Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9
Slick's track record
Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.
Backtested record · Not live picks
Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.
Methodology
Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.
Backtested record
Sep 2024 → Apr 2025
+101.77u
50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41
Live record
Begins May 9, 2026
1 graded · sample too small to publish
Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.
NCAAF
New for 2026
NBA
Live picks daily
NFL backtest
268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI
+43.05u · backtested
NCAA Basketball backtest
320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI
+28.70u · backtested
PGA backtest
110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI
+30.02u · backtested
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LSeattle Seahawks -4.5
Seattle Seahawks @ New England Patriots · Seahawks 23, Patriots 20
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LCarolina Panthers +21.0
Los Angeles Chargers @ Carolina Panthers · Chargers 26, Panthers 3
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
WCleveland Browns -2.0
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Browns 18, Jaguars 13
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
WBaltimore Ravens +5.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ Baltimore Ravens · Raiders 26, Ravens 23
Thu, Sep 12·NFL
WBuffalo Bills -20.5
Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins · Bills 31, Dolphins 10
Mon, Sep 9·NFL
LOver 52.0
New York Jets @ San Francisco 49ers · Jets 19, 49ers 32
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LDetroit Lions -9.5
Los Angeles Rams @ Detroit Lions · Rams 20, Lions 26
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LCleveland Browns ML
Dallas Cowboys @ Cleveland Browns · Cowboys 33, Browns 17
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LWashington Commanders ML
Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Commanders 20, Buccaneers 37
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LLos Angeles Chargers -15.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers · Raiders 10, Chargers 22
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LSeattle Seahawks -11.5
Denver Broncos @ Seattle Seahawks · Broncos 20, Seahawks 26
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
WPittsburgh Steelers ML
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Atlanta Falcons · Steelers 18, Falcons 10
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LOver 63.0
Arizona Cardinals @ Buffalo Bills · Cardinals 28, Bills 34
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
POver 41.0
Tennessee Titans @ Chicago Bears · Titans 17, Bears 24
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
WIndianapolis Colts +3.5
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts · Texans 29, Colts 27
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LJacksonville Jaguars +2.0
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Miami Dolphins · Jaguars 17, Dolphins 20
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LMinnesota Vikings -24.0
Minnesota Vikings @ New York Giants · Vikings 28, Giants 6
Thu, Sep 5·NFL
LBaltimore Ravens ML
Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs · Ravens 20, Chiefs 27
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Book | Odds | Units | P/L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ New England Patriots Seahawks 23, Patriots 20 | Seattle Seahawks -4.5 Spread · -4.5 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Carolina Panthers Chargers 26, Panthers 3 | Carolina Panthers +21.0 Spread · +21.0 | DK | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars Browns 18, Jaguars 13 | Cleveland Browns -2.0 Spread · -2.0 | BMGM | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ Baltimore Ravens Raiders 26, Ravens 23 | Baltimore Ravens +5.5 Spread · +5.5 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Thu, Sep 12 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins Bills 31, Dolphins 10 | Buffalo Bills -20.5 Spread · -20.5 | DK | -110 | 3.00u | +2.73u | W |
| Mon, Sep 9 | NFL | New York Jets @ San Francisco 49ers Jets 19, 49ers 32 | Over 52.0 Total · O 52.0 | FD | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ Detroit Lions Rams 20, Lions 26 | Detroit Lions -9.5 Spread · -9.5 | DK | -112 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ Cleveland Browns Cowboys 33, Browns 17 | Cleveland Browns ML Moneyline | DK | +239 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Commanders 20, Buccaneers 37 | Washington Commanders ML Moneyline | BMGM | +218 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers Raiders 10, Chargers 22 | Los Angeles Chargers -15.5 Spread · -15.5 | FD | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ Seattle Seahawks Broncos 20, Seahawks 26 | Seattle Seahawks -11.5 Spread · -11.5 | CZR | -108 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Atlanta Falcons Steelers 18, Falcons 10 | Pittsburgh Steelers ML Moneyline | DK | +182 | 1.00u | +1.82u | W |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Arizona Cardinals @ Buffalo Bills Cardinals 28, Bills 34 | Over 63.0 Total · O 63.0 | DK | -106 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Tennessee Titans @ Chicago Bears Titans 17, Bears 24 | Over 41.0 Total · O 41.0 | BMGM | -112 | 2.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts Texans 29, Colts 27 | Indianapolis Colts +3.5 Spread · +3.5 | DK | -113 | 3.00u | +2.65u | W |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Miami Dolphins Jaguars 17, Dolphins 20 | Jacksonville Jaguars +2.0 Spread · +2.0 | DK | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Minnesota Vikings @ New York Giants Vikings 28, Giants 6 | Minnesota Vikings -24.0 Spread · -24.0 | BMGM | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Sep 5 | NFL | Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs Ravens 20, Chiefs 27 | Baltimore Ravens ML Moneyline | DK | +204 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |