Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9
Slick's track record
Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.
Backtested record · Not live picks
Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.
Methodology
Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.
Backtested record
Sep 2024 → Apr 2025
+101.77u
50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41
Live record
Begins May 9, 2026
1 graded · sample too small to publish
Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.
NCAAF
New for 2026
NBA
Live picks daily
NFL backtest
268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI
+43.05u · backtested
NCAA Basketball backtest
320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI
+28.70u · backtested
PGA backtest
110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI
+30.02u · backtested
Sat, Jan 11·NCAA Basketball
LDetroit Mercy Titans +21.0
Detroit Mercy Titans @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · Titans 67, Mastodons 90
Sat, Jan 11·NCAA Basketball
LWest Georgia Wolves +17.5
West Georgia Wolves @ Lipscomb Bisons · Wolves 67, Bisons 86
Sat, Jan 11·NCAA Basketball
LMorehead State Eagles -13.0
Morehead State Eagles @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks · Eagles 67, Redhawks 56
Sat, Jan 11·NFL
LLos Angeles Chargers ML
Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans · Chargers 12, Texans 32
Sat, Jan 11·NCAA Basketball
LNorthwestern State Demons -9.0
East Texas A&M Lions @ Northwestern State Demons · Lions 67, Demons 75
Thu, Jan 9·PGA
LCharley Hoffman Top 10
Sony Open in Hawaii · Nick Taylor won (-18)
Thu, Jan 9·PGA
LRico Hoey Top 5
Sony Open in Hawaii · Nick Taylor won (-18)
Thu, Jan 9·PGA
LRafael Campos > Jeremy Paul
Sony Open in Hawaii · Nick Taylor won (-18)
Wed, Jan 8·NCAA Basketball
LWestern Carolina Catamounts +7.5
Western Carolina Catamounts @ Wofford Terriers · Catamounts 69, Terriers 77
Wed, Jan 8·NCAA Basketball
LCharlotte 49ers ML
Florida Atlantic Owls @ Charlotte 49ers · Owls 75, 49ers 64
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
LOver 59.0
Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders · Chargers 34, Raiders 20
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
LJacksonville Jaguars +1.0
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts · Jaguars 23, Colts 26
Sat, Jan 4·NFL
LPittsburgh Steelers -0.5
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Bengals 19, Steelers 17
Sat, Jan 4·NFL
LUnder 42.5
Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens · Browns 10, Ravens 35
Sat, Jan 4·NCAA Basketball
LThe Citadel Bulldogs +10.0
Chattanooga Mocs @ The Citadel Bulldogs · Mocs 81, Bulldogs 68
Thu, Jan 2·PGA
LMax Homa Top 10
The Sentry · Hideki Matsuyama won (-35)
Thu, Jan 2·PGA
LPatrick Cantlay Top 10
The Sentry · Hideki Matsuyama won (-35)
Thu, Jan 2·PGA
LMatt McCarty > Stephan Jaeger
The Sentry · Hideki Matsuyama won (-35)
Mon, Dec 30·NCAA Basketball
LSan Francisco Dons -6.5
Santa Clara Broncos @ San Francisco Dons · Broncos 94, Dons 97
Mon, Dec 30·NFL
LDetroit Lions -7.0
Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49ers · Lions 40, 49ers 34
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
LWashington Commanders -7.0
Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Commanders · Falcons 24, Commanders 30
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
LMinnesota Vikings -4.0
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings · Packers 25, Vikings 27
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
LCleveland Browns ML
Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns · Dolphins 20, Browns 3
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
LNew Orleans Saints +13.0
Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints · Raiders 25, Saints 10
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
LOver 63.0
Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Panthers 14, Buccaneers 48
Sat, Dec 28·NCAA Basketball
LSyracuse Orange -15.0
Bucknell Bison @ Syracuse Orange · Bison 63, Orange 75
Thu, Dec 26·NFL
LChicago Bears ML
Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears · Seahawks 6, Bears 3
Wed, Dec 25·NFL
LKansas City Chiefs -23.5
Kansas City Chiefs @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Chiefs 29, Steelers 10
Mon, Dec 23·NFL
LOver 38.0
New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers · Saints 0, Packers 34
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
LUnder 49.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys · Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 26
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
LJacksonville Jaguars +4.0
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Las Vegas Raiders · Jaguars 14, Raiders 19
Sun, Dec 22·NCAA Basketball
LOver 127.0
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos @ Missouri State Bears · Gauchos 56, Bears 68
Sat, Dec 21·NCAA Basketball
LDenver Pioneers +5.5
Northern Colorado Bears @ Denver Pioneers · Bears 82, Pioneers 75
Sat, Dec 21·NFL
LBaltimore Ravens -20.0
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens · Steelers 17, Ravens 34
Sat, Dec 21·NFL
LHouston Texans +1.5
Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs · Texans 19, Chiefs 27
Fri, Dec 20·NCAA Basketball
LUnder 152.0
Loyola New Orleans Wolfpack @ SE Louisiana Lions · Wolfpack 62, Lions 96
Wed, Dec 18·NCAA Basketball
LOklahoma Sooners -3.0
Michigan Wolverines @ Oklahoma Sooners · Wolverines 86, Sooners 87
Wed, Dec 18·NCAA Basketball
LUAB Blazers -32.0
Alabama A&M Bulldogs @ UAB Blazers · Bulldogs 67, Blazers 96
Wed, Dec 18·NCAA Basketball
LWagner Seahawks +13.5
Manhattan Jaspers @ Wagner Seahawks · Jaspers 80, Seahawks 66
Tue, Dec 17·NCAA Basketball
LUnder 178.0
Denver Pioneers @ Cal Poly Mustangs · Pioneers 94, Mustangs 95
Tue, Dec 17·NCAA Basketball
LUnder 137.5
Central Michigan Chippewas @ Mississippi State Bulldogs · Chippewas 59, Bulldogs 83
Tue, Dec 17·NCAA Basketball
LOver 150.5
DePaul Blue Demons @ St. John's Red Storm · Demons 61, Storm 89
Mon, Dec 16·NFL
LOver 31.0
Atlanta Falcons @ Las Vegas Raiders · Falcons 15, Raiders 9
Mon, Dec 16·NFL
LChicago Bears +15.5
Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings · Bears 12, Vikings 30
Sun, Dec 15·NCAA Basketball
LLa Sierra Golden Eagles +47.5
La Sierra Golden Eagles @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners · Eagles 47, Roadrunners 96
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
LLos Angeles Chargers +22.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Los Angeles Chargers · Buccaneers 40, Chargers 17
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
LUnder 38.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Philadelphia Eagles · Steelers 13, Eagles 27
Sun, Dec 15·NCAA Basketball
LPurdue Fort Wayne Mastodons -25.0
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons @ Eastern Michigan Eagles · Mastodons 99, Eagles 76
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
LMiami Dolphins +7.0
Miami Dolphins @ Houston Texans · Dolphins 12, Texans 20
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
LCarolina Panthers +13.5
Dallas Cowboys @ Carolina Panthers · Cowboys 30, Panthers 14
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Book | Odds | Units | P/L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Jan 11 | NCAA Basketball | Detroit Mercy Titans @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Titans 67, Mastodons 90 | Detroit Mercy Titans +21.0 Spread · +21.0 | BMGM | -106 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Jan 11 | NCAA Basketball | West Georgia Wolves @ Lipscomb Bisons Wolves 67, Bisons 86 | West Georgia Wolves +17.5 Spread · +17.5 | FD | -113 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Jan 11 | NCAA Basketball | Morehead State Eagles @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Eagles 67, Redhawks 56 | Morehead State Eagles -13.0 Spread · -13.0 | DK | -114 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Jan 11 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans Chargers 12, Texans 32 | Los Angeles Chargers ML Moneyline | DK | +113 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sat, Jan 11 | NCAA Basketball | East Texas A&M Lions @ Northwestern State Demons Lions 67, Demons 75 | Northwestern State Demons -9.0 Spread · -9.0 | DK | -112 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Jan 9 | PGA | Sony Open in Hawaii Nick Taylor won (-18) | Charley Hoffman Top 10 — Sony Open in Hawaii Top10 · Top 10 | BMGM | +257 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Jan 9 | PGA | Sony Open in Hawaii Nick Taylor won (-18) | Rico Hoey Top 5 — Sony Open in Hawaii Top5 · Top 5 | FD | +660 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Thu, Jan 9 | PGA | Sony Open in Hawaii Nick Taylor won (-18) | Rafael Campos > Jeremy Paul — Sony Open in Hawaii H2h Round · H2H | FD | -113 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Wed, Jan 8 | NCAA Basketball | Western Carolina Catamounts @ Wofford Terriers Catamounts 69, Terriers 77 | Western Carolina Catamounts +7.5 Spread · +7.5 | DK | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Wed, Jan 8 | NCAA Basketball | Florida Atlantic Owls @ Charlotte 49ers Owls 75, 49ers 64 | Charlotte 49ers ML Moneyline | BRV | +391 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders Chargers 34, Raiders 20 | Over 59.0 Total · O 59.0 | BMGM | -114 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts Jaguars 23, Colts 26 | Jacksonville Jaguars +1.0 Spread · +1.0 | CZR | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Jan 4 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers Bengals 19, Steelers 17 | Pittsburgh Steelers -0.5 Spread · -0.5 | DK | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Jan 4 | NFL | Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens Browns 10, Ravens 35 | Under 42.5 Total · U 42.5 | CZR | -115 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sat, Jan 4 | NCAA Basketball | Chattanooga Mocs @ The Citadel Bulldogs Mocs 81, Bulldogs 68 | The Citadel Bulldogs +10.0 Spread · +10.0 | DK | -114 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Thu, Jan 2 | PGA | The Sentry Hideki Matsuyama won (-35) | Max Homa Top 10 — The Sentry Top10 · Top 10 | DK | +377 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Jan 2 | PGA | The Sentry Hideki Matsuyama won (-35) | Patrick Cantlay Top 10 — The Sentry Top10 · Top 10 | DK | +340 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Jan 2 | PGA | The Sentry Hideki Matsuyama won (-35) | Matt McCarty > Stephan Jaeger — The Sentry H2h Round · H2H | FD | -107 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Mon, Dec 30 | NCAA Basketball | Santa Clara Broncos @ San Francisco Dons Broncos 94, Dons 97 | San Francisco Dons -6.5 Spread · -6.5 | BMGM | -111 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Mon, Dec 30 | NFL | Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49ers Lions 40, 49ers 34 | Detroit Lions -7.0 Spread · -7.0 | CZR | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Commanders Falcons 24, Commanders 30 | Washington Commanders -7.0 Spread · -7.0 | FD | -106 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings Packers 25, Vikings 27 | Minnesota Vikings -4.0 Spread · -4.0 | DK | -105 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns Dolphins 20, Browns 3 | Cleveland Browns ML Moneyline | BMGM | +178 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints Raiders 25, Saints 10 | New Orleans Saints +13.0 Spread · +13.0 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Panthers 14, Buccaneers 48 | Over 63.0 Total · O 63.0 | BMGM | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Dec 28 | NCAA Basketball | Bucknell Bison @ Syracuse Orange Bison 63, Orange 75 | Syracuse Orange -15.0 Spread · -15.0 | BRV | -113 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Thu, Dec 26 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears Seahawks 6, Bears 3 | Chicago Bears ML Moneyline | BMGM | +196 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Wed, Dec 25 | NFL | Kansas City Chiefs @ Pittsburgh Steelers Chiefs 29, Steelers 10 | Kansas City Chiefs -23.5 Spread · -23.5 | CZR | -114 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Mon, Dec 23 | NFL | New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers Saints 0, Packers 34 | Over 38.0 Total · O 38.0 | FD | -108 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 26 | Under 49.5 Total · U 49.5 | BMGM | -114 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Las Vegas Raiders Jaguars 14, Raiders 19 | Jacksonville Jaguars +4.0 Spread · +4.0 | DK | -108 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NCAA Basketball | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos @ Missouri State Bears Gauchos 56, Bears 68 | Over 127.0 Total · O 127.0 | DK | -112 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Dec 21 | NCAA Basketball | Northern Colorado Bears @ Denver Pioneers Bears 82, Pioneers 75 | Denver Pioneers +5.5 Spread · +5.5 | BRV | -112 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Dec 21 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens Steelers 17, Ravens 34 | Baltimore Ravens -20.0 Spread · -20.0 | BMGM | -111 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Dec 21 | NFL | Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs Texans 19, Chiefs 27 | Houston Texans +1.5 Spread · +1.5 | DK | -111 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Fri, Dec 20 | NCAA Basketball | Loyola New Orleans Wolfpack @ SE Louisiana Lions Wolfpack 62, Lions 96 | Under 152.0 Total · U 152.0 | FD | -113 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Wed, Dec 18 | NCAA Basketball | Michigan Wolverines @ Oklahoma Sooners Wolverines 86, Sooners 87 | Oklahoma Sooners -3.0 Spread · -3.0 | BRV | -113 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Wed, Dec 18 | NCAA Basketball | Alabama A&M Bulldogs @ UAB Blazers Bulldogs 67, Blazers 96 | UAB Blazers -32.0 Spread · -32.0 | BRV | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Wed, Dec 18 | NCAA Basketball | Manhattan Jaspers @ Wagner Seahawks Jaspers 80, Seahawks 66 | Wagner Seahawks +13.5 Spread · +13.5 | DK | -113 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Tue, Dec 17 | NCAA Basketball | Denver Pioneers @ Cal Poly Mustangs Pioneers 94, Mustangs 95 | Under 178.0 Total · U 178.0 | BMGM | -113 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Tue, Dec 17 | NCAA Basketball | Central Michigan Chippewas @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Chippewas 59, Bulldogs 83 | Under 137.5 Total · U 137.5 | BRV | -108 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Tue, Dec 17 | NCAA Basketball | DePaul Blue Demons @ St. John's Red Storm Demons 61, Storm 89 | Over 150.5 Total · O 150.5 | BRV | -105 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Mon, Dec 16 | NFL | Atlanta Falcons @ Las Vegas Raiders Falcons 15, Raiders 9 | Over 31.0 Total · O 31.0 | BMGM | -109 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Mon, Dec 16 | NFL | Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings Bears 12, Vikings 30 | Chicago Bears +15.5 Spread · +15.5 | BMGM | -106 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NCAA Basketball | La Sierra Golden Eagles @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners Eagles 47, Roadrunners 96 | La Sierra Golden Eagles +47.5 Spread · +47.5 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Los Angeles Chargers Buccaneers 40, Chargers 17 | Los Angeles Chargers +22.5 Spread · +22.5 | DK | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Philadelphia Eagles Steelers 13, Eagles 27 | Under 38.5 Total · U 38.5 | DK | -114 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NCAA Basketball | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons @ Eastern Michigan Eagles Mastodons 99, Eagles 76 | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons -25.0 Spread · -25.0 | BMGM | -110 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ Houston Texans Dolphins 12, Texans 20 | Miami Dolphins +7.0 Spread · +7.0 | DK | -113 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ Carolina Panthers Cowboys 30, Panthers 14 | Carolina Panthers +13.5 Spread · +13.5 | DK | -114 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |