Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9
Slick's track record
Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.
Backtested record · Not live picks
Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.
Methodology
Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.
Backtested record
Sep 2024 → Apr 2025
+101.77u
50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41
Live record
Begins May 9, 2026
1 graded · sample too small to publish
Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.
NCAAF
New for 2026
NBA
Live picks daily
NFL backtest
268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI
+43.05u · backtested
NCAA Basketball backtest
320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI
+28.70u · backtested
PGA backtest
110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI
+30.02u · backtested
Sun, Oct 27·NFL
LBaltimore Ravens +2.5
Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns · Ravens 24, Browns 29
Thu, Oct 24·NFL
WUnder 53.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams · Vikings 20, Rams 30
Mon, Oct 21·NFL
LLos Angeles Chargers +0.5
Los Angeles Chargers @ Arizona Cardinals · Chargers 15, Cardinals 17
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
WPittsburgh Steelers -21.0
New York Jets @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Jets 15, Steelers 37
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
LSan Francisco 49ers ML
Kansas City Chiefs @ San Francisco 49ers · Chiefs 28, 49ers 18
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
WLas Vegas Raiders +1.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Rams · Raiders 15, Rams 20
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
LCarolina Panthers ML
Carolina Panthers @ Washington Commanders · Panthers 7, Commanders 40
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
LOver 34.0
Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants · Eagles 28, Giants 3
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
LMinnesota Vikings -1.0
Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings · Lions 31, Vikings 29
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
WUnder 30.0
Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts · Dolphins 10, Colts 16
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
WAtlanta Falcons +22.0
Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons · Seahawks 34, Falcons 14
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
PTennessee Titans +24.0
Tennessee Titans @ Buffalo Bills · Titans 10, Bills 34
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
PCincinnati Bengals -7.0
Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns · Bengals 21, Browns 14
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
WHouston Texans +3.5
Houston Texans @ Green Bay Packers · Texans 22, Packers 24
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
WJacksonville Jaguars -11.0
New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Patriots 16, Jaguars 32
Thu, Oct 17·NFL
PDenver Broncos -23.0
Denver Broncos @ New Orleans Saints · Broncos 33, Saints 10
Mon, Oct 14·NFL
LNew York Jets -0.5
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets · Bills 23, Jets 20
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
PUnder 24.0
Cincinnati Bengals @ New York Giants · Bengals 17, Giants 7
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
WUnder 58.0
Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys · Lions 47, Cowboys 9
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
PCarolina Panthers +18.0
Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers · Falcons 38, Panthers 20
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
WPittsburgh Steelers -16.0
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Las Vegas Raiders · Steelers 32, Raiders 13
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
LUnder 36.0
Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos · Chargers 23, Broncos 16
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
LNew England Patriots +18.0
Houston Texans @ New England Patriots · Texans 41, Patriots 21
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
WOver 44.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Green Bay Packers · Cardinals 13, Packers 34
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
LBaltimore Ravens -8.0
Washington Commanders @ Baltimore Ravens · Commanders 23, Ravens 30
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
WCleveland Browns +4.5
Cleveland Browns @ Philadelphia Eagles · Browns 16, Eagles 20
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
WUnder 38.0
Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans · Colts 20, Titans 17
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
LJacksonville Jaguars ML
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Chicago Bears · Jaguars 16, Bears 35
Thu, Oct 10·NFL
LSan Francisco 49ers -13.0
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks · 49ers 36, Seahawks 24
Mon, Oct 7·NFL
WNew Orleans Saints +14.0
New Orleans Saints @ Kansas City Chiefs · Saints 13, Chiefs 26
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
LPittsburgh Steelers +2.5
Dallas Cowboys @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Cowboys 20, Steelers 17
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
WLos Angeles Rams +8.0
Green Bay Packers @ Los Angeles Rams · Packers 24, Rams 19
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
LLas Vegas Raiders +8.0
Las Vegas Raiders @ Denver Broncos · Raiders 18, Broncos 34
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
LSan Francisco 49ers +0.5
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers · Cardinals 24, 49ers 23
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
WWashington Commanders -15.5
Cleveland Browns @ Washington Commanders · Browns 13, Commanders 34
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
WCarolina Panthers +28.0
Carolina Panthers @ Chicago Bears · Panthers 10, Bears 36
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
PBaltimore Ravens -3.0
Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals · Ravens 41, Bengals 38
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
WOver 24.5
Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots · Dolphins 15, Patriots 10
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
WBuffalo Bills +3.5
Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans · Bills 20, Texans 23
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
LIndianapolis Colts ML
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Colts 34, Jaguars 37
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
LMinnesota Vikings -8.0
New York Jets @ Minnesota Vikings · Jets 17, Vikings 23
Thu, Oct 3·NFL
LTampa Bay Buccaneers ML
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons · Buccaneers 30, Falcons 36
Mon, Sep 30·NFL
LSeattle Seahawks ML
Seattle Seahawks @ Detroit Lions · Seahawks 29, Lions 42
Mon, Sep 30·NFL
WMiami Dolphins +19.5
Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins · Titans 31, Dolphins 12
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
WBaltimore Ravens -21.5
Buffalo Bills @ Baltimore Ravens · Bills 10, Ravens 35
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
LUnder 52.5
Washington Commanders @ Arizona Cardinals · Commanders 42, Cardinals 14
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
LUnder 42.0
New England Patriots @ San Francisco 49ers · Patriots 13, 49ers 30
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
WJacksonville Jaguars +8.5
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans · Jaguars 20, Texans 24
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
WCarolina Panthers +14.0
Cincinnati Bengals @ Carolina Panthers · Bengals 34, Panthers 24
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
LNew Orleans Saints -1.5
New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons · Saints 24, Falcons 26
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Book | Odds | Units | P/L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 27 | NFL | Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns Ravens 24, Browns 29 | Baltimore Ravens +2.5 Spread · +2.5 | BMGM | -106 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Oct 24 | NFL | Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams Vikings 20, Rams 30 | Under 53.5 Total · U 53.5 | BMGM | -108 | 3.00u | +2.78u | W |
| Mon, Oct 21 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Arizona Cardinals Chargers 15, Cardinals 17 | Los Angeles Chargers +0.5 Spread · +0.5 | CZR | -110 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | New York Jets @ Pittsburgh Steelers Jets 15, Steelers 37 | Pittsburgh Steelers -21.0 Spread · -21.0 | CZR | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Kansas City Chiefs @ San Francisco 49ers Chiefs 28, 49ers 18 | San Francisco 49ers ML Moneyline | BMGM | +193 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Rams Raiders 15, Rams 20 | Las Vegas Raiders +1.5 Spread · +1.5 | DK | -107 | 2.00u | +1.87u | W |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Carolina Panthers @ Washington Commanders Panthers 7, Commanders 40 | Carolina Panthers ML Moneyline | DK | +242 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants Eagles 28, Giants 3 | Over 34.0 Total · O 34.0 | FD | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings Lions 31, Vikings 29 | Minnesota Vikings -1.0 Spread · -1.0 | CZR | -105 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ Indianapolis Colts Dolphins 10, Colts 16 | Under 30.0 Total · U 30.0 | CZR | -111 | 1.00u | +0.90u | W |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons Seahawks 34, Falcons 14 | Atlanta Falcons +22.0 Spread · +22.0 | DK | -106 | 2.00u | +1.89u | W |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Tennessee Titans @ Buffalo Bills Titans 10, Bills 34 | Tennessee Titans +24.0 Spread · +24.0 | FD | -113 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns Bengals 21, Browns 14 | Cincinnati Bengals -7.0 Spread · -7.0 | DK | -112 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Houston Texans @ Green Bay Packers Texans 22, Packers 24 | Houston Texans +3.5 Spread · +3.5 | CZR | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars Patriots 16, Jaguars 32 | Jacksonville Jaguars -11.0 Spread · -11.0 | CZR | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Thu, Oct 17 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ New Orleans Saints Broncos 33, Saints 10 | Denver Broncos -23.0 Spread · -23.0 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Mon, Oct 14 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets Bills 23, Jets 20 | New York Jets -0.5 Spread · -0.5 | CZR | -106 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ New York Giants Bengals 17, Giants 7 | Under 24.0 Total · U 24.0 | DK | -110 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys Lions 47, Cowboys 9 | Under 58.0 Total · U 58.0 | FD | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers Falcons 38, Panthers 20 | Carolina Panthers +18.0 Spread · +18.0 | DK | -109 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Las Vegas Raiders Steelers 32, Raiders 13 | Pittsburgh Steelers -16.0 Spread · -16.0 | FD | -114 | 1.00u | +0.88u | W |
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos Chargers 23, Broncos 16 | Under 36.0 Total · U 36.0 | FD | -107 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Houston Texans @ New England Patriots Texans 41, Patriots 21 | New England Patriots +18.0 Spread · +18.0 | CZR | -107 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Arizona Cardinals @ Green Bay Packers Cardinals 13, Packers 34 | Over 44.5 Total · O 44.5 | CZR | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ Baltimore Ravens Commanders 23, Ravens 30 | Baltimore Ravens -8.0 Spread · -8.0 | FD | -107 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Cleveland Browns @ Philadelphia Eagles Browns 16, Eagles 20 | Cleveland Browns +4.5 Spread · +4.5 | DK | -114 | 1.00u | +0.88u | W |
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans Colts 20, Titans 17 | Under 38.0 Total · U 38.0 | FD | -114 | 2.00u | +1.75u | W |
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Chicago Bears Jaguars 16, Bears 35 | Jacksonville Jaguars ML Moneyline | FD | +155 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Oct 10 | NFL | San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks 49ers 36, Seahawks 24 | San Francisco 49ers -13.0 Spread · -13.0 | BMGM | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Mon, Oct 7 | NFL | New Orleans Saints @ Kansas City Chiefs Saints 13, Chiefs 26 | New Orleans Saints +14.0 Spread · +14.0 | FD | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ Pittsburgh Steelers Cowboys 20, Steelers 17 | Pittsburgh Steelers +2.5 Spread · +2.5 | DK | -110 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Los Angeles Rams Packers 24, Rams 19 | Los Angeles Rams +8.0 Spread · +8.0 | BMGM | -111 | 1.00u | +0.90u | W |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ Denver Broncos Raiders 18, Broncos 34 | Las Vegas Raiders +8.0 Spread · +8.0 | BMGM | -110 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers Cardinals 24, 49ers 23 | San Francisco 49ers +0.5 Spread · +0.5 | FD | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Cleveland Browns @ Washington Commanders Browns 13, Commanders 34 | Washington Commanders -15.5 Spread · -15.5 | FD | -112 | 2.00u | +1.79u | W |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Carolina Panthers @ Chicago Bears Panthers 10, Bears 36 | Carolina Panthers +28.0 Spread · +28.0 | BMGM | -110 | 1.00u | +0.91u | W |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals Ravens 41, Bengals 38 | Baltimore Ravens -3.0 Spread · -3.0 | FD | -108 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots Dolphins 15, Patriots 10 | Over 24.5 Total · O 24.5 | DK | -113 | 1.00u | +0.88u | W |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans Bills 20, Texans 23 | Buffalo Bills +3.5 Spread · +3.5 | DK | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars Colts 34, Jaguars 37 | Indianapolis Colts ML Moneyline | DK | +162 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | New York Jets @ Minnesota Vikings Jets 17, Vikings 23 | Minnesota Vikings -8.0 Spread · -8.0 | BMGM | -113 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Oct 3 | NFL | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons Buccaneers 30, Falcons 36 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML Moneyline | DK | +192 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Mon, Sep 30 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ Detroit Lions Seahawks 29, Lions 42 | Seattle Seahawks ML Moneyline | DK | +187 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Mon, Sep 30 | NFL | Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins Titans 31, Dolphins 12 | Miami Dolphins +19.5 Spread · +19.5 | DK | -110 | 2.00u | +1.82u | W |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Baltimore Ravens Bills 10, Ravens 35 | Baltimore Ravens -21.5 Spread · -21.5 | CZR | -110 | 1.00u | +0.91u | W |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ Arizona Cardinals Commanders 42, Cardinals 14 | Under 52.5 Total · U 52.5 | CZR | -113 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | New England Patriots @ San Francisco 49ers Patriots 13, 49ers 30 | Under 42.0 Total · U 42.0 | CZR | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans Jaguars 20, Texans 24 | Jacksonville Jaguars +8.5 Spread · +8.5 | FD | -111 | 3.00u | +2.70u | W |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ Carolina Panthers Bengals 34, Panthers 24 | Carolina Panthers +14.0 Spread · +14.0 | FD | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons Saints 24, Falcons 26 | New Orleans Saints -1.5 Spread · -1.5 | DK | -114 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |