Slick's track record

Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9

Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.

Backtested record · Not live picks

Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.

Methodology

Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.

Backtested record

Sep 2024 → Apr 2025

+101.77u

50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41

Live record

Begins May 9, 2026

1 graded · sample too small to publish

Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.

NCAAF

New for 2026

NBA

Live picks daily

NFL backtest

268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI

+43.05u · backtested

NCAA Basketball backtest

320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI

+28.70u · backtested

PGA backtest

110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI

+30.02u · backtested

Backtest LiveAll NFL NBA PGA NCAAF NCAAB

All Wins Losses PushesAll 1u 2u 3u

Scope

Backtest Live

Sport

All NFL NBA PGA NCAA Football NCAA Basketball

Result

All Wins Losses Pushes

Confidence

All 1u 2u 3u

Thu, Jan 30·NCAA Basketball

Oregon Ducks +29.0

Oregon Ducks @ UCLA Bruins · Ducks 52, Bruins 78

DK-1073.00u

+2.80u

Thu, Jan 30·NCAA Basketball

UC Riverside Highlanders +0.5

UC Davis Aggies @ UC Riverside Highlanders · Aggies 58, Highlanders 60

BRV-1091.00u

+0.92u

Thu, Jan 30·NCAA Basketball

Idaho Vandals -8.5

Idaho Vandals @ Weber State Wildcats · Vandals 82, Wildcats 74

FD-1061.00u

-1.00u

Thu, Jan 30·NCAA Basketball

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks -10.0

UT Martin Skyhawks @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks · Skyhawks 79, Redhawks 90

FD-1081.00u

+0.93u

Thu, Jan 30·NCAA Basketball

UNC Wilmington Seahawks -23.0

UNC Wilmington Seahawks @ North Carolina A&T Aggies · Seahawks 83, Aggies 59

FD-1101.00u

+0.91u

Thu, Jan 30·NCAA Basketball

Le Moyne Dolphins +4.0

Le Moyne Dolphins @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · Dolphins 74, Knights 78

FD-1091.00u

0.00u

Thu, Jan 30·NCAA Basketball

James Madison Dukes -11.0

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers @ James Madison Dukes · Chanticleers 64, Dukes 73

BMGM-1093.00u

-3.00u

Thu, Jan 30·PGA

Keegan Bradley Top 5

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am · Rory McIlroy won (-21)

BMGM+5481.00u

-1.00u

Thu, Jan 30·PGA

Patrick Rodgers Top 10

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am · Rory McIlroy won (-21)

FD+3801.00u

-1.00u

Thu, Jan 30·PGA

Nick Dunlap Top 10

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am · Rory McIlroy won (-21)

FD+3741.00u

-1.00u

Thu, Jan 30·PGA

Rickie Fowler Top 10

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am · Rory McIlroy won (-21)

DK+2491.00u

-1.00u

Wed, Jan 29·NCAA Basketball

Mississippi State Bulldogs +4.0

Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs · Tide 88, Bulldogs 84

BRV-1062.00u

0.00u

Wed, Jan 29·NCAA Basketball

Western Carolina Catamounts +25.0

Chattanooga Mocs @ Western Carolina Catamounts · Mocs 84, Catamounts 60

DK-1111.00u

+0.90u

Wed, Jan 29·NCAA Basketball

South Carolina Upstate Spartans +7.0

Charleston Southern Buccaneers @ South Carolina Upstate Spartans · Buccaneers 82, Spartans 75

BRV-1061.00u

0.00u

Tue, Jan 28·NCAA Basketball

Texas A&M Aggies -5.5

Oklahoma Sooners @ Texas A&M Aggies · Sooners 68, Aggies 75

DK-1122.00u

+1.79u

Tue, Jan 28·NCAA Basketball

North Carolina Tar Heels +9.5

North Carolina Tar Heels @ Pittsburgh Panthers · Heels 65, Panthers 73

BRV-1092.00u

+1.83u

Tue, Jan 28·NCAA Basketball

Air Force Falcons ML

Air Force Falcons @ Colorado State Rams · Falcons 58, Rams 79

FD+1981.00u

-1.00u

Tue, Jan 28·NCAA Basketball

Ball State Cardinals +7.5

Western Michigan Broncos @ Ball State Cardinals · Broncos 74, Cardinals 71

BMGM-1061.00u

+0.94u

Mon, Jan 27·NCAA Basketball

New Orleans Privateers +14.0

Incarnate Word Cardinals @ New Orleans Privateers · Cardinals 74, Privateers 58

BRV-1121.00u

-1.00u

Mon, Jan 27·NCAA Basketball

Jackson State Tigers +9.0

Florida A&M Rattlers @ Jackson State Tigers · Rattlers 72, Tigers 62

BMGM-1091.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Jan 26·NFL

Under 61.0

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs · Bills 29, Chiefs 32

CZR-1091.00u

0.00u

Sun, Jan 26·NFL

Washington Commanders +38.5

Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles · Commanders 23, Eagles 55

BMGM-1091.00u

+0.92u

Sun, Jan 26·NCAA Basketball

Florida Atlantic Owls +13.5

Florida Atlantic Owls @ North Texas Mean Green · Owls 64, Green 77

FD-1121.00u

+0.89u

Sun, Jan 26·NCAA Basketball

Central Connecticut Blue Devils -14.5

Chicago State Cougars @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils · Cougars 64, Devils 81

BRV-1061.00u

+0.94u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

Over 146.0

San Diego Toreros @ San Francisco Dons · Toreros 69, Dons 81

BMGM-1131.00u

+0.88u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +16.0

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors @ UC Irvine Anteaters · Warriors 55, Anteaters 71

BRV-1062.00u

0.00u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

California Golden Bears -3.0

Miami Hurricanes @ California Golden Bears · Hurricanes 94, Bears 98

BRV-1151.00u

+0.87u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

North Alabama Lions -6.0

Austin Peay Governors @ North Alabama Lions · Governors 84, Lions 88

DK-1081.00u

-1.00u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

Old Dominion Monarchs -18.0

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers @ Old Dominion Monarchs · Chanticleers 52, Monarchs 74

FD-1111.00u

+0.90u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -4.5

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · Raiders 69, Bulldogs 75

FD-1071.00u

+0.93u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

Houston Cougars -6.5

Houston Cougars @ Kansas Jayhawks · Cougars 92, Jayhawks 86

FD-1091.00u

-1.00u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

Wofford Terriers +17.5

Wofford Terriers @ Samford Bulldogs · Terriers 61, Bulldogs 77

BMGM-1052.00u

+1.90u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

Missouri Tigers -11.5

Ole Miss Rebels @ Missouri Tigers · Rebels 75, Tigers 83

FD-1051.00u

-1.00u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

Over 162.0

McNeese Cowboys @ UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros · Cowboys 93, Vaqueros 63

FD-1062.00u

-2.00u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

Georgia Bulldogs +36.0

Georgia Bulldogs @ Florida Gators · Bulldogs 59, Gators 89

BRV-1122.00u

+1.79u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

South Carolina Upstate Spartans +22.0

South Carolina Upstate Spartans @ Longwood Lancers · Spartans 54, Lancers 80

DK-1131.00u

-1.00u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

Under 199.5

Boston College Eagles @ North Carolina Tar Heels · Eagles 96, Heels 102

BMGM-1151.00u

+0.87u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

Lipscomb Bisons -11.0

Lipscomb Bisons @ Central Arkansas Bears · Bisons 68, Bears 55

BRV-1131.00u

+0.88u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

Akron Zips -25.0

Miami (OH) RedHawks @ Akron Zips · RedHawks 75, Zips 102

BRV-1151.00u

+0.87u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

Saint Louis Billikens +6.5

Saint Louis Billikens @ George Washington Revolutionaries · Billikens 61, Revolutionaries 67

FD-1081.00u

+0.93u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

UMass Lowell River Hawks -16.0

New Hampshire Wildcats @ UMass Lowell River Hawks · Wildcats 80, Hawks 97

FD-1143.00u

+2.63u

Fri, Jan 24·NCAA Basketball

Penn State Nittany Lions ML

Penn State Nittany Lions @ Iowa Hawkeyes · Lions 75, Hawkeyes 76

BMGM+1631.00u

-1.00u

Fri, Jan 24·NCAA Basketball

Marquette Golden Eagles -11.0

Villanova Wildcats @ Marquette Golden Eagles · Wildcats 74, Eagles 87

DK-1061.00u

+0.94u

Thu, Jan 23·NCAA Basketball

Utah Valley Wolverines -8.0

Utah Valley Wolverines @ California Baptist Lancers · Wolverines 74, Lancers 69

BRV-1102.00u

-2.00u

Thu, Jan 23·NCAA Basketball

Oregon State Beavers -22.5

Pepperdine Waves @ Oregon State Beavers · Waves 63, Beavers 83

BMGM-1061.00u

-1.00u

Thu, Jan 23·NCAA Basketball

Stetson Hatters -5.5

Stetson Hatters @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels · Hatters 67, Colonels 66

BRV-1123.00u

-3.00u

Thu, Jan 23·NCAA Basketball

Manhattan Jaspers ML

Fairfield Stags @ Manhattan Jaspers · Stags 87, Jaspers 84

BRV+2031.00u

-1.00u

Thu, Jan 23·NCAA Basketball

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +16.0

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers @ Siena Saints · Mountaineers 68, Saints 82

FD-1121.00u

+0.89u

Thu, Jan 23·NCAA Basketball

West Georgia Wolves +21.0

Jacksonville Dolphins @ West Georgia Wolves · Dolphins 79, Wolves 62

BMGM-1122.00u

+1.79u

Thu, Jan 23·NCAA Basketball

Hampton Pirates +14.0

Hampton Pirates @ William & Mary Tribe · Pirates 83, Tribe 94

BMGM-1143.00u

+2.63u

Date	Sport	Matchup	Pick	Book	Odds	Units	P/L
Thu, Jan 30	NCAA Basketball	Oregon Ducks @ UCLA Bruins Ducks 52, Bruins 78	Oregon Ducks +29.0 Spread · +29.0	DK	-107	3.00u	+2.80u	W
Thu, Jan 30	NCAA Basketball	UC Davis Aggies @ UC Riverside Highlanders Aggies 58, Highlanders 60	UC Riverside Highlanders +0.5 Spread · +0.5	BRV	-109	1.00u	+0.92u	W
Thu, Jan 30	NCAA Basketball	Idaho Vandals @ Weber State Wildcats Vandals 82, Wildcats 74	Idaho Vandals -8.5 Spread · -8.5	FD	-106	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Thu, Jan 30	NCAA Basketball	UT Martin Skyhawks @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Skyhawks 79, Redhawks 90	Southeast Missouri State Redhawks -10.0 Spread · -10.0	FD	-108	1.00u	+0.93u	W
Thu, Jan 30	NCAA Basketball	UNC Wilmington Seahawks @ North Carolina A&T Aggies Seahawks 83, Aggies 59	UNC Wilmington Seahawks -23.0 Spread · -23.0	FD	-110	1.00u	+0.91u	W
Thu, Jan 30	NCAA Basketball	Le Moyne Dolphins @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights Dolphins 74, Knights 78	Le Moyne Dolphins +4.0 Spread · +4.0	FD	-109	1.00u	0.00u	P
Thu, Jan 30	NCAA Basketball	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers @ James Madison Dukes Chanticleers 64, Dukes 73	James Madison Dukes -11.0 Spread · -11.0	BMGM	-109	3.00u	-3.00u	L
Thu, Jan 30	PGA	AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Rory McIlroy won (-21)	Keegan Bradley Top 5 — AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Top5 · Top 5	BMGM	+548	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Thu, Jan 30	PGA	AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Rory McIlroy won (-21)	Patrick Rodgers Top 10 — AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Top10 · Top 10	FD	+380	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Thu, Jan 30	PGA	AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Rory McIlroy won (-21)	Nick Dunlap Top 10 — AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Top10 · Top 10	FD	+374	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Thu, Jan 30	PGA	AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Rory McIlroy won (-21)	Rickie Fowler Top 10 — AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Top10 · Top 10	DK	+249	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Wed, Jan 29	NCAA Basketball	Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Tide 88, Bulldogs 84	Mississippi State Bulldogs +4.0 Spread · +4.0	BRV	-106	2.00u	0.00u	P
Wed, Jan 29	NCAA Basketball	Chattanooga Mocs @ Western Carolina Catamounts Mocs 84, Catamounts 60	Western Carolina Catamounts +25.0 Spread · +25.0	DK	-111	1.00u	+0.90u	W
Wed, Jan 29	NCAA Basketball	Charleston Southern Buccaneers @ South Carolina Upstate Spartans Buccaneers 82, Spartans 75	South Carolina Upstate Spartans +7.0 Spread · +7.0	BRV	-106	1.00u	0.00u	P
Tue, Jan 28	NCAA Basketball	Oklahoma Sooners @ Texas A&M Aggies Sooners 68, Aggies 75	Texas A&M Aggies -5.5 Spread · -5.5	DK	-112	2.00u	+1.79u	W
Tue, Jan 28	NCAA Basketball	North Carolina Tar Heels @ Pittsburgh Panthers Heels 65, Panthers 73	North Carolina Tar Heels +9.5 Spread · +9.5	BRV	-109	2.00u	+1.83u	W
Tue, Jan 28	NCAA Basketball	Air Force Falcons @ Colorado State Rams Falcons 58, Rams 79	Air Force Falcons ML Moneyline	FD	+198	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Tue, Jan 28	NCAA Basketball	Western Michigan Broncos @ Ball State Cardinals Broncos 74, Cardinals 71	Ball State Cardinals +7.5 Spread · +7.5	BMGM	-106	1.00u	+0.94u	W
Mon, Jan 27	NCAA Basketball	Incarnate Word Cardinals @ New Orleans Privateers Cardinals 74, Privateers 58	New Orleans Privateers +14.0 Spread · +14.0	BRV	-112	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Mon, Jan 27	NCAA Basketball	Florida A&M Rattlers @ Jackson State Tigers Rattlers 72, Tigers 62	Jackson State Tigers +9.0 Spread · +9.0	BMGM	-109	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Jan 26	NFL	Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs Bills 29, Chiefs 32	Under 61.0 Total · U 61.0	CZR	-109	1.00u	0.00u	P
Sun, Jan 26	NFL	Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles Commanders 23, Eagles 55	Washington Commanders +38.5 Spread · +38.5	BMGM	-109	1.00u	+0.92u	W
Sun, Jan 26	NCAA Basketball	Florida Atlantic Owls @ North Texas Mean Green Owls 64, Green 77	Florida Atlantic Owls +13.5 Spread · +13.5	FD	-112	1.00u	+0.89u	W
Sun, Jan 26	NCAA Basketball	Chicago State Cougars @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils Cougars 64, Devils 81	Central Connecticut Blue Devils -14.5 Spread · -14.5	BRV	-106	1.00u	+0.94u	W
Sat, Jan 25	NCAA Basketball	San Diego Toreros @ San Francisco Dons Toreros 69, Dons 81	Over 146.0 Total · O 146.0	BMGM	-113	1.00u	+0.88u	W
Sat, Jan 25	NCAA Basketball	Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors @ UC Irvine Anteaters Warriors 55, Anteaters 71	Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +16.0 Spread · +16.0	BRV	-106	2.00u	0.00u	P
Sat, Jan 25	NCAA Basketball	Miami Hurricanes @ California Golden Bears Hurricanes 94, Bears 98	California Golden Bears -3.0 Spread · -3.0	BRV	-115	1.00u	+0.87u	W
Sat, Jan 25	NCAA Basketball	Austin Peay Governors @ North Alabama Lions Governors 84, Lions 88	North Alabama Lions -6.0 Spread · -6.0	DK	-108	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sat, Jan 25	NCAA Basketball	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers @ Old Dominion Monarchs Chanticleers 52, Monarchs 74	Old Dominion Monarchs -18.0 Spread · -18.0	FD	-111	1.00u	+0.90u	W
Sat, Jan 25	NCAA Basketball	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Raiders 69, Bulldogs 75	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -4.5 Spread · -4.5	FD	-107	1.00u	+0.93u	W
Sat, Jan 25	NCAA Basketball	Houston Cougars @ Kansas Jayhawks Cougars 92, Jayhawks 86	Houston Cougars -6.5 Spread · -6.5	FD	-109	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sat, Jan 25	NCAA Basketball	Wofford Terriers @ Samford Bulldogs Terriers 61, Bulldogs 77	Wofford Terriers +17.5 Spread · +17.5	BMGM	-105	2.00u	+1.90u	W
Sat, Jan 25	NCAA Basketball	Ole Miss Rebels @ Missouri Tigers Rebels 75, Tigers 83	Missouri Tigers -11.5 Spread · -11.5	FD	-105	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sat, Jan 25	NCAA Basketball	McNeese Cowboys @ UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros Cowboys 93, Vaqueros 63	Over 162.0 Total · O 162.0	FD	-106	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sat, Jan 25	NCAA Basketball	Georgia Bulldogs @ Florida Gators Bulldogs 59, Gators 89	Georgia Bulldogs +36.0 Spread · +36.0	BRV	-112	2.00u	+1.79u	W
Sat, Jan 25	NCAA Basketball	South Carolina Upstate Spartans @ Longwood Lancers Spartans 54, Lancers 80	South Carolina Upstate Spartans +22.0 Spread · +22.0	DK	-113	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sat, Jan 25	NCAA Basketball	Boston College Eagles @ North Carolina Tar Heels Eagles 96, Heels 102	Under 199.5 Total · U 199.5	BMGM	-115	1.00u	+0.87u	W
Sat, Jan 25	NCAA Basketball	Lipscomb Bisons @ Central Arkansas Bears Bisons 68, Bears 55	Lipscomb Bisons -11.0 Spread · -11.0	BRV	-113	1.00u	+0.88u	W
Sat, Jan 25	NCAA Basketball	Miami (OH) RedHawks @ Akron Zips RedHawks 75, Zips 102	Akron Zips -25.0 Spread · -25.0	BRV	-115	1.00u	+0.87u	W
Sat, Jan 25	NCAA Basketball	Saint Louis Billikens @ George Washington Revolutionaries Billikens 61, Revolutionaries 67	Saint Louis Billikens +6.5 Spread · +6.5	FD	-108	1.00u	+0.93u	W
Sat, Jan 25	NCAA Basketball	New Hampshire Wildcats @ UMass Lowell River Hawks Wildcats 80, Hawks 97	UMass Lowell River Hawks -16.0 Spread · -16.0	FD	-114	3.00u	+2.63u	W
Fri, Jan 24	NCAA Basketball	Penn State Nittany Lions @ Iowa Hawkeyes Lions 75, Hawkeyes 76	Penn State Nittany Lions ML Moneyline	BMGM	+163	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Fri, Jan 24	NCAA Basketball	Villanova Wildcats @ Marquette Golden Eagles Wildcats 74, Eagles 87	Marquette Golden Eagles -11.0 Spread · -11.0	DK	-106	1.00u	+0.94u	W
Thu, Jan 23	NCAA Basketball	Utah Valley Wolverines @ California Baptist Lancers Wolverines 74, Lancers 69	Utah Valley Wolverines -8.0 Spread · -8.0	BRV	-110	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Thu, Jan 23	NCAA Basketball	Pepperdine Waves @ Oregon State Beavers Waves 63, Beavers 83	Oregon State Beavers -22.5 Spread · -22.5	BMGM	-106	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Thu, Jan 23	NCAA Basketball	Stetson Hatters @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels Hatters 67, Colonels 66	Stetson Hatters -5.5 Spread · -5.5	BRV	-112	3.00u	-3.00u	L
Thu, Jan 23	NCAA Basketball	Fairfield Stags @ Manhattan Jaspers Stags 87, Jaspers 84	Manhattan Jaspers ML Moneyline	BRV	+203	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Thu, Jan 23	NCAA Basketball	Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers @ Siena Saints Mountaineers 68, Saints 82	Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +16.0 Spread · +16.0	FD	-112	1.00u	+0.89u	W
Thu, Jan 23	NCAA Basketball	Jacksonville Dolphins @ West Georgia Wolves Dolphins 79, Wolves 62	West Georgia Wolves +21.0 Spread · +21.0	BMGM	-112	2.00u	+1.79u	W
Thu, Jan 23	NCAA Basketball	Hampton Pirates @ William & Mary Tribe Pirates 83, Tribe 94	Hampton Pirates +14.0 Spread · +14.0	BMGM	-114	3.00u	+2.63u	W

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