Slick's track record

Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9

Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.

Backtested record · Not live picks

Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.

Methodology

Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.

Backtested record

Sep 2024 → Apr 2025

+101.77u

50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41

Live record

Begins May 9, 2026

1 graded · sample too small to publish

Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.

NCAAF

New for 2026

NBA

Live picks daily

NFL backtest

268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI

+43.05u · backtested

NCAA Basketball backtest

320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI

+28.70u · backtested

PGA backtest

110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI

+30.02u · backtested

Backtest LiveAll NFL NBA PGA NCAAF NCAAB

All Wins Losses PushesAll 1u 2u 3u

Scope

Backtest Live

Sport

All NFL NBA PGA NCAA Football NCAA Basketball

Result

All Wins Losses Pushes

Confidence

All 1u 2u 3u

Sun, Nov 3·NFL

Tennessee Titans -3.5

New England Patriots @ Tennessee Titans · Patriots 17, Titans 20

FD-1132.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Nov 3·NFL

Washington Commanders ML

Washington Commanders @ New York Giants · Commanders 27, Giants 22

DK+1842.00u

+3.68u

Sun, Nov 3·NFL

New Orleans Saints +2.5

New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers · Saints 22, Panthers 23

DK-1061.00u

+0.94u

Sun, Nov 3·NFL

Denver Broncos +31.5

Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens · Broncos 10, Ravens 41

CZR-1091.00u

+0.92u

Sun, Nov 3·NFL

Las Vegas Raiders +13.5

Las Vegas Raiders @ Cincinnati Bengals · Raiders 24, Bengals 41

CZR-1151.00u

-1.00u

Thu, Oct 31·NFL

New York Jets ML

Houston Texans @ New York Jets · Texans 13, Jets 21

FD+1481.00u

+1.48u

Mon, Oct 28·NFL

Under 43.5

New York Giants @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Giants 18, Steelers 26

FD-1091.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

Dallas Cowboys +7.0

Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers · Cowboys 24, 49ers 30

BMGM-1122.00u

+1.79u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

Denver Broncos -16.5

Carolina Panthers @ Denver Broncos · Panthers 14, Broncos 28

CZR-1102.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

Kansas City Chiefs ML

Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders · Chiefs 27, Raiders 20

BMGM+2012.00u

+4.02u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

Chicago Bears +4.5

Chicago Bears @ Washington Commanders · Bears 15, Commanders 18

CZR-1111.00u

+0.90u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

Under 34.0

New Orleans Saints @ Los Angeles Chargers · Saints 8, Chargers 26

CZR-1151.00u

0.00u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

Seattle Seahawks +23.0

Buffalo Bills @ Seattle Seahawks · Bills 31, Seahawks 10

FD-1071.00u

+0.93u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

Over 59.0

Arizona Cardinals @ Miami Dolphins · Cardinals 28, Dolphins 27

FD-1062.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

New England Patriots -1.0

New York Jets @ New England Patriots · Jets 22, Patriots 25

BMGM-1061.00u

+0.94u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

Atlanta Falcons -4.5

Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Falcons 31, Buccaneers 26

CZR-1061.00u

+0.94u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

Green Bay Packers -2.0

Green Bay Packers @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Packers 30, Jaguars 27

BMGM-1113.00u

+2.70u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

Indianapolis Colts ML

Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans · Colts 20, Texans 23

FD+1252.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

Cincinnati Bengals +20.0

Philadelphia Eagles @ Cincinnati Bengals · Eagles 37, Bengals 17

DK-1121.00u

0.00u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

Baltimore Ravens +2.5

Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns · Ravens 24, Browns 29

BMGM-1061.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

Under 64.5

Tennessee Titans @ Detroit Lions · Titans 14, Lions 52

BMGM-1111.00u

-1.00u

Thu, Oct 24·NFL

Under 53.5

Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams · Vikings 20, Rams 30

BMGM-1083.00u

+2.78u

Mon, Oct 21·NFL

Los Angeles Chargers +0.5

Los Angeles Chargers @ Arizona Cardinals · Chargers 15, Cardinals 17

CZR-1102.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Oct 20·NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers -21.0

New York Jets @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Jets 15, Steelers 37

CZR-1051.00u

+0.95u

Sun, Oct 20·NFL

San Francisco 49ers ML

Kansas City Chiefs @ San Francisco 49ers · Chiefs 28, 49ers 18

BMGM+1931.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Oct 20·NFL

Las Vegas Raiders +1.5

Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Rams · Raiders 15, Rams 20

DK-1072.00u

+1.87u

Sun, Oct 20·NFL

Carolina Panthers ML

Carolina Panthers @ Washington Commanders · Panthers 7, Commanders 40

DK+2421.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Oct 20·NFL

Tennessee Titans +24.0

Tennessee Titans @ Buffalo Bills · Titans 10, Bills 34

FD-1131.00u

0.00u

Sun, Oct 20·NFL

Cincinnati Bengals -7.0

Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns · Bengals 21, Browns 14

DK-1121.00u

0.00u

Sun, Oct 20·NFL

Houston Texans +3.5

Houston Texans @ Green Bay Packers · Texans 22, Packers 24

CZR-1091.00u

+0.92u

Sun, Oct 20·NFL

Under 30.0

Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts · Dolphins 10, Colts 16

CZR-1111.00u

+0.90u

Sun, Oct 20·NFL

Over 34.0

Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants · Eagles 28, Giants 3

FD-1151.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Oct 20·NFL

Minnesota Vikings -1.0

Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings · Lions 31, Vikings 29

CZR-1053.00u

-3.00u

Sun, Oct 20·NFL

Atlanta Falcons +22.0

Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons · Seahawks 34, Falcons 14

DK-1062.00u

+1.89u

Sun, Oct 20·NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars -11.0

New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Patriots 16, Jaguars 32

CZR-1091.00u

+0.92u

Thu, Oct 17·NFL

Denver Broncos -23.0

Denver Broncos @ New Orleans Saints · Broncos 33, Saints 10

BMGM-1071.00u

0.00u

Mon, Oct 14·NFL

New York Jets -0.5

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets · Bills 23, Jets 20

CZR-1061.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Oct 13·NFL

Under 24.0

Cincinnati Bengals @ New York Giants · Bengals 17, Giants 7

DK-1101.00u

0.00u

Sun, Oct 13·NFL

Under 58.0

Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys · Lions 47, Cowboys 9

FD-1051.00u

+0.95u

Sun, Oct 13·NFL

Carolina Panthers +18.0

Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers · Falcons 38, Panthers 20

DK-1091.00u

0.00u

Sun, Oct 13·NFL

Under 36.0

Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos · Chargers 23, Broncos 16

FD-1071.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Oct 13·NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers -16.0

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Las Vegas Raiders · Steelers 32, Raiders 13

FD-1141.00u

+0.88u

Sun, Oct 13·NFL

Over 44.5

Arizona Cardinals @ Green Bay Packers · Cardinals 13, Packers 34

CZR-1091.00u

+0.92u

Sun, Oct 13·NFL

Under 38.0

Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans · Colts 20, Titans 17

FD-1142.00u

+1.75u

Sun, Oct 13·NFL

New England Patriots +18.0

Houston Texans @ New England Patriots · Texans 41, Patriots 21

CZR-1071.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Oct 13·NFL

Cleveland Browns +4.5

Cleveland Browns @ Philadelphia Eagles · Browns 16, Eagles 20

DK-1141.00u

+0.88u

Sun, Oct 13·NFL

Baltimore Ravens -8.0

Washington Commanders @ Baltimore Ravens · Commanders 23, Ravens 30

FD-1071.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Oct 13·NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars ML

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Chicago Bears · Jaguars 16, Bears 35

FD+1551.00u

-1.00u

Thu, Oct 10·NFL

San Francisco 49ers -13.0

San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks · 49ers 36, Seahawks 24

BMGM-1051.00u

-1.00u

Mon, Oct 7·NFL

New Orleans Saints +14.0

New Orleans Saints @ Kansas City Chiefs · Saints 13, Chiefs 26

FD-1121.00u

+0.89u

Date	Sport	Matchup	Pick	Book	Odds	Units	P/L
Sun, Nov 3	NFL	New England Patriots @ Tennessee Titans Patriots 17, Titans 20	Tennessee Titans -3.5 Spread · -3.5	FD	-113	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Nov 3	NFL	Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Commanders 27, Giants 22	Washington Commanders ML Moneyline	DK	+184	2.00u	+3.68u	W
Sun, Nov 3	NFL	New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers Saints 22, Panthers 23	New Orleans Saints +2.5 Spread · +2.5	DK	-106	1.00u	+0.94u	W
Sun, Nov 3	NFL	Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens Broncos 10, Ravens 41	Denver Broncos +31.5 Spread · +31.5	CZR	-109	1.00u	+0.92u	W
Sun, Nov 3	NFL	Las Vegas Raiders @ Cincinnati Bengals Raiders 24, Bengals 41	Las Vegas Raiders +13.5 Spread · +13.5	CZR	-115	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Thu, Oct 31	NFL	Houston Texans @ New York Jets Texans 13, Jets 21	New York Jets ML Moneyline	FD	+148	1.00u	+1.48u	W
Mon, Oct 28	NFL	New York Giants @ Pittsburgh Steelers Giants 18, Steelers 26	Under 43.5 Total · U 43.5	FD	-109	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers Cowboys 24, 49ers 30	Dallas Cowboys +7.0 Spread · +7.0	BMGM	-112	2.00u	+1.79u	W
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	Carolina Panthers @ Denver Broncos Panthers 14, Broncos 28	Denver Broncos -16.5 Spread · -16.5	CZR	-110	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders Chiefs 27, Raiders 20	Kansas City Chiefs ML Moneyline	BMGM	+201	2.00u	+4.02u	W
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	Chicago Bears @ Washington Commanders Bears 15, Commanders 18	Chicago Bears +4.5 Spread · +4.5	CZR	-111	1.00u	+0.90u	W
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	New Orleans Saints @ Los Angeles Chargers Saints 8, Chargers 26	Under 34.0 Total · U 34.0	CZR	-115	1.00u	0.00u	P
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	Buffalo Bills @ Seattle Seahawks Bills 31, Seahawks 10	Seattle Seahawks +23.0 Spread · +23.0	FD	-107	1.00u	+0.93u	W
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	Arizona Cardinals @ Miami Dolphins Cardinals 28, Dolphins 27	Over 59.0 Total · O 59.0	FD	-106	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	New York Jets @ New England Patriots Jets 22, Patriots 25	New England Patriots -1.0 Spread · -1.0	BMGM	-106	1.00u	+0.94u	W
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Falcons 31, Buccaneers 26	Atlanta Falcons -4.5 Spread · -4.5	CZR	-106	1.00u	+0.94u	W
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	Green Bay Packers @ Jacksonville Jaguars Packers 30, Jaguars 27	Green Bay Packers -2.0 Spread · -2.0	BMGM	-111	3.00u	+2.70u	W
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans Colts 20, Texans 23	Indianapolis Colts ML Moneyline	FD	+125	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	Philadelphia Eagles @ Cincinnati Bengals Eagles 37, Bengals 17	Cincinnati Bengals +20.0 Spread · +20.0	DK	-112	1.00u	0.00u	P
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns Ravens 24, Browns 29	Baltimore Ravens +2.5 Spread · +2.5	BMGM	-106	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	Tennessee Titans @ Detroit Lions Titans 14, Lions 52	Under 64.5 Total · U 64.5	BMGM	-111	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Thu, Oct 24	NFL	Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams Vikings 20, Rams 30	Under 53.5 Total · U 53.5	BMGM	-108	3.00u	+2.78u	W
Mon, Oct 21	NFL	Los Angeles Chargers @ Arizona Cardinals Chargers 15, Cardinals 17	Los Angeles Chargers +0.5 Spread · +0.5	CZR	-110	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Oct 20	NFL	New York Jets @ Pittsburgh Steelers Jets 15, Steelers 37	Pittsburgh Steelers -21.0 Spread · -21.0	CZR	-105	1.00u	+0.95u	W
Sun, Oct 20	NFL	Kansas City Chiefs @ San Francisco 49ers Chiefs 28, 49ers 18	San Francisco 49ers ML Moneyline	BMGM	+193	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Oct 20	NFL	Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Rams Raiders 15, Rams 20	Las Vegas Raiders +1.5 Spread · +1.5	DK	-107	2.00u	+1.87u	W
Sun, Oct 20	NFL	Carolina Panthers @ Washington Commanders Panthers 7, Commanders 40	Carolina Panthers ML Moneyline	DK	+242	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Oct 20	NFL	Tennessee Titans @ Buffalo Bills Titans 10, Bills 34	Tennessee Titans +24.0 Spread · +24.0	FD	-113	1.00u	0.00u	P
Sun, Oct 20	NFL	Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns Bengals 21, Browns 14	Cincinnati Bengals -7.0 Spread · -7.0	DK	-112	1.00u	0.00u	P
Sun, Oct 20	NFL	Houston Texans @ Green Bay Packers Texans 22, Packers 24	Houston Texans +3.5 Spread · +3.5	CZR	-109	1.00u	+0.92u	W
Sun, Oct 20	NFL	Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts Dolphins 10, Colts 16	Under 30.0 Total · U 30.0	CZR	-111	1.00u	+0.90u	W
Sun, Oct 20	NFL	Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants Eagles 28, Giants 3	Over 34.0 Total · O 34.0	FD	-115	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Oct 20	NFL	Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings Lions 31, Vikings 29	Minnesota Vikings -1.0 Spread · -1.0	CZR	-105	3.00u	-3.00u	L
Sun, Oct 20	NFL	Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons Seahawks 34, Falcons 14	Atlanta Falcons +22.0 Spread · +22.0	DK	-106	2.00u	+1.89u	W
Sun, Oct 20	NFL	New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars Patriots 16, Jaguars 32	Jacksonville Jaguars -11.0 Spread · -11.0	CZR	-109	1.00u	+0.92u	W
Thu, Oct 17	NFL	Denver Broncos @ New Orleans Saints Broncos 33, Saints 10	Denver Broncos -23.0 Spread · -23.0	BMGM	-107	1.00u	0.00u	P
Mon, Oct 14	NFL	Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets Bills 23, Jets 20	New York Jets -0.5 Spread · -0.5	CZR	-106	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Oct 13	NFL	Cincinnati Bengals @ New York Giants Bengals 17, Giants 7	Under 24.0 Total · U 24.0	DK	-110	1.00u	0.00u	P
Sun, Oct 13	NFL	Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys Lions 47, Cowboys 9	Under 58.0 Total · U 58.0	FD	-105	1.00u	+0.95u	W
Sun, Oct 13	NFL	Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers Falcons 38, Panthers 20	Carolina Panthers +18.0 Spread · +18.0	DK	-109	1.00u	0.00u	P
Sun, Oct 13	NFL	Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos Chargers 23, Broncos 16	Under 36.0 Total · U 36.0	FD	-107	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Oct 13	NFL	Pittsburgh Steelers @ Las Vegas Raiders Steelers 32, Raiders 13	Pittsburgh Steelers -16.0 Spread · -16.0	FD	-114	1.00u	+0.88u	W
Sun, Oct 13	NFL	Arizona Cardinals @ Green Bay Packers Cardinals 13, Packers 34	Over 44.5 Total · O 44.5	CZR	-109	1.00u	+0.92u	W
Sun, Oct 13	NFL	Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans Colts 20, Titans 17	Under 38.0 Total · U 38.0	FD	-114	2.00u	+1.75u	W
Sun, Oct 13	NFL	Houston Texans @ New England Patriots Texans 41, Patriots 21	New England Patriots +18.0 Spread · +18.0	CZR	-107	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Oct 13	NFL	Cleveland Browns @ Philadelphia Eagles Browns 16, Eagles 20	Cleveland Browns +4.5 Spread · +4.5	DK	-114	1.00u	+0.88u	W
Sun, Oct 13	NFL	Washington Commanders @ Baltimore Ravens Commanders 23, Ravens 30	Baltimore Ravens -8.0 Spread · -8.0	FD	-107	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Oct 13	NFL	Jacksonville Jaguars @ Chicago Bears Jaguars 16, Bears 35	Jacksonville Jaguars ML Moneyline	FD	+155	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Thu, Oct 10	NFL	San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks 49ers 36, Seahawks 24	San Francisco 49ers -13.0 Spread · -13.0	BMGM	-105	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Mon, Oct 7	NFL	New Orleans Saints @ Kansas City Chiefs Saints 13, Chiefs 26	New Orleans Saints +14.0 Spread · +14.0	FD	-112	1.00u	+0.89u	W

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