Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9
Slick's track record
Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.
Backtested record · Not live picks
Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.
Methodology
Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.
Backtested record
Sep 2024 → Apr 2025
+101.77u
50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41
Live record
Begins May 9, 2026
1 graded · sample too small to publish
Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.
NCAAF
New for 2026
NBA
Live picks daily
NFL backtest
268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI
+43.05u · backtested
NCAA Basketball backtest
320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI
+28.70u · backtested
PGA backtest
110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI
+30.02u · backtested
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
PChicago Bears -6.0
Los Angeles Rams @ Chicago Bears · Rams 18, Bears 24
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
LPhiladelphia Eagles +16.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Eagles 16, Buccaneers 33
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
LNew York Jets +0.5
Denver Broncos @ New York Jets · Broncos 10, Jets 9
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
LPittsburgh Steelers -6.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts · Steelers 24, Colts 27
Thu, Sep 26·NFL
WNew York Giants +6.0
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants · Cowboys 20, Giants 15
Mon, Sep 23·NFL
WCincinnati Bengals +7.0
Washington Commanders @ Cincinnati Bengals · Commanders 38, Bengals 33
Mon, Sep 23·NFL
PJacksonville Jaguars +37.0
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills · Jaguars 10, Bills 47
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
LDallas Cowboys ML
Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys · Ravens 28, Cowboys 25
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
LArizona Cardinals ML
Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals · Lions 20, Cardinals 13
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WUnder 54.0
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams · 49ers 24, Rams 27
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
LUnder 23.5
Miami Dolphins @ Seattle Seahawks · Dolphins 3, Seahawks 24
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WOver 57.5
Carolina Panthers @ Las Vegas Raiders · Panthers 36, Raiders 22
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WOver 40.5
Houston Texans @ Minnesota Vikings · Texans 7, Vikings 34
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WDenver Broncos -13.5
Denver Broncos @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Broncos 26, Buccaneers 7
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WNew Orleans Saints +5.0
Philadelphia Eagles @ New Orleans Saints · Eagles 15, Saints 12
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WPittsburgh Steelers -3.5
Los Angeles Chargers @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Chargers 10, Steelers 20
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WNew York Giants -4.5
New York Giants @ Cleveland Browns · Giants 21, Browns 15
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WTennessee Titans ML
Green Bay Packers @ Tennessee Titans · Packers 30, Titans 14
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
LIndianapolis Colts -8.5
Chicago Bears @ Indianapolis Colts · Bears 16, Colts 21
Thu, Sep 19·NFL
WUnder 35.0
New England Patriots @ New York Jets · Patriots 3, Jets 24
Mon, Sep 16·NFL
WPhiladelphia Eagles +3.0
Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles · Falcons 22, Eagles 21
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LChicago Bears +5.5
Chicago Bears @ Houston Texans · Bears 13, Texans 19
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
WCincinnati Bengals +7.0
Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs · Bengals 25, Chiefs 26
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LUnder 16.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos · Steelers 13, Broncos 6
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LArizona Cardinals -32.0
Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals · Rams 10, Cardinals 41
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
WOver 39.5
New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans · Jets 24, Titans 17
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
WNew Orleans Saints -21.0
New Orleans Saints @ Dallas Cowboys · Saints 44, Cowboys 19
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LDetroit Lions +0.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Detroit Lions · Buccaneers 20, Lions 16
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
PGreen Bay Packers -6.0
Indianapolis Colts @ Green Bay Packers · Colts 10, Packers 16
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LSan Francisco 49ers ML
San Francisco 49ers @ Minnesota Vikings · 49ers 17, Vikings 23
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LSeattle Seahawks -4.5
Seattle Seahawks @ New England Patriots · Seahawks 23, Patriots 20
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LCarolina Panthers +21.0
Los Angeles Chargers @ Carolina Panthers · Chargers 26, Panthers 3
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
WCleveland Browns -2.0
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Browns 18, Jaguars 13
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
WBaltimore Ravens +5.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ Baltimore Ravens · Raiders 26, Ravens 23
Thu, Sep 12·NFL
WBuffalo Bills -20.5
Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins · Bills 31, Dolphins 10
Mon, Sep 9·NFL
LOver 52.0
New York Jets @ San Francisco 49ers · Jets 19, 49ers 32
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LDetroit Lions -9.5
Los Angeles Rams @ Detroit Lions · Rams 20, Lions 26
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LCleveland Browns ML
Dallas Cowboys @ Cleveland Browns · Cowboys 33, Browns 17
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LWashington Commanders ML
Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Commanders 20, Buccaneers 37
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LSeattle Seahawks -11.5
Denver Broncos @ Seattle Seahawks · Broncos 20, Seahawks 26
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LLos Angeles Chargers -15.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers · Raiders 10, Chargers 22
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
POver 41.0
Tennessee Titans @ Chicago Bears · Titans 17, Bears 24
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LJacksonville Jaguars +2.0
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Miami Dolphins · Jaguars 17, Dolphins 20
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LMinnesota Vikings -24.0
Minnesota Vikings @ New York Giants · Vikings 28, Giants 6
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
WIndianapolis Colts +3.5
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts · Texans 29, Colts 27
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LOver 63.0
Arizona Cardinals @ Buffalo Bills · Cardinals 28, Bills 34
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
WPittsburgh Steelers ML
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Atlanta Falcons · Steelers 18, Falcons 10
Thu, Sep 5·NFL
LBaltimore Ravens ML
Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs · Ravens 20, Chiefs 27
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Book | Odds | Units | P/L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ Chicago Bears Rams 18, Bears 24 | Chicago Bears -6.0 Spread · -6.0 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Eagles 16, Buccaneers 33 | Philadelphia Eagles +16.5 Spread · +16.5 | DK | -111 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ New York Jets Broncos 10, Jets 9 | New York Jets +0.5 Spread · +0.5 | BMGM | -108 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts Steelers 24, Colts 27 | Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5 Spread · -6.5 | FD | -111 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Thu, Sep 26 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants Cowboys 20, Giants 15 | New York Giants +6.0 Spread · +6.0 | BMGM | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Mon, Sep 23 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ Cincinnati Bengals Commanders 38, Bengals 33 | Cincinnati Bengals +7.0 Spread · +7.0 | CZR | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Mon, Sep 23 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills Jaguars 10, Bills 47 | Jacksonville Jaguars +37.0 Spread · +37.0 | CZR | -114 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys Ravens 28, Cowboys 25 | Dallas Cowboys ML Moneyline | FD | +208 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Lions 20, Cardinals 13 | Arizona Cardinals ML Moneyline | FD | +191 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams 49ers 24, Rams 27 | Under 54.0 Total · U 54.0 | DK | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ Seattle Seahawks Dolphins 3, Seahawks 24 | Under 23.5 Total · U 23.5 | BMGM | -112 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Carolina Panthers @ Las Vegas Raiders Panthers 36, Raiders 22 | Over 57.5 Total · O 57.5 | FD | -111 | 2.00u | +1.80u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Houston Texans @ Minnesota Vikings Texans 7, Vikings 34 | Over 40.5 Total · O 40.5 | BMGM | -107 | 2.00u | +1.87u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Broncos 26, Buccaneers 7 | Denver Broncos -13.5 Spread · -13.5 | BMGM | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Philadelphia Eagles @ New Orleans Saints Eagles 15, Saints 12 | New Orleans Saints +5.0 Spread · +5.0 | DK | -115 | 2.00u | +1.74u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Pittsburgh Steelers Chargers 10, Steelers 20 | Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 Spread · -3.5 | BMGM | -110 | 3.00u | +2.73u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | New York Giants @ Cleveland Browns Giants 21, Browns 15 | New York Giants -4.5 Spread · -4.5 | DK | -113 | 2.00u | +1.77u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Tennessee Titans Packers 30, Titans 14 | Tennessee Titans ML Moneyline | FD | +204 | 1.00u | +2.04u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Chicago Bears @ Indianapolis Colts Bears 16, Colts 21 | Indianapolis Colts -8.5 Spread · -8.5 | FD | -112 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Sep 19 | NFL | New England Patriots @ New York Jets Patriots 3, Jets 24 | Under 35.0 Total · U 35.0 | FD | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Mon, Sep 16 | NFL | Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles Falcons 22, Eagles 21 | Philadelphia Eagles +3.0 Spread · +3.0 | CZR | -108 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Chicago Bears @ Houston Texans Bears 13, Texans 19 | Chicago Bears +5.5 Spread · +5.5 | BMGM | -114 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs Bengals 25, Chiefs 26 | Cincinnati Bengals +7.0 Spread · +7.0 | FD | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos Steelers 13, Broncos 6 | Under 16.5 Total · U 16.5 | DK | -106 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals Rams 10, Cardinals 41 | Arizona Cardinals -32.0 Spread · -32.0 | BMGM | -112 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans Jets 24, Titans 17 | Over 39.5 Total · O 39.5 | BMGM | -113 | 1.00u | +0.88u | W |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | New Orleans Saints @ Dallas Cowboys Saints 44, Cowboys 19 | New Orleans Saints -21.0 Spread · -21.0 | BMGM | -108 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Detroit Lions Buccaneers 20, Lions 16 | Detroit Lions +0.5 Spread · +0.5 | BMGM | -113 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Indianapolis Colts @ Green Bay Packers Colts 10, Packers 16 | Green Bay Packers -6.0 Spread · -6.0 | BMGM | -109 | 2.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | San Francisco 49ers @ Minnesota Vikings 49ers 17, Vikings 23 | San Francisco 49ers ML Moneyline | DK | +164 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ New England Patriots Seahawks 23, Patriots 20 | Seattle Seahawks -4.5 Spread · -4.5 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Carolina Panthers Chargers 26, Panthers 3 | Carolina Panthers +21.0 Spread · +21.0 | DK | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars Browns 18, Jaguars 13 | Cleveland Browns -2.0 Spread · -2.0 | BMGM | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ Baltimore Ravens Raiders 26, Ravens 23 | Baltimore Ravens +5.5 Spread · +5.5 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Thu, Sep 12 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins Bills 31, Dolphins 10 | Buffalo Bills -20.5 Spread · -20.5 | DK | -110 | 3.00u | +2.73u | W |
| Mon, Sep 9 | NFL | New York Jets @ San Francisco 49ers Jets 19, 49ers 32 | Over 52.0 Total · O 52.0 | FD | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ Detroit Lions Rams 20, Lions 26 | Detroit Lions -9.5 Spread · -9.5 | DK | -112 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ Cleveland Browns Cowboys 33, Browns 17 | Cleveland Browns ML Moneyline | DK | +239 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Commanders 20, Buccaneers 37 | Washington Commanders ML Moneyline | BMGM | +218 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ Seattle Seahawks Broncos 20, Seahawks 26 | Seattle Seahawks -11.5 Spread · -11.5 | CZR | -108 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers Raiders 10, Chargers 22 | Los Angeles Chargers -15.5 Spread · -15.5 | FD | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Tennessee Titans @ Chicago Bears Titans 17, Bears 24 | Over 41.0 Total · O 41.0 | BMGM | -112 | 2.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Miami Dolphins Jaguars 17, Dolphins 20 | Jacksonville Jaguars +2.0 Spread · +2.0 | DK | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Minnesota Vikings @ New York Giants Vikings 28, Giants 6 | Minnesota Vikings -24.0 Spread · -24.0 | BMGM | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts Texans 29, Colts 27 | Indianapolis Colts +3.5 Spread · +3.5 | DK | -113 | 3.00u | +2.65u | W |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Arizona Cardinals @ Buffalo Bills Cardinals 28, Bills 34 | Over 63.0 Total · O 63.0 | DK | -106 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Atlanta Falcons Steelers 18, Falcons 10 | Pittsburgh Steelers ML Moneyline | DK | +182 | 1.00u | +1.82u | W |
| Thu, Sep 5 | NFL | Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs Ravens 20, Chiefs 27 | Baltimore Ravens ML Moneyline | DK | +204 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |