Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9
Slick's track record
Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.
Backtested record · Not live picks
Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.
Methodology
Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.
Backtested record
Sep 2024 → Apr 2025
+101.77u
50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41
Live record
Begins May 9, 2026
1 graded · sample too small to publish
Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.
NCAAF
New for 2026
NBA
Live picks daily
NFL backtest
268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI
+43.05u · backtested
NCAA Basketball backtest
320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI
+28.70u · backtested
PGA backtest
110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI
+30.02u · backtested
Thu, Nov 14·NFL
WWashington Commanders +10.5
Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles · Commanders 18, Eagles 26
Thu, Nov 14·NCAA Basketball
WTarleton State Texans -30.5
Tabor @ Tarleton State Texans · Tabor 57, Texans 88
Tue, Nov 12·NCAA Basketball
WLoyola New Orleans Wolfpack +40.5
Loyola New Orleans Wolfpack @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles · Wolfpack 65, Eagles 104
Tue, Nov 12·NCAA Basketball
WLafayette Leopards +5.5
Pennsylvania Quakers @ Lafayette Leopards · Quakers 63, Leopards 65
Tue, Nov 12·NCAA Basketball
WOver 117.5
Tarleton State Texans @ Florida State Seminoles · Texans 52, Seminoles 72
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
WUnder 26.0
New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears · Patriots 19, Bears 3
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
WJacksonville Jaguars +6.0
Minnesota Vikings @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Vikings 12, Jaguars 7
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
WSan Francisco 49ers +3.0
San Francisco 49ers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 49ers 23, Buccaneers 20
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
WBuffalo Bills ML
Buffalo Bills @ Indianapolis Colts · Bills 30, Colts 20
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
WKansas City Chiefs +0.5
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs · Broncos 14, Chiefs 16
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
WOver 36.0
New York Giants @ Carolina Panthers · Giants 17, Panthers 20
Fri, Nov 8·NCAA Basketball
WFlorida Atlantic Owls -49.5
Coastal Georgia Mariner @ Florida Atlantic Owls · Mariner 49, Owls 99
Mon, Nov 4·NCAA Basketball
WCalifornia Golden Bears -12.0
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners @ California Golden Bears · Roadrunners 73, Bears 86
Mon, Nov 4·NCAA Basketball
WPacific Tigers -22.5
Jessup Warriors @ Pacific Tigers · Warriors 65, Tigers 92
Mon, Nov 4·NCAA Basketball
WNorth Carolina Tar Heels -12.5
Elon Phoenix @ North Carolina Tar Heels · Phoenix 76, Heels 90
Mon, Nov 4·NCAA Basketball
WUnder 168.0
Stony Brook Seawolves @ Marquette Golden Eagles · Seawolves 62, Eagles 102
Mon, Nov 4·NCAA Basketball
WVirginia Tech Hokies -21.0
Delaware State Hornets @ Virginia Tech Hokies · Hornets 60, Hokies 83
Mon, Nov 4·NCAA Basketball
WMichigan State Spartans -21.5
Monmouth Hawks @ Michigan State Spartans · Hawks 57, Spartans 81
Mon, Nov 4·NCAA Basketball
WMarywood Pacers +44.5
Marywood Pacers @ Cornell Big Red · Pacers 52, Red 93
Mon, Nov 4·NCAA Basketball
WTexas A&M Aggies +8.5
Texas A&M Aggies @ UCF Knights · Aggies 61, Knights 64
Mon, Nov 4·NCAA Basketball
WOver 137.5
Georgian Court Lions @ Drexel Dragons · Lions 43, Dragons 95
Mon, Nov 4·NCAA Basketball
WDenver Pioneers +23.5
Denver Pioneers @ Stanford Cardinal · Pioneers 62, Cardinal 85
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WMinnesota Vikings -6.0
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings · Colts 13, Vikings 21
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WDetroit Lions -9.0
Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers · Lions 24, Packers 14
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WSeattle Seahawks ML
Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks · Rams 26, Seahawks 20
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WPhiladelphia Eagles ML
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Philadelphia Eagles · Jaguars 23, Eagles 28
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WUnder 45.0
Chicago Bears @ Arizona Cardinals · Bears 9, Cardinals 29
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WNew Orleans Saints +2.5
New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers · Saints 22, Panthers 23
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WCleveland Browns +19.0
Los Angeles Chargers @ Cleveland Browns · Chargers 27, Browns 10
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WDenver Broncos +31.5
Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens · Broncos 10, Ravens 41
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WAtlanta Falcons +4.0
Dallas Cowboys @ Atlanta Falcons · Cowboys 21, Falcons 27
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WWashington Commanders ML
Washington Commanders @ New York Giants · Commanders 27, Giants 22
Thu, Oct 31·NFL
WNew York Jets ML
Houston Texans @ New York Jets · Texans 13, Jets 21
Sun, Oct 27·NFL
WDallas Cowboys +7.0
Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers · Cowboys 24, 49ers 30
Sun, Oct 27·NFL
WChicago Bears +4.5
Chicago Bears @ Washington Commanders · Bears 15, Commanders 18
Sun, Oct 27·NFL
WKansas City Chiefs ML
Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders · Chiefs 27, Raiders 20
Sun, Oct 27·NFL
WSeattle Seahawks +23.0
Buffalo Bills @ Seattle Seahawks · Bills 31, Seahawks 10
Sun, Oct 27·NFL
WAtlanta Falcons -4.5
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Falcons 31, Buccaneers 26
Sun, Oct 27·NFL
WNew England Patriots -1.0
New York Jets @ New England Patriots · Jets 22, Patriots 25
Sun, Oct 27·NFL
WGreen Bay Packers -2.0
Green Bay Packers @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Packers 30, Jaguars 27
Thu, Oct 24·NFL
WUnder 53.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams · Vikings 20, Rams 30
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
WPittsburgh Steelers -21.0
New York Jets @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Jets 15, Steelers 37
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
WLas Vegas Raiders +1.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Rams · Raiders 15, Rams 20
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
WUnder 30.0
Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts · Dolphins 10, Colts 16
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
WAtlanta Falcons +22.0
Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons · Seahawks 34, Falcons 14
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
WHouston Texans +3.5
Houston Texans @ Green Bay Packers · Texans 22, Packers 24
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
WJacksonville Jaguars -11.0
New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Patriots 16, Jaguars 32
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
WUnder 58.0
Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys · Lions 47, Cowboys 9
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
WPittsburgh Steelers -16.0
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Las Vegas Raiders · Steelers 32, Raiders 13
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
WUnder 38.0
Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans · Colts 20, Titans 17
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Book | Odds | Units | P/L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Nov 14 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles Commanders 18, Eagles 26 | Washington Commanders +10.5 Spread · +10.5 | CZR | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Thu, Nov 14 | NCAA Basketball | Tabor @ Tarleton State Texans Tabor 57, Texans 88 | Tarleton State Texans -30.5 Spread · -30.5 | DK | -106 | 1.00u | +0.94u | W |
| Tue, Nov 12 | NCAA Basketball | Loyola New Orleans Wolfpack @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles Wolfpack 65, Eagles 104 | Loyola New Orleans Wolfpack +40.5 Spread · +40.5 | DK | -105 | 2.00u | +1.90u | W |
| Tue, Nov 12 | NCAA Basketball | Pennsylvania Quakers @ Lafayette Leopards Quakers 63, Leopards 65 | Lafayette Leopards +5.5 Spread · +5.5 | FD | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Tue, Nov 12 | NCAA Basketball | Tarleton State Texans @ Florida State Seminoles Texans 52, Seminoles 72 | Over 117.5 Total · O 117.5 | DK | -114 | 1.00u | +0.88u | W |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Patriots 19, Bears 3 | Under 26.0 Total · U 26.0 | FD | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | Minnesota Vikings @ Jacksonville Jaguars Vikings 12, Jaguars 7 | Jacksonville Jaguars +6.0 Spread · +6.0 | DK | -111 | 1.00u | +0.90u | W |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | San Francisco 49ers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 49ers 23, Buccaneers 20 | San Francisco 49ers +3.0 Spread · +3.0 | FD | -107 | 3.00u | +2.80u | W |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Indianapolis Colts Bills 30, Colts 20 | Buffalo Bills ML Moneyline | BMGM | +146 | 3.00u | +4.38u | W |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs Broncos 14, Chiefs 16 | Kansas City Chiefs +0.5 Spread · +0.5 | DK | -105 | 2.00u | +1.90u | W |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | New York Giants @ Carolina Panthers Giants 17, Panthers 20 | Over 36.0 Total · O 36.0 | BMGM | -115 | 1.00u | +0.87u | W |
| Fri, Nov 8 | NCAA Basketball | Coastal Georgia Mariner @ Florida Atlantic Owls Mariner 49, Owls 99 | Florida Atlantic Owls -49.5 Spread · -49.5 | FD | -108 | 2.00u | +1.85u | W |
| Mon, Nov 4 | NCAA Basketball | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners @ California Golden Bears Roadrunners 73, Bears 86 | California Golden Bears -12.0 Spread · -12.0 | FD | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Mon, Nov 4 | NCAA Basketball | Jessup Warriors @ Pacific Tigers Warriors 65, Tigers 92 | Pacific Tigers -22.5 Spread · -22.5 | FD | -111 | 1.00u | +0.90u | W |
| Mon, Nov 4 | NCAA Basketball | Elon Phoenix @ North Carolina Tar Heels Phoenix 76, Heels 90 | North Carolina Tar Heels -12.5 Spread · -12.5 | BMGM | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Mon, Nov 4 | NCAA Basketball | Stony Brook Seawolves @ Marquette Golden Eagles Seawolves 62, Eagles 102 | Under 168.0 Total · U 168.0 | FD | -108 | 2.00u | +1.85u | W |
| Mon, Nov 4 | NCAA Basketball | Delaware State Hornets @ Virginia Tech Hokies Hornets 60, Hokies 83 | Virginia Tech Hokies -21.0 Spread · -21.0 | DK | -110 | 1.00u | +0.91u | W |
| Mon, Nov 4 | NCAA Basketball | Monmouth Hawks @ Michigan State Spartans Hawks 57, Spartans 81 | Michigan State Spartans -21.5 Spread · -21.5 | BRV | -114 | 1.00u | +0.88u | W |
| Mon, Nov 4 | NCAA Basketball | Marywood Pacers @ Cornell Big Red Pacers 52, Red 93 | Marywood Pacers +44.5 Spread · +44.5 | BRV | -107 | 2.00u | +1.87u | W |
| Mon, Nov 4 | NCAA Basketball | Texas A&M Aggies @ UCF Knights Aggies 61, Knights 64 | Texas A&M Aggies +8.5 Spread · +8.5 | FD | -105 | 3.00u | +2.86u | W |
| Mon, Nov 4 | NCAA Basketball | Georgian Court Lions @ Drexel Dragons Lions 43, Dragons 95 | Over 137.5 Total · O 137.5 | DK | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Mon, Nov 4 | NCAA Basketball | Denver Pioneers @ Stanford Cardinal Pioneers 62, Cardinal 85 | Denver Pioneers +23.5 Spread · +23.5 | FD | -110 | 2.00u | +1.82u | W |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings Colts 13, Vikings 21 | Minnesota Vikings -6.0 Spread · -6.0 | CZR | -109 | 3.00u | +2.75u | W |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers Lions 24, Packers 14 | Detroit Lions -9.0 Spread · -9.0 | CZR | -111 | 1.00u | +0.90u | W |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks Rams 26, Seahawks 20 | Seattle Seahawks ML Moneyline | CZR | +154 | 1.00u | +1.54u | W |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Philadelphia Eagles Jaguars 23, Eagles 28 | Philadelphia Eagles ML Moneyline | CZR | +232 | 1.00u | +2.32u | W |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Chicago Bears @ Arizona Cardinals Bears 9, Cardinals 29 | Under 45.0 Total · U 45.0 | CZR | -108 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers Saints 22, Panthers 23 | New Orleans Saints +2.5 Spread · +2.5 | DK | -106 | 1.00u | +0.94u | W |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Cleveland Browns Chargers 27, Browns 10 | Cleveland Browns +19.0 Spread · +19.0 | DK | -113 | 1.00u | +0.88u | W |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens Broncos 10, Ravens 41 | Denver Broncos +31.5 Spread · +31.5 | CZR | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ Atlanta Falcons Cowboys 21, Falcons 27 | Atlanta Falcons +4.0 Spread · +4.0 | BMGM | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Commanders 27, Giants 22 | Washington Commanders ML Moneyline | DK | +184 | 2.00u | +3.68u | W |
| Thu, Oct 31 | NFL | Houston Texans @ New York Jets Texans 13, Jets 21 | New York Jets ML Moneyline | FD | +148 | 1.00u | +1.48u | W |
| Sun, Oct 27 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers Cowboys 24, 49ers 30 | Dallas Cowboys +7.0 Spread · +7.0 | BMGM | -112 | 2.00u | +1.79u | W |
| Sun, Oct 27 | NFL | Chicago Bears @ Washington Commanders Bears 15, Commanders 18 | Chicago Bears +4.5 Spread · +4.5 | CZR | -111 | 1.00u | +0.90u | W |
| Sun, Oct 27 | NFL | Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders Chiefs 27, Raiders 20 | Kansas City Chiefs ML Moneyline | BMGM | +201 | 2.00u | +4.02u | W |
| Sun, Oct 27 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Seattle Seahawks Bills 31, Seahawks 10 | Seattle Seahawks +23.0 Spread · +23.0 | FD | -107 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sun, Oct 27 | NFL | Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Falcons 31, Buccaneers 26 | Atlanta Falcons -4.5 Spread · -4.5 | CZR | -106 | 1.00u | +0.94u | W |
| Sun, Oct 27 | NFL | New York Jets @ New England Patriots Jets 22, Patriots 25 | New England Patriots -1.0 Spread · -1.0 | BMGM | -106 | 1.00u | +0.94u | W |
| Sun, Oct 27 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Jacksonville Jaguars Packers 30, Jaguars 27 | Green Bay Packers -2.0 Spread · -2.0 | BMGM | -111 | 3.00u | +2.70u | W |
| Thu, Oct 24 | NFL | Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams Vikings 20, Rams 30 | Under 53.5 Total · U 53.5 | BMGM | -108 | 3.00u | +2.78u | W |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | New York Jets @ Pittsburgh Steelers Jets 15, Steelers 37 | Pittsburgh Steelers -21.0 Spread · -21.0 | CZR | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Rams Raiders 15, Rams 20 | Las Vegas Raiders +1.5 Spread · +1.5 | DK | -107 | 2.00u | +1.87u | W |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts Dolphins 10, Colts 16 | Under 30.0 Total · U 30.0 | CZR | -111 | 1.00u | +0.90u | W |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons Seahawks 34, Falcons 14 | Atlanta Falcons +22.0 Spread · +22.0 | DK | -106 | 2.00u | +1.89u | W |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Houston Texans @ Green Bay Packers Texans 22, Packers 24 | Houston Texans +3.5 Spread · +3.5 | CZR | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars Patriots 16, Jaguars 32 | Jacksonville Jaguars -11.0 Spread · -11.0 | CZR | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys Lions 47, Cowboys 9 | Under 58.0 Total · U 58.0 | FD | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Las Vegas Raiders Steelers 32, Raiders 13 | Pittsburgh Steelers -16.0 Spread · -16.0 | FD | -114 | 1.00u | +0.88u | W |
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans Colts 20, Titans 17 | Under 38.0 Total · U 38.0 | FD | -114 | 2.00u | +1.75u | W |