers 17, Vikings 23
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LSeattle Seahawks -4.5
Seattle Seahawks @ New England Patriots · Seahawks 23, Patriots 20
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LCarolina Panthers +21.0
Los Angeles Chargers @ Carolina Panthers · Chargers 26, Panthers 3
Mon, Sep 9·NFL
LOver 52.0
New York Jets @ San Francisco 49ers · Jets 19, 49ers 32
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LDetroit Lions -9.5
Los Angeles Rams @ Detroit Lions · Rams 20, Lions 26
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LCleveland Browns ML
Dallas Cowboys @ Cleveland Browns · Cowboys 33, Browns 17
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LWashington Commanders ML
Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Commanders 20, Buccaneers 37
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LLos Angeles Chargers -15.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers · Raiders 10, Chargers 22
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LSeattle Seahawks -11.5
Denver Broncos @ Seattle Seahawks · Broncos 20, Seahawks 26
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LMinnesota Vikings -24.0
Minnesota Vikings @ New York Giants · Vikings 28, Giants 6
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LJacksonville Jaguars +2.0
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Miami Dolphins · Jaguars 17, Dolphins 20
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LOver 63.0
Arizona Cardinals @ Buffalo Bills · Cardinals 28, Bills 34
Thu, Sep 5·NFL
LBaltimore Ravens ML
Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs · Ravens 20, Chiefs 27
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Book | Odds | Units | P/L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts Steelers 24, Colts 27 | Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5 Spread · -6.5 | FD | -111 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Eagles 16, Buccaneers 33 | Philadelphia Eagles +16.5 Spread · +16.5 | DK | -111 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ New York Jets Broncos 10, Jets 9 | New York Jets +0.5 Spread · +0.5 | BMGM | -108 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons Saints 24, Falcons 26 | New Orleans Saints -1.5 Spread · -1.5 | DK | -114 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys Ravens 28, Cowboys 25 | Dallas Cowboys ML Moneyline | FD | +208 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Lions 20, Cardinals 13 | Arizona Cardinals ML Moneyline | FD | +191 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ Seattle Seahawks Dolphins 3, Seahawks 24 | Under 23.5 Total · U 23.5 | BMGM | -112 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Chicago Bears @ Indianapolis Colts Bears 16, Colts 21 | Indianapolis Colts -8.5 Spread · -8.5 | FD | -112 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Chicago Bears @ Houston Texans Bears 13, Texans 19 | Chicago Bears +5.5 Spread · +5.5 | BMGM | -114 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos Steelers 13, Broncos 6 | Under 16.5 Total · U 16.5 | DK | -106 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals Rams 10, Cardinals 41 | Arizona Cardinals -32.0 Spread · -32.0 | BMGM | -112 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Detroit Lions Buccaneers 20, Lions 16 | Detroit Lions +0.5 Spread · +0.5 | BMGM | -113 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | San Francisco 49ers @ Minnesota Vikings 49ers 17, Vikings 23 | San Francisco 49ers ML Moneyline | DK | +164 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ New England Patriots Seahawks 23, Patriots 20 | Seattle Seahawks -4.5 Spread · -4.5 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Carolina Panthers Chargers 26, Panthers 3 | Carolina Panthers +21.0 Spread · +21.0 | DK | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Mon, Sep 9 | NFL | New York Jets @ San Francisco 49ers Jets 19, 49ers 32 | Over 52.0 Total · O 52.0 | FD | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ Detroit Lions Rams 20, Lions 26 | Detroit Lions -9.5 Spread · -9.5 | DK | -112 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ Cleveland Browns Cowboys 33, Browns 17 | Cleveland Browns ML Moneyline | DK | +239 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Commanders 20, Buccaneers 37 | Washington Commanders ML Moneyline | BMGM | +218 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers Raiders 10, Chargers 22 | Los Angeles Chargers -15.5 Spread · -15.5 | FD | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ Seattle Seahawks Broncos 20, Seahawks 26 | Seattle Seahawks -11.5 Spread · -11.5 | CZR | -108 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Minnesota Vikings @ New York Giants Vikings 28, Giants 6 | Minnesota Vikings -24.0 Spread · -24.0 | BMGM | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Miami Dolphins Jaguars 17, Dolphins 20 | Jacksonville Jaguars +2.0 Spread · +2.0 | DK | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Arizona Cardinals @ Buffalo Bills Cardinals 28, Bills 34 | Over 63.0 Total · O 63.0 | DK | -106 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Thu, Sep 5 | NFL | Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs Ravens 20, Chiefs 27 | Baltimore Ravens ML Moneyline | DK | +204 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |