Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9
Slick's track record
Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.
Backtested record · Not live picks
Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.
Methodology
Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.
Backtested record
Sep 2024 → Apr 2025
+101.77u
50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41
Live record
Begins May 9, 2026
1 graded · sample too small to publish
Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.
NCAAF
New for 2026
NBA
Live picks daily
NFL backtest
268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI
+43.05u · backtested
NCAA Basketball backtest
320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI
+28.70u · backtested
PGA backtest
110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI
+30.02u · backtested
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WCarolina Panthers -7.0
Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons · Panthers 44, Falcons 38
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
LUnder 49.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys · Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 26
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
WUnder 53.0
Minnesota Vikings @ Seattle Seahawks · Vikings 27, Seahawks 24
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
WWashington Commanders +2.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders · Eagles 33, Commanders 36
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
LNew York Giants +18.0
Baltimore Ravens @ New York Giants · Ravens 35, Giants 14
Thu, Dec 5·NFL
WUnder 69.0
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions · Packers 31, Lions 34
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
WUnder 39.5
Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers · Seahawks 20, 49ers 17
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
WChicago Bears +3.5
Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears · Packers 20, Bears 19
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
PTennessee Titans +10.0
Minnesota Vikings @ Tennessee Titans · Vikings 23, Titans 13
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
WBuffalo Bills ML
Buffalo Bills @ Indianapolis Colts · Bills 30, Colts 20
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
LNew Orleans Saints -4.0
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints · Falcons 17, Saints 20
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
WSan Francisco 49ers +3.0
San Francisco 49ers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · 49ers 23, Buccaneers 20
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WMinnesota Vikings -6.0
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings · Colts 13, Vikings 21
Sun, Oct 27·NFL
WGreen Bay Packers -2.0
Green Bay Packers @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Packers 30, Jaguars 27
Thu, Oct 24·NFL
WUnder 53.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams · Vikings 20, Rams 30
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
LMinnesota Vikings -1.0
Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings · Lions 31, Vikings 29
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
WJacksonville Jaguars +8.5
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans · Jaguars 20, Texans 24
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
LDallas Cowboys ML
Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys · Ravens 28, Cowboys 25
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WPittsburgh Steelers -3.5
Los Angeles Chargers @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Chargers 10, Steelers 20
Thu, Sep 12·NFL
WBuffalo Bills -20.5
Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins · Bills 31, Dolphins 10
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LWashington Commanders ML
Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Commanders 20, Buccaneers 37
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
WIndianapolis Colts +3.5
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts · Texans 29, Colts 27
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Book | Odds | Units | P/L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons Panthers 44, Falcons 38 | Carolina Panthers -7.0 Spread · -7.0 | DK | -111 | 3.00u | +2.70u | W |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Buccaneers 24, Cowboys 26 | Under 49.5 Total · U 49.5 | BMGM | -114 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Minnesota Vikings @ Seattle Seahawks Vikings 27, Seahawks 24 | Under 53.0 Total · U 53.0 | BMGM | -115 | 3.00u | +2.61u | W |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders Eagles 33, Commanders 36 | Washington Commanders +2.5 Spread · +2.5 | FD | -113 | 3.00u | +2.65u | W |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Baltimore Ravens @ New York Giants Ravens 35, Giants 14 | New York Giants +18.0 Spread · +18.0 | BMGM | -110 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Thu, Dec 5 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions Packers 31, Lions 34 | Under 69.0 Total · U 69.0 | BMGM | -115 | 3.00u | +2.61u | W |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers Seahawks 20, 49ers 17 | Under 39.5 Total · U 39.5 | CZR | -111 | 3.00u | +2.70u | W |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears Packers 20, Bears 19 | Chicago Bears +3.5 Spread · +3.5 | BMGM | -115 | 3.00u | +2.61u | W |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Minnesota Vikings @ Tennessee Titans Vikings 23, Titans 13 | Tennessee Titans +10.0 Spread · +10.0 | FD | -108 | 3.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Indianapolis Colts Bills 30, Colts 20 | Buffalo Bills ML Moneyline | BMGM | +146 | 3.00u | +4.38u | W |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints Falcons 17, Saints 20 | New Orleans Saints -4.0 Spread · -4.0 | FD | -108 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | San Francisco 49ers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers 49ers 23, Buccaneers 20 | San Francisco 49ers +3.0 Spread · +3.0 | FD | -107 | 3.00u | +2.80u | W |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings Colts 13, Vikings 21 | Minnesota Vikings -6.0 Spread · -6.0 | CZR | -109 | 3.00u | +2.75u | W |
| Sun, Oct 27 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Jacksonville Jaguars Packers 30, Jaguars 27 | Green Bay Packers -2.0 Spread · -2.0 | BMGM | -111 | 3.00u | +2.70u | W |
| Thu, Oct 24 | NFL | Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams Vikings 20, Rams 30 | Under 53.5 Total · U 53.5 | BMGM | -108 | 3.00u | +2.78u | W |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings Lions 31, Vikings 29 | Minnesota Vikings -1.0 Spread · -1.0 | CZR | -105 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans Jaguars 20, Texans 24 | Jacksonville Jaguars +8.5 Spread · +8.5 | FD | -111 | 3.00u | +2.70u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys Ravens 28, Cowboys 25 | Dallas Cowboys ML Moneyline | FD | +208 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Pittsburgh Steelers Chargers 10, Steelers 20 | Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 Spread · -3.5 | BMGM | -110 | 3.00u | +2.73u | W |
| Thu, Sep 12 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins Bills 31, Dolphins 10 | Buffalo Bills -20.5 Spread · -20.5 | DK | -110 | 3.00u | +2.73u | W |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Commanders 20, Buccaneers 37 | Washington Commanders ML Moneyline | BMGM | +218 | 3.00u | -3.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts Texans 29, Colts 27 | Indianapolis Colts +3.5 Spread · +3.5 | DK | -113 | 3.00u | +2.65u | W |