Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9
Slick's track record
Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.
Backtested record · Not live picks
Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.
Methodology
Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.
Backtested record
Sep 2024 → Apr 2025
+101.77u
50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41
Live record
Begins May 9, 2026
1 graded · sample too small to publish
Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.
NCAAF
New for 2026
NBA
Live picks daily
NFL backtest
268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI
+43.05u · backtested
NCAA Basketball backtest
320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI
+28.70u · backtested
PGA backtest
110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI
+30.02u · backtested
Sun, Jan 19·NFL
PBuffalo Bills -2.0
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills · Ravens 25, Bills 27
Sun, Jan 12·NFL
PTampa Bay Buccaneers +3.0
Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Commanders 23, Buccaneers 20
Sun, Jan 12·NFL
LDenver Broncos +22.0
Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills · Broncos 7, Bills 31
Sat, Jan 11·NFL
LLos Angeles Chargers ML
Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans · Chargers 12, Texans 32
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WDetroit Lions -20.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions · Vikings 9, Lions 31
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WWashington Commanders -3.5
Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys · Commanders 23, Cowboys 19
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WTampa Bay Buccaneers -6.5
New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Saints 19, Buccaneers 27
Sat, Jan 4·NFL
LUnder 42.5
Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens · Browns 10, Ravens 35
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
LMinnesota Vikings -4.0
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings · Packers 25, Vikings 27
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
LCleveland Browns ML
Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns · Dolphins 20, Browns 3
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
WTennessee Titans +8.0
Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Titans 13, Jaguars 20
Sat, Dec 28·NFL
WUnder 54.5
Denver Broncos @ Cincinnati Bengals · Broncos 24, Bengals 30
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
WSan Francisco 49ers +14.5
San Francisco 49ers @ Miami Dolphins · 49ers 17, Dolphins 29
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
WIndianapolis Colts -7.0
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts · Titans 30, Colts 38
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
WNew York Jets +10.5
Los Angeles Rams @ New York Jets · Rams 19, Jets 9
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
WUnder 46.0
New York Giants @ Atlanta Falcons · Giants 7, Falcons 34
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
WCleveland Browns +21.5
Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals · Browns 6, Bengals 24
Mon, Dec 16·NFL
LOver 31.0
Atlanta Falcons @ Las Vegas Raiders · Falcons 15, Raiders 9
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
LUnder 38.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Philadelphia Eagles · Steelers 13, Eagles 27
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
WCincinnati Bengals ML
Cincinnati Bengals @ Tennessee Titans · Bengals 37, Titans 27
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
WNew Orleans Saints ML
Washington Commanders @ New Orleans Saints · Commanders 20, Saints 19
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
LMiami Dolphins +7.0
Miami Dolphins @ Houston Texans · Dolphins 12, Texans 20
Sun, Dec 8·NFL
WLos Angeles Chargers +5.0
Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs · Chargers 17, Chiefs 19
Sun, Dec 8·NFL
LUnder 37.0
Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles · Panthers 16, Eagles 22
Sun, Dec 8·NFL
WLas Vegas Raiders +15.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Raiders 13, Buccaneers 28
Sun, Dec 1·NFL
WOver 44.0
Arizona Cardinals @ Minnesota Vikings · Cardinals 22, Vikings 23
Sun, Dec 1·NFL
LSeattle Seahawks -8.5
Seattle Seahawks @ New York Jets · Seahawks 26, Jets 21
Thu, Nov 28·NFL
WNew York Giants +11.0
New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys · Giants 20, Cowboys 27
Sun, Nov 24·NFL
WPhiladelphia Eagles -11.0
Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Rams · Eagles 37, Rams 20
Sun, Nov 17·NFL
WDenver Broncos -26.5
Atlanta Falcons @ Denver Broncos · Falcons 6, Broncos 38
Sun, Nov 10·NFL
WKansas City Chiefs +0.5
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs · Broncos 14, Chiefs 16
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
LTennessee Titans -3.5
New England Patriots @ Tennessee Titans · Patriots 17, Titans 20
Sun, Nov 3·NFL
WWashington Commanders ML
Washington Commanders @ New York Giants · Commanders 27, Giants 22
Sun, Oct 27·NFL
WDallas Cowboys +7.0
Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers · Cowboys 24, 49ers 30
Sun, Oct 27·NFL
LDenver Broncos -16.5
Carolina Panthers @ Denver Broncos · Panthers 14, Broncos 28
Sun, Oct 27·NFL
WKansas City Chiefs ML
Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders · Chiefs 27, Raiders 20
Sun, Oct 27·NFL
LOver 59.0
Arizona Cardinals @ Miami Dolphins · Cardinals 28, Dolphins 27
Sun, Oct 27·NFL
LIndianapolis Colts ML
Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans · Colts 20, Texans 23
Mon, Oct 21·NFL
LLos Angeles Chargers +0.5
Los Angeles Chargers @ Arizona Cardinals · Chargers 15, Cardinals 17
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
WLas Vegas Raiders +1.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Rams · Raiders 15, Rams 20
Sun, Oct 20·NFL
WAtlanta Falcons +22.0
Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons · Seahawks 34, Falcons 14
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
WUnder 38.0
Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans · Colts 20, Titans 17
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
WWashington Commanders -15.5
Cleveland Browns @ Washington Commanders · Browns 13, Commanders 34
Mon, Sep 30·NFL
WMiami Dolphins +19.5
Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins · Titans 31, Dolphins 12
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
LUnder 52.5
Washington Commanders @ Arizona Cardinals · Commanders 42, Cardinals 14
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
LPittsburgh Steelers -6.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts · Steelers 24, Colts 27
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
LNew York Jets +0.5
Denver Broncos @ New York Jets · Broncos 10, Jets 9
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
LArizona Cardinals ML
Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals · Lions 20, Cardinals 13
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WOver 57.5
Carolina Panthers @ Las Vegas Raiders · Panthers 36, Raiders 22
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WNew York Giants -4.5
New York Giants @ Cleveland Browns · Giants 21, Browns 15
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Book | Odds | Units | P/L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Jan 19 | NFL | Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills Ravens 25, Bills 27 | Buffalo Bills -2.0 Spread · -2.0 | BMGM | -114 | 2.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Jan 12 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Commanders 23, Buccaneers 20 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.0 Spread · +3.0 | CZR | -105 | 2.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Jan 12 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills Broncos 7, Bills 31 | Denver Broncos +22.0 Spread · +22.0 | CZR | -106 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sat, Jan 11 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans Chargers 12, Texans 32 | Los Angeles Chargers ML Moneyline | DK | +113 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions Vikings 9, Lions 31 | Detroit Lions -20.5 Spread · -20.5 | CZR | -110 | 2.00u | +1.82u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys Commanders 23, Cowboys 19 | Washington Commanders -3.5 Spread · -3.5 | CZR | -112 | 2.00u | +1.79u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Saints 19, Buccaneers 27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6.5 Spread · -6.5 | CZR | -105 | 2.00u | +1.90u | W |
| Sat, Jan 4 | NFL | Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens Browns 10, Ravens 35 | Under 42.5 Total · U 42.5 | CZR | -115 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings Packers 25, Vikings 27 | Minnesota Vikings -4.0 Spread · -4.0 | DK | -105 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns Dolphins 20, Browns 3 | Cleveland Browns ML Moneyline | BMGM | +178 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars Titans 13, Jaguars 20 | Tennessee Titans +8.0 Spread · +8.0 | DK | -107 | 2.00u | +1.87u | W |
| Sat, Dec 28 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ Cincinnati Bengals Broncos 24, Bengals 30 | Under 54.5 Total · U 54.5 | DK | -106 | 2.00u | +1.89u | W |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | San Francisco 49ers @ Miami Dolphins 49ers 17, Dolphins 29 | San Francisco 49ers +14.5 Spread · +14.5 | FD | -114 | 2.00u | +1.75u | W |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts Titans 30, Colts 38 | Indianapolis Colts -7.0 Spread · -7.0 | CZR | -110 | 2.00u | +1.82u | W |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ New York Jets Rams 19, Jets 9 | New York Jets +10.5 Spread · +10.5 | BMGM | -108 | 2.00u | +1.85u | W |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | New York Giants @ Atlanta Falcons Giants 7, Falcons 34 | Under 46.0 Total · U 46.0 | CZR | -111 | 2.00u | +1.80u | W |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals Browns 6, Bengals 24 | Cleveland Browns +21.5 Spread · +21.5 | BMGM | -108 | 2.00u | +1.85u | W |
| Mon, Dec 16 | NFL | Atlanta Falcons @ Las Vegas Raiders Falcons 15, Raiders 9 | Over 31.0 Total · O 31.0 | BMGM | -109 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Philadelphia Eagles Steelers 13, Eagles 27 | Under 38.5 Total · U 38.5 | DK | -114 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ Tennessee Titans Bengals 37, Titans 27 | Cincinnati Bengals ML Moneyline | DK | +114 | 2.00u | +2.28u | W |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ New Orleans Saints Commanders 20, Saints 19 | New Orleans Saints ML Moneyline | FD | +243 | 2.00u | +4.86u | W |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ Houston Texans Dolphins 12, Texans 20 | Miami Dolphins +7.0 Spread · +7.0 | DK | -113 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 8 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs Chargers 17, Chiefs 19 | Los Angeles Chargers +5.0 Spread · +5.0 | DK | -113 | 2.00u | +1.77u | W |
| Sun, Dec 8 | NFL | Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles Panthers 16, Eagles 22 | Under 37.0 Total · U 37.0 | CZR | -108 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 8 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Raiders 13, Buccaneers 28 | Las Vegas Raiders +15.5 Spread · +15.5 | BMGM | -106 | 2.00u | +1.89u | W |
| Sun, Dec 1 | NFL | Arizona Cardinals @ Minnesota Vikings Cardinals 22, Vikings 23 | Over 44.0 Total · O 44.0 | DK | -114 | 2.00u | +1.75u | W |
| Sun, Dec 1 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ New York Jets Seahawks 26, Jets 21 | Seattle Seahawks -8.5 Spread · -8.5 | CZR | -111 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Thu, Nov 28 | NFL | New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys Giants 20, Cowboys 27 | New York Giants +11.0 Spread · +11.0 | DK | -106 | 2.00u | +1.89u | W |
| Sun, Nov 24 | NFL | Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Rams Eagles 37, Rams 20 | Philadelphia Eagles -11.0 Spread · -11.0 | CZR | -111 | 2.00u | +1.80u | W |
| Sun, Nov 17 | NFL | Atlanta Falcons @ Denver Broncos Falcons 6, Broncos 38 | Denver Broncos -26.5 Spread · -26.5 | BMGM | -105 | 2.00u | +1.90u | W |
| Sun, Nov 10 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs Broncos 14, Chiefs 16 | Kansas City Chiefs +0.5 Spread · +0.5 | DK | -105 | 2.00u | +1.90u | W |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | New England Patriots @ Tennessee Titans Patriots 17, Titans 20 | Tennessee Titans -3.5 Spread · -3.5 | FD | -113 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Nov 3 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Commanders 27, Giants 22 | Washington Commanders ML Moneyline | DK | +184 | 2.00u | +3.68u | W |
| Sun, Oct 27 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers Cowboys 24, 49ers 30 | Dallas Cowboys +7.0 Spread · +7.0 | BMGM | -112 | 2.00u | +1.79u | W |
| Sun, Oct 27 | NFL | Carolina Panthers @ Denver Broncos Panthers 14, Broncos 28 | Denver Broncos -16.5 Spread · -16.5 | CZR | -110 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 27 | NFL | Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders Chiefs 27, Raiders 20 | Kansas City Chiefs ML Moneyline | BMGM | +201 | 2.00u | +4.02u | W |
| Sun, Oct 27 | NFL | Arizona Cardinals @ Miami Dolphins Cardinals 28, Dolphins 27 | Over 59.0 Total · O 59.0 | FD | -106 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 27 | NFL | Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans Colts 20, Texans 23 | Indianapolis Colts ML Moneyline | FD | +125 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Mon, Oct 21 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Arizona Cardinals Chargers 15, Cardinals 17 | Los Angeles Chargers +0.5 Spread · +0.5 | CZR | -110 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Rams Raiders 15, Rams 20 | Las Vegas Raiders +1.5 Spread · +1.5 | DK | -107 | 2.00u | +1.87u | W |
| Sun, Oct 20 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons Seahawks 34, Falcons 14 | Atlanta Falcons +22.0 Spread · +22.0 | DK | -106 | 2.00u | +1.89u | W |
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans Colts 20, Titans 17 | Under 38.0 Total · U 38.0 | FD | -114 | 2.00u | +1.75u | W |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Cleveland Browns @ Washington Commanders Browns 13, Commanders 34 | Washington Commanders -15.5 Spread · -15.5 | FD | -112 | 2.00u | +1.79u | W |
| Mon, Sep 30 | NFL | Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins Titans 31, Dolphins 12 | Miami Dolphins +19.5 Spread · +19.5 | DK | -110 | 2.00u | +1.82u | W |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ Arizona Cardinals Commanders 42, Cardinals 14 | Under 52.5 Total · U 52.5 | CZR | -113 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts Steelers 24, Colts 27 | Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5 Spread · -6.5 | FD | -111 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ New York Jets Broncos 10, Jets 9 | New York Jets +0.5 Spread · +0.5 | BMGM | -108 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Lions 20, Cardinals 13 | Arizona Cardinals ML Moneyline | FD | +191 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Carolina Panthers @ Las Vegas Raiders Panthers 36, Raiders 22 | Over 57.5 Total · O 57.5 | FD | -111 | 2.00u | +1.80u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | New York Giants @ Cleveland Browns Giants 21, Browns 15 | New York Giants -4.5 Spread · -4.5 | DK | -113 | 2.00u | +1.77u | W |