Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9
Slick's track record
Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.
Backtested record · Not live picks
Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.
Methodology
Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.
Backtested record
Sep 2024 → Apr 2025
+101.77u
50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41
Live record
Begins May 9, 2026
1 graded · sample too small to publish
Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.
NCAAF
New for 2026
NBA
Live picks daily
NFL backtest
268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI
+43.05u · backtested
NCAA Basketball backtest
320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI
+28.70u · backtested
PGA backtest
110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI
+30.02u · backtested
Thu, Nov 28·NFL
WNew York Giants +11.0
New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys · Giants 20, Cowboys 27
Thu, Nov 28·NFL
LChicago Bears +2.0
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions · Bears 20, Lions 23
Mon, Nov 25·NFL
LLos Angeles Chargers +5.5
Baltimore Ravens @ Los Angeles Chargers · Ravens 30, Chargers 23
Sun, Nov 24·NFL
WPhiladelphia Eagles -11.0
Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Rams · Eagles 37, Rams 20
Sun, Nov 24·NFL
WOver 21.0
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks · Cardinals 6, Seahawks 16
Sun, Nov 24·NFL
LLas Vegas Raiders ML
Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders · Broncos 29, Raiders 19
Sun, Nov 24·NFL
WOver 28.5
Detroit Lions @ Indianapolis Colts · Lions 24, Colts 6
Sun, Nov 24·NFL
WUnder 50.0
New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins · Patriots 15, Dolphins 34
Sun, Nov 24·NFL
WNew York Giants +29.0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New York Giants · Buccaneers 30, Giants 7
Sun, Nov 24·NFL
LDallas Cowboys -14.5
Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Commanders · Cowboys 34, Commanders 26
Sun, Nov 24·NFL
WUnder 58.5
Kansas City Chiefs @ Carolina Panthers · Chiefs 30, Panthers 27
Sun, Nov 24·NFL
LOver 60.0
Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans · Titans 32, Texans 27
Thu, Nov 21·NFL
LUnder 41.0
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns · Steelers 19, Browns 24
Mon, Nov 18·NFL
WUnder 49.0
Houston Texans @ Dallas Cowboys · Texans 34, Cowboys 10
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
LCincinnati Bengals +5.0
Cincinnati Bengals @ Los Angeles Chargers · Bengals 27, Chargers 34
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
LKansas City Chiefs +3.5
Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills · Chiefs 21, Bills 30
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
WDenver Broncos -26.5
Atlanta Falcons @ Denver Broncos · Falcons 6, Broncos 38
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
WUnder 39.5
Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers · Seahawks 20, 49ers 17
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
WChicago Bears +3.5
Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears · Packers 20, Bears 19
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
LJacksonville Jaguars +45.0
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Detroit Lions · Jaguars 6, Lions 52
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
PTennessee Titans +10.0
Minnesota Vikings @ Tennessee Titans · Vikings 23, Titans 13
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
LOver 56.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ Miami Dolphins · Raiders 19, Dolphins 34
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
PLos Angeles Rams -6.0
Los Angeles Rams @ New England Patriots · Rams 28, Patriots 22
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
LOver 50.0
Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans Saints · Browns 14, Saints 35
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
LIndianapolis Colts -2.0
Indianapolis Colts @ New York Jets · Colts 28, Jets 27
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
WPittsburgh Steelers +0.5
Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Ravens 16, Steelers 18
Thu, Nov 14·NFL
WWashington Commanders +10.5
Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles · Commanders 18, Eagles 26
Mon, Nov 11·NFL
LLos Angeles Rams ML
Miami Dolphins @ Los Angeles Rams · Dolphins 23, Rams 15
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
LOver 50.0
Detroit Lions @ Houston Texans · Lions 26, Texans 23
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
LDallas Cowboys +26.0
Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys · Eagles 34, Cowboys 6
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
LNew York Jets +23.0
New York Jets @ Arizona Cardinals · Jets 6, Cardinals 31
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
LTennessee Titans ML
Tennessee Titans @ Los Angeles Chargers · Titans 17, Chargers 27
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
WBuffalo Bills ML
Buffalo Bills @ Indianapolis Colts · Bills 30, Colts 20
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
LNew Orleans Saints -4.0
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints · Falcons 17, Saints 20
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
WSan Francisco 49ers +3.0
San Francisco 49ers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 49ers 23, Buccaneers 20
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
LOver 59.0
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Washington Commanders · Steelers 28, Commanders 27
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
WJacksonville Jaguars +6.0
Minnesota Vikings @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Vikings 12, Jaguars 7
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
WUnder 26.0
New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears · Patriots 19, Bears 3
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
WKansas City Chiefs +0.5
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs · Broncos 14, Chiefs 16
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
WOver 36.0
New York Giants @ Carolina Panthers · Giants 17, Panthers 20
Thu, Nov 7·NFL
LCincinnati Bengals -1.5
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens · Bengals 34, Ravens 35
Mon, Nov 4·NFL
LTampa Bay Buccaneers +4.0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Kansas City Chiefs · Buccaneers 24, Chiefs 30
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WMinnesota Vikings -6.0
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings · Colts 13, Vikings 21
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WDetroit Lions -9.0
Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers · Lions 24, Packers 14
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WSeattle Seahawks ML
Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks · Rams 26, Seahawks 20
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WPhiladelphia Eagles ML
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Philadelphia Eagles · Jaguars 23, Eagles 28
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WUnder 45.0
Chicago Bears @ Arizona Cardinals · Bears 9, Cardinals 29
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WAtlanta Falcons +4.0
Dallas Cowboys @ Atlanta Falcons · Cowboys 21, Falcons 27
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
PMiami Dolphins +3.0
Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills · Dolphins 27, Bills 30
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WCleveland Browns +19.0
Los Angeles Chargers @ Cleveland Browns · Chargers 27, Browns 10
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Book | Odds | Units | P/L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Nov 28 | NFL | New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys Giants 20, Cowboys 27 | New York Giants +11.0 Spread · +11.0 | DK | -106 | 2.00u | +1.89u | W |
| Thu, Nov 28 | NFL | Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions Bears 20, Lions 23 | Chicago Bears +2.0 Spread · +2.0 | FD | -110 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Mon, Nov 25 | NFL | Baltimore Ravens @ Los Angeles Chargers Ravens 30, Chargers 23 | Los Angeles Chargers +5.5 Spread · +5.5 | CZR | -110 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 24 | NFL | Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Rams Eagles 37, Rams 20 | Philadelphia Eagles -11.0 Spread · -11.0 | CZR | -111 | 2.00u | +1.80u | W |
| Sun, Nov 24 | NFL | Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks Cardinals 6, Seahawks 16 | Over 21.0 Total · O 21.0 | BMGM | -108 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sun, Nov 24 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders Broncos 29, Raiders 19 | Las Vegas Raiders ML Moneyline | BMGM | +203 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 24 | NFL | Detroit Lions @ Indianapolis Colts Lions 24, Colts 6 | Over 28.5 Total · O 28.5 | DK | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Nov 24 | NFL | New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins Patriots 15, Dolphins 34 | Under 50.0 Total · U 50.0 | DK | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Nov 24 | NFL | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New York Giants Buccaneers 30, Giants 7 | New York Giants +29.0 Spread · +29.0 | DK | -108 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sun, Nov 24 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Commanders Cowboys 34, Commanders 26 | Dallas Cowboys -14.5 Spread · -14.5 | BMGM | -108 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 24 | NFL | Kansas City Chiefs @ Carolina Panthers Chiefs 30, Panthers 27 | Under 58.5 Total · U 58.5 | FD | -107 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sun, Nov 24 | NFL | Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans Titans 32, Texans 27 | Over 60.0 Total · O 60.0 | BMGM | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Nov 21 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns Steelers 19, Browns 24 | Under 41.0 Total · U 41.0 | CZR | -111 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Mon, Nov 18 | NFL | Houston Texans @ Dallas Cowboys Texans 34, Cowboys 10 | Under 49.0 Total · U 49.0 | BMGM | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ Los Angeles Chargers Bengals 27, Chargers 34 | Cincinnati Bengals +5.0 Spread · +5.0 | BMGM | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills Chiefs 21, Bills 30 | Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 Spread · +3.5 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Atlanta Falcons @ Denver Broncos Falcons 6, Broncos 38 | Denver Broncos -26.5 Spread · -26.5 | BMGM | -105 | 2.00u | +1.90u | W |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers Seahawks 20, 49ers 17 | Under 39.5 Total · U 39.5 | CZR | -111 | 3.00u | +2.70u | W |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears Packers 20, Bears 19 | Chicago Bears +3.5 Spread · +3.5 | BMGM | -115 | 3.00u | +2.61u | W |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Detroit Lions Jaguars 6, Lions 52 | Jacksonville Jaguars +45.0 Spread · +45.0 | BMGM | -108 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Minnesota Vikings @ Tennessee Titans Vikings 23, Titans 13 | Tennessee Titans +10.0 Spread · +10.0 | FD | -108 | 3.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ Miami Dolphins Raiders 19, Dolphins 34 | Over 56.5 Total · O 56.5 | FD | -113 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ New England Patriots Rams 28, Patriots 22 | Los Angeles Rams -6.0 Spread · -6.0 | BMGM | -109 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Cleveland Browns @ New Orleans Saints Browns 14, Saints 35 | Over 50.0 Total · O 50.0 | BMGM | -113 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Indianapolis Colts @ New York Jets Colts 28, Jets 27 | Indianapolis Colts -2.0 Spread · -2.0 | DK | -112 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers Ravens 16, Steelers 18 | Pittsburgh Steelers +0.5 Spread · +0.5 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Thu, Nov 14 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles Commanders 18, Eagles 26 | Washington Commanders +10.5 Spread · +10.5 | CZR | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Mon, Nov 11 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ Los Angeles Rams Dolphins 23, Rams 15 | Los Angeles Rams ML Moneyline | CZR | +241 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | Detroit Lions @ Houston Texans Lions 26, Texans 23 | Over 50.0 Total · O 50.0 | FD | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys Eagles 34, Cowboys 6 | Dallas Cowboys +26.0 Spread · +26.0 | BMGM | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | New York Jets @ Arizona Cardinals Jets 6, Cardinals 31 | New York Jets +23.0 Spread · +23.0 | FD | -114 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | Tennessee Titans @ Los Angeles Chargers Titans 17, Chargers 27 | Tennessee Titans ML Moneyline | BMGM | +175 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Indianapolis Colts Bills 30, Colts 20 | Buffalo Bills ML Moneyline | BMGM | +146 | 3.00u | +4.38u | W |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints Falcons 17, Saints 20 | New Orleans Saints -4.0 Spread · -4.0 | FD | -108 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | San Francisco 49ers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 49ers 23, Buccaneers 20 | San Francisco 49ers +3.0 Spread · +3.0 | FD | -107 | 3.00u | +2.80u | W |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Washington Commanders Steelers 28, Commanders 27 | Over 59.0 Total · O 59.0 | CZR | -108 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | Minnesota Vikings @ Jacksonville Jaguars Vikings 12, Jaguars 7 | Jacksonville Jaguars +6.0 Spread · +6.0 | DK | -111 | 1.00u | +0.90u | W |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Patriots 19, Bears 3 | Under 26.0 Total · U 26.0 | FD | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs Broncos 14, Chiefs 16 | Kansas City Chiefs +0.5 Spread · +0.5 | DK | -105 | 2.00u | +1.90u | W |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | New York Giants @ Carolina Panthers Giants 17, Panthers 20 | Over 36.0 Total · O 36.0 | BMGM | -115 | 1.00u | +0.87u | W |
| Thu, Nov 7 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens Bengals 34, Ravens 35 | Cincinnati Bengals -1.5 Spread · -1.5 | FD | -114 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Mon, Nov 4 | NFL | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Kansas City Chiefs Buccaneers 24, Chiefs 30 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4.0 Spread · +4.0 | DK | -113 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings Colts 13, Vikings 21 | Minnesota Vikings -6.0 Spread · -6.0 | CZR | -109 | 3.00u | +2.75u | W |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers Lions 24, Packers 14 | Detroit Lions -9.0 Spread · -9.0 | CZR | -111 | 1.00u | +0.90u | W |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks Rams 26, Seahawks 20 | Seattle Seahawks ML Moneyline | CZR | +154 | 1.00u | +1.54u | W |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Philadelphia Eagles Jaguars 23, Eagles 28 | Philadelphia Eagles ML Moneyline | CZR | +232 | 1.00u | +2.32u | W |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Chicago Bears @ Arizona Cardinals Bears 9, Cardinals 29 | Under 45.0 Total · U 45.0 | CZR | -108 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ Atlanta Falcons Cowboys 21, Falcons 27 | Atlanta Falcons +4.0 Spread · +4.0 | BMGM | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills Dolphins 27, Bills 30 | Miami Dolphins +3.0 Spread · +3.0 | FD | -115 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Cleveland Browns Chargers 27, Browns 10 | Cleveland Browns +19.0 Spread · +19.0 | DK | -113 | 1.00u | +0.88u | W |