Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9

Slick's track record

Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.

Backtested record · Not live picks

Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.

Methodology

Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.

Backtested record

Sep 2024 → Apr 2025

+101.77u

50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41

Live record

Begins May 9, 2026

1 graded · sample too small to publish

Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.

NCAAF

New for 2026

NBA

Live picks daily

NFL backtest

268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI

+43.05u · backtested

NCAA Basketball backtest

320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI

+28.70u · backtested

PGA backtest

110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI

+30.02u · backtested

Tue, Feb 4·NCAA Basketball

L

UNLV Rebels +5.5

Boise State Broncos @ UNLV Rebels · Broncos 71, Rebels 62

BMGM-1133.00u
-3.00u

Mon, Feb 3·NCAA Basketball

L

Kansas Jayhawks -18.5

Iowa State Cyclones @ Kansas Jayhawks · Cyclones 52, Jayhawks 69

BRV-1122.00u
-2.00u

Sat, Feb 1·NCAA Basketball

L

Over 121.0

Gonzaga Bulldogs @ Saint Mary's Gaels · Bulldogs 58, Gaels 62

BRV-1121.00u
-1.00u

Sat, Feb 1·NCAA Basketball

L

Jackson State Tigers -16.0

Jackson State Tigers @ Grambling Tigers · Tigers 65, Tigers 50

BMGM-1091.00u
-1.00u

Sat, Feb 1·NCAA Basketball

L

Nicholls Colonels -10.0

McNeese Cowboys @ Nicholls Colonels · Cowboys 63, Colonels 71

DK-1101.00u
-1.00u

Sat, Feb 1·NCAA Basketball

L

Iowa State Cyclones +15.5

Kansas State Wildcats @ Iowa State Cyclones · Wildcats 80, Cyclones 61

BMGM-1091.00u
-1.00u

Sat, Feb 1·NCAA Basketball

L

Pittsburgh Panthers +0.5

Pittsburgh Panthers @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons · Panthers 74, Deacons 76

DK-1131.00u
-1.00u

Fri, Jan 31·NCAA Basketball

L

Cornell Big Red -14.5

Dartmouth Big Green @ Cornell Big Red · Green 64, Red 76

BMGM-1142.00u
-2.00u

Thu, Jan 30·NCAA Basketball

L

Seattle U Redhawks ML

Seattle U Redhawks @ Grand Canyon Lopes · Redhawks 74, Lopes 83

FD+2761.00u
-1.00u

Thu, Jan 30·NCAA Basketball

L

Idaho Vandals -8.5

Idaho Vandals @ Weber State Wildcats · Vandals 82, Wildcats 74

FD-1061.00u
-1.00u

Thu, Jan 30·NCAA Basketball

L

James Madison Dukes -11.0

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers @ James Madison Dukes · Chanticleers 64, Dukes 73

BMGM-1093.00u
-3.00u

Thu, Jan 30·PGA

L

Keegan Bradley Top 5

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am · Rory McIlroy won (-21)

BMGM+5481.00u
-1.00u

Thu, Jan 30·PGA

L

Patrick Rodgers Top 10

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am · Rory McIlroy won (-21)

FD+3801.00u
-1.00u

Thu, Jan 30·PGA

L

Rickie Fowler Top 10

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am · Rory McIlroy won (-21)

DK+2491.00u
-1.00u

Thu, Jan 30·PGA

L

Nick Dunlap Top 10

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am · Rory McIlroy won (-21)

FD+3741.00u
-1.00u

Tue, Jan 28·NCAA Basketball

L

Air Force Falcons ML

Air Force Falcons @ Colorado State Rams · Falcons 58, Rams 79

FD+1981.00u
-1.00u

Mon, Jan 27·NCAA Basketball

L

Jackson State Tigers +9.0

Florida A&M Rattlers @ Jackson State Tigers · Rattlers 72, Tigers 62

BMGM-1091.00u
-1.00u

Mon, Jan 27·NCAA Basketball

L

New Orleans Privateers +14.0

Incarnate Word Cardinals @ New Orleans Privateers · Cardinals 74, Privateers 58

BRV-1121.00u
-1.00u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

L

North Alabama Lions -6.0

Austin Peay Governors @ North Alabama Lions · Governors 84, Lions 88

DK-1081.00u
-1.00u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

L

Houston Cougars -6.5

Houston Cougars @ Kansas Jayhawks · Cougars 92, Jayhawks 86

FD-1091.00u
-1.00u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

L

Missouri Tigers -11.5

Ole Miss Rebels @ Missouri Tigers · Rebels 75, Tigers 83

FD-1051.00u
-1.00u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

L

Over 162.0

McNeese Cowboys @ UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros · Cowboys 93, Vaqueros 63

FD-1062.00u
-2.00u

Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball

L

South Carolina Upstate Spartans +22.0

South Carolina Upstate Spartans @ Longwood Lancers · Spartans 54, Lancers 80

DK-1131.00u
-1.00u

Fri, Jan 24·NCAA Basketball

L

Penn State Nittany Lions ML

Penn State Nittany Lions @ Iowa Hawkeyes · Lions 75, Hawkeyes 76

BMGM+1631.00u
-1.00u

Thu, Jan 23·NCAA Basketball

L

Utah Valley Wolverines -8.0

Utah Valley Wolverines @ California Baptist Lancers · Wolverines 74, Lancers 69

BRV-1102.00u
-2.00u

Thu, Jan 23·NCAA Basketball

L

Oregon State Beavers -22.5

Pepperdine Waves @ Oregon State Beavers · Waves 63, Beavers 83

BMGM-1061.00u
-1.00u

Thu, Jan 23·NCAA Basketball

L

Manhattan Jaspers ML

Fairfield Stags @ Manhattan Jaspers · Stags 87, Jaspers 84

BRV+2031.00u
-1.00u

Thu, Jan 23·NCAA Basketball

L

Stetson Hatters -5.5

Stetson Hatters @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels · Hatters 67, Colonels 66

BRV-1123.00u
-3.00u

Wed, Jan 22·NCAA Basketball

L

Loyola Chicago Ramblers -4.5

Fordham Rams @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers · Rams 66, Ramblers 70

BMGM-1051.00u
-1.00u

Wed, Jan 22·PGA

L

Taylor Dickson Top 10

Farmers Insurance Open · Harris English won (-8)

FD+2271.00u
-1.00u

Wed, Jan 22·PGA

L

Brian Campbell Top 10

Farmers Insurance Open · Harris English won (-8)

FD+3691.00u
-1.00u

Sun, Jan 19·NCAA Basketball

L

Northwestern Wildcats +2.5

Northwestern Wildcats @ Michigan Wolverines · Wildcats 76, Wolverines 80

DK-1051.00u
-1.00u

Sat, Jan 18·NFL

L

Kansas City Chiefs -12.5

Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs · Texans 14, Chiefs 23

CZR-1111.00u
-1.00u

Sat, Jan 18·NCAA Basketball

L

Fairfield Stags +9.0

Canisius Golden Griffins @ Fairfield Stags · Griffins 78, Stags 67

BRV-1051.00u
-1.00u

Sat, Jan 18·NCAA Basketball

L

Holy Cross Crusaders +6.5

American University Eagles @ Holy Cross Crusaders · Eagles 74, Crusaders 65

BRV-1061.00u
-1.00u

Sat, Jan 18·NCAA Basketball

L

UMBC Retrievers +23.5

Maine Black Bears @ UMBC Retrievers · Bears 87, Retrievers 62

BRV-1051.00u
-1.00u

Thu, Jan 16·NCAA Basketball

L

Pacific Tigers -0.5

Pacific Tigers @ Portland Pilots · Tigers 81, Pilots 84

FD-1092.00u
-2.00u

Thu, Jan 16·NCAA Basketball

L

Marshall Thundering Herd ML

Marshall Thundering Herd @ James Madison Dukes · Herd 64, Dukes 67

DK+1891.00u
-1.00u

Thu, Jan 16·PGA

L

Patrick Rodgers Top 5

The American Express · Sepp Straka won (-25)

FD+4651.00u
-1.00u

Thu, Jan 16·PGA

L

J.T. Poston Top 5

The American Express · Sepp Straka won (-25)

DK+7971.00u
-1.00u

Mon, Jan 13·NCAA Basketball

L

Minnesota Golden Gophers +5.5

Minnesota Golden Gophers @ Maryland Terrapins · Gophers 71, Terrapins 77

FD-1123.00u
-3.00u

Sun, Jan 12·NCAA Basketball

L

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles +18.0

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles @ Little Rock Trojans · Eagles 58, Trojans 78

FD-1071.00u
-1.00u

Sun, Jan 12·NCAA Basketball

L

Tulsa Golden Hurricane -8.5

Charlotte 49ers @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane · 49ers 63, Hurricane 69

BRV-1131.00u
-1.00u

Sun, Jan 12·NCAA Basketball

L

Under 133.0

Mercyhurst Lakers @ Le Moyne Dolphins · Lakers 63, Dolphins 79

BRV-1121.00u
-1.00u

Sun, Jan 12·NCAA Basketball

L

Michigan Wolverines -24.0

Washington Huskies @ Michigan Wolverines · Huskies 75, Wolverines 91

BRV-1121.00u
-1.00u

Sun, Jan 12·NFL

L

Denver Broncos +22.0

Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills · Broncos 7, Bills 31

CZR-1062.00u
-2.00u

Sat, Jan 11·NCAA Basketball

L

Over 191.0

Cal State Northridge Matadors @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners · Matadors 90, Roadrunners 94

FD-1061.00u
-1.00u

Sat, Jan 11·NCAA Basketball

L

Arizona State Sun Devils +5.5

Baylor Bears @ Arizona State Sun Devils · Bears 72, Devils 66

BMGM-1063.00u
-3.00u

Sat, Jan 11·NCAA Basketball

L

UTEP Miners +27.0

New Mexico State Aggies @ UTEP Miners · Aggies 85, Miners 57

BMGM-1091.00u
-1.00u

Sat, Jan 11·NFL

L

Pittsburgh Steelers ML

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens · Steelers 14, Ravens 28

BMGM+2371.00u
-1.00u

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