Slick's track record

Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9

Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.

Backtested record · Not live picks

Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.

Methodology

Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.

Backtested record

Sep 2024 → Apr 2025

+101.77u

50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41

Live record

Begins May 9, 2026

1 graded · sample too small to publish

Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.

NCAAF

New for 2026

NBA

Live picks daily

NFL backtest

268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI

+43.05u · backtested

NCAA Basketball backtest

320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI

+28.70u · backtested

PGA backtest

110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI

+30.02u · backtested

Backtest LiveAll NFL NBA PGA NCAAF NCAAB

All Wins Losses PushesAll 1u 2u 3u

Scope

Backtest Live

Sport

All NFL NBA PGA NCAA Football NCAA Basketball

Result

All Wins Losses Pushes

Confidence

All 1u 2u 3u

Sun, Jan 19·NFL

Buffalo Bills -2.0

Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills · Ravens 25, Bills 27

BMGM-1142.00u

0.00u

Sun, Jan 12·NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.0

Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Commanders 23, Buccaneers 20

CZR-1052.00u

0.00u

Sun, Jan 12·NFL

Denver Broncos +22.0

Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills · Broncos 7, Bills 31

CZR-1062.00u

-2.00u

Sat, Jan 11·NFL

Los Angeles Chargers ML

Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans · Chargers 12, Texans 32

DK+1132.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Detroit Lions -20.5

Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions · Vikings 9, Lions 31

CZR-1102.00u

+1.82u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Washington Commanders -3.5

Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys · Commanders 23, Cowboys 19

CZR-1122.00u

+1.79u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6.5

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Saints 19, Buccaneers 27

CZR-1052.00u

+1.90u

Sat, Jan 4·NFL

Under 42.5

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens · Browns 10, Ravens 35

CZR-1152.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Dec 29·NFL

Minnesota Vikings -4.0

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings · Packers 25, Vikings 27

DK-1052.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Dec 29·NFL

Cleveland Browns ML

Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns · Dolphins 20, Browns 3

BMGM+1782.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Dec 29·NFL

Tennessee Titans +8.0

Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Titans 13, Jaguars 20

DK-1072.00u

+1.87u

Sat, Dec 28·NFL

Under 54.5

Denver Broncos @ Cincinnati Bengals · Broncos 24, Bengals 30

DK-1062.00u

+1.89u

Sun, Dec 22·NFL

San Francisco 49ers +14.5

San Francisco 49ers @ Miami Dolphins · 49ers 17, Dolphins 29

FD-1142.00u

+1.75u

Sun, Dec 22·NFL

Indianapolis Colts -7.0

Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts · Titans 30, Colts 38

CZR-1102.00u

+1.82u

Sun, Dec 22·NFL

New York Jets +10.5

Los Angeles Rams @ New York Jets · Rams 19, Jets 9

BMGM-1082.00u

+1.85u

Sun, Dec 22·NFL

Under 46.0

New York Giants @ Atlanta Falcons · Giants 7, Falcons 34

CZR-1112.00u

+1.80u

Sun, Dec 22·NFL

Cleveland Browns +21.5

Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals · Browns 6, Bengals 24

BMGM-1082.00u

+1.85u

Mon, Dec 16·NFL

Over 31.0

Atlanta Falcons @ Las Vegas Raiders · Falcons 15, Raiders 9

BMGM-1092.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Dec 15·NFL

Under 38.5

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Philadelphia Eagles · Steelers 13, Eagles 27

DK-1142.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Dec 15·NFL

Cincinnati Bengals ML

Cincinnati Bengals @ Tennessee Titans · Bengals 37, Titans 27

DK+1142.00u

+2.28u

Sun, Dec 15·NFL

New Orleans Saints ML

Washington Commanders @ New Orleans Saints · Commanders 20, Saints 19

FD+2432.00u

+4.86u

Sun, Dec 15·NFL

Miami Dolphins +7.0

Miami Dolphins @ Houston Texans · Dolphins 12, Texans 20

DK-1132.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Dec 8·NFL

Los Angeles Chargers +5.0

Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs · Chargers 17, Chiefs 19

DK-1132.00u

+1.77u

Sun, Dec 8·NFL

Under 37.0

Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles · Panthers 16, Eagles 22

CZR-1082.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Dec 8·NFL

Las Vegas Raiders +15.5

Las Vegas Raiders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Raiders 13, Buccaneers 28

BMGM-1062.00u

+1.89u

Sun, Dec 1·NFL

Over 44.0

Arizona Cardinals @ Minnesota Vikings · Cardinals 22, Vikings 23

DK-1142.00u

+1.75u

Sun, Dec 1·NFL

Seattle Seahawks -8.5

Seattle Seahawks @ New York Jets · Seahawks 26, Jets 21

CZR-1112.00u

-2.00u

Thu, Nov 28·NFL

New York Giants +11.0

New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys · Giants 20, Cowboys 27

DK-1062.00u

+1.89u

Sun, Nov 24·NFL

Philadelphia Eagles -11.0

Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Rams · Eagles 37, Rams 20

CZR-1112.00u

+1.80u

Sun, Nov 17·NFL

Denver Broncos -26.5

Atlanta Falcons @ Denver Broncos · Falcons 6, Broncos 38

BMGM-1052.00u

+1.90u

Sun, Nov 10·NFL

Kansas City Chiefs +0.5

Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs · Broncos 14, Chiefs 16

DK-1052.00u

+1.90u

Sun, Nov 3·NFL

Tennessee Titans -3.5

New England Patriots @ Tennessee Titans · Patriots 17, Titans 20

FD-1132.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Nov 3·NFL

Washington Commanders ML

Washington Commanders @ New York Giants · Commanders 27, Giants 22

DK+1842.00u

+3.68u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

Dallas Cowboys +7.0

Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers · Cowboys 24, 49ers 30

BMGM-1122.00u

+1.79u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

Denver Broncos -16.5

Carolina Panthers @ Denver Broncos · Panthers 14, Broncos 28

CZR-1102.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

Kansas City Chiefs ML

Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders · Chiefs 27, Raiders 20

BMGM+2012.00u

+4.02u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

Over 59.0

Arizona Cardinals @ Miami Dolphins · Cardinals 28, Dolphins 27

FD-1062.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Oct 27·NFL

Indianapolis Colts ML

Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans · Colts 20, Texans 23

FD+1252.00u

-2.00u

Mon, Oct 21·NFL

Los Angeles Chargers +0.5

Los Angeles Chargers @ Arizona Cardinals · Chargers 15, Cardinals 17

CZR-1102.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Oct 20·NFL

Las Vegas Raiders +1.5

Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Rams · Raiders 15, Rams 20

DK-1072.00u

+1.87u

Sun, Oct 20·NFL

Atlanta Falcons +22.0

Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons · Seahawks 34, Falcons 14

DK-1062.00u

+1.89u

Sun, Oct 13·NFL

Under 38.0

Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans · Colts 20, Titans 17

FD-1142.00u

+1.75u

Sun, Oct 6·NFL

Washington Commanders -15.5

Cleveland Browns @ Washington Commanders · Browns 13, Commanders 34

FD-1122.00u

+1.79u

Mon, Sep 30·NFL

Miami Dolphins +19.5

Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins · Titans 31, Dolphins 12

DK-1102.00u

+1.82u

Sun, Sep 29·NFL

Under 52.5

Washington Commanders @ Arizona Cardinals · Commanders 42, Cardinals 14

CZR-1132.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Sep 29·NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts · Steelers 24, Colts 27

FD-1112.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Sep 29·NFL

New York Jets +0.5

Denver Broncos @ New York Jets · Broncos 10, Jets 9

BMGM-1082.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Sep 22·NFL

Arizona Cardinals ML

Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals · Lions 20, Cardinals 13

FD+1912.00u

-2.00u

Sun, Sep 22·NFL

Over 57.5

Carolina Panthers @ Las Vegas Raiders · Panthers 36, Raiders 22

FD-1112.00u

+1.80u

Sun, Sep 22·NFL

New York Giants -4.5

New York Giants @ Cleveland Browns · Giants 21, Browns 15

DK-1132.00u

+1.77u

Date	Sport	Matchup	Pick	Book	Odds	Units	P/L
Sun, Jan 19	NFL	Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills Ravens 25, Bills 27	Buffalo Bills -2.0 Spread · -2.0	BMGM	-114	2.00u	0.00u	P
Sun, Jan 12	NFL	Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Commanders 23, Buccaneers 20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.0 Spread · +3.0	CZR	-105	2.00u	0.00u	P
Sun, Jan 12	NFL	Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Bills Broncos 7, Bills 31	Denver Broncos +22.0 Spread · +22.0	CZR	-106	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sat, Jan 11	NFL	Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans Chargers 12, Texans 32	Los Angeles Chargers ML Moneyline	DK	+113	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions Vikings 9, Lions 31	Detroit Lions -20.5 Spread · -20.5	CZR	-110	2.00u	+1.82u	W
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys Commanders 23, Cowboys 19	Washington Commanders -3.5 Spread · -3.5	CZR	-112	2.00u	+1.79u	W
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Saints 19, Buccaneers 27	Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6.5 Spread · -6.5	CZR	-105	2.00u	+1.90u	W
Sat, Jan 4	NFL	Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens Browns 10, Ravens 35	Under 42.5 Total · U 42.5	CZR	-115	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Dec 29	NFL	Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings Packers 25, Vikings 27	Minnesota Vikings -4.0 Spread · -4.0	DK	-105	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Dec 29	NFL	Miami Dolphins @ Cleveland Browns Dolphins 20, Browns 3	Cleveland Browns ML Moneyline	BMGM	+178	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Dec 29	NFL	Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars Titans 13, Jaguars 20	Tennessee Titans +8.0 Spread · +8.0	DK	-107	2.00u	+1.87u	W
Sat, Dec 28	NFL	Denver Broncos @ Cincinnati Bengals Broncos 24, Bengals 30	Under 54.5 Total · U 54.5	DK	-106	2.00u	+1.89u	W
Sun, Dec 22	NFL	San Francisco 49ers @ Miami Dolphins 49ers 17, Dolphins 29	San Francisco 49ers +14.5 Spread · +14.5	FD	-114	2.00u	+1.75u	W
Sun, Dec 22	NFL	Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts Titans 30, Colts 38	Indianapolis Colts -7.0 Spread · -7.0	CZR	-110	2.00u	+1.82u	W
Sun, Dec 22	NFL	Los Angeles Rams @ New York Jets Rams 19, Jets 9	New York Jets +10.5 Spread · +10.5	BMGM	-108	2.00u	+1.85u	W
Sun, Dec 22	NFL	New York Giants @ Atlanta Falcons Giants 7, Falcons 34	Under 46.0 Total · U 46.0	CZR	-111	2.00u	+1.80u	W
Sun, Dec 22	NFL	Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals Browns 6, Bengals 24	Cleveland Browns +21.5 Spread · +21.5	BMGM	-108	2.00u	+1.85u	W
Mon, Dec 16	NFL	Atlanta Falcons @ Las Vegas Raiders Falcons 15, Raiders 9	Over 31.0 Total · O 31.0	BMGM	-109	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Dec 15	NFL	Pittsburgh Steelers @ Philadelphia Eagles Steelers 13, Eagles 27	Under 38.5 Total · U 38.5	DK	-114	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Dec 15	NFL	Cincinnati Bengals @ Tennessee Titans Bengals 37, Titans 27	Cincinnati Bengals ML Moneyline	DK	+114	2.00u	+2.28u	W
Sun, Dec 15	NFL	Washington Commanders @ New Orleans Saints Commanders 20, Saints 19	New Orleans Saints ML Moneyline	FD	+243	2.00u	+4.86u	W
Sun, Dec 15	NFL	Miami Dolphins @ Houston Texans Dolphins 12, Texans 20	Miami Dolphins +7.0 Spread · +7.0	DK	-113	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Dec 8	NFL	Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs Chargers 17, Chiefs 19	Los Angeles Chargers +5.0 Spread · +5.0	DK	-113	2.00u	+1.77u	W
Sun, Dec 8	NFL	Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles Panthers 16, Eagles 22	Under 37.0 Total · U 37.0	CZR	-108	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Dec 8	NFL	Las Vegas Raiders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Raiders 13, Buccaneers 28	Las Vegas Raiders +15.5 Spread · +15.5	BMGM	-106	2.00u	+1.89u	W
Sun, Dec 1	NFL	Arizona Cardinals @ Minnesota Vikings Cardinals 22, Vikings 23	Over 44.0 Total · O 44.0	DK	-114	2.00u	+1.75u	W
Sun, Dec 1	NFL	Seattle Seahawks @ New York Jets Seahawks 26, Jets 21	Seattle Seahawks -8.5 Spread · -8.5	CZR	-111	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Thu, Nov 28	NFL	New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys Giants 20, Cowboys 27	New York Giants +11.0 Spread · +11.0	DK	-106	2.00u	+1.89u	W
Sun, Nov 24	NFL	Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Rams Eagles 37, Rams 20	Philadelphia Eagles -11.0 Spread · -11.0	CZR	-111	2.00u	+1.80u	W
Sun, Nov 17	NFL	Atlanta Falcons @ Denver Broncos Falcons 6, Broncos 38	Denver Broncos -26.5 Spread · -26.5	BMGM	-105	2.00u	+1.90u	W
Sun, Nov 10	NFL	Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs Broncos 14, Chiefs 16	Kansas City Chiefs +0.5 Spread · +0.5	DK	-105	2.00u	+1.90u	W
Sun, Nov 3	NFL	New England Patriots @ Tennessee Titans Patriots 17, Titans 20	Tennessee Titans -3.5 Spread · -3.5	FD	-113	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Nov 3	NFL	Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Commanders 27, Giants 22	Washington Commanders ML Moneyline	DK	+184	2.00u	+3.68u	W
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers Cowboys 24, 49ers 30	Dallas Cowboys +7.0 Spread · +7.0	BMGM	-112	2.00u	+1.79u	W
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	Carolina Panthers @ Denver Broncos Panthers 14, Broncos 28	Denver Broncos -16.5 Spread · -16.5	CZR	-110	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders Chiefs 27, Raiders 20	Kansas City Chiefs ML Moneyline	BMGM	+201	2.00u	+4.02u	W
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	Arizona Cardinals @ Miami Dolphins Cardinals 28, Dolphins 27	Over 59.0 Total · O 59.0	FD	-106	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Oct 27	NFL	Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans Colts 20, Texans 23	Indianapolis Colts ML Moneyline	FD	+125	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Mon, Oct 21	NFL	Los Angeles Chargers @ Arizona Cardinals Chargers 15, Cardinals 17	Los Angeles Chargers +0.5 Spread · +0.5	CZR	-110	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Oct 20	NFL	Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Rams Raiders 15, Rams 20	Las Vegas Raiders +1.5 Spread · +1.5	DK	-107	2.00u	+1.87u	W
Sun, Oct 20	NFL	Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons Seahawks 34, Falcons 14	Atlanta Falcons +22.0 Spread · +22.0	DK	-106	2.00u	+1.89u	W
Sun, Oct 13	NFL	Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans Colts 20, Titans 17	Under 38.0 Total · U 38.0	FD	-114	2.00u	+1.75u	W
Sun, Oct 6	NFL	Cleveland Browns @ Washington Commanders Browns 13, Commanders 34	Washington Commanders -15.5 Spread · -15.5	FD	-112	2.00u	+1.79u	W
Mon, Sep 30	NFL	Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins Titans 31, Dolphins 12	Miami Dolphins +19.5 Spread · +19.5	DK	-110	2.00u	+1.82u	W
Sun, Sep 29	NFL	Washington Commanders @ Arizona Cardinals Commanders 42, Cardinals 14	Under 52.5 Total · U 52.5	CZR	-113	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Sep 29	NFL	Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts Steelers 24, Colts 27	Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5 Spread · -6.5	FD	-111	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Sep 29	NFL	Denver Broncos @ New York Jets Broncos 10, Jets 9	New York Jets +0.5 Spread · +0.5	BMGM	-108	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Sep 22	NFL	Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Lions 20, Cardinals 13	Arizona Cardinals ML Moneyline	FD	+191	2.00u	-2.00u	L
Sun, Sep 22	NFL	Carolina Panthers @ Las Vegas Raiders Panthers 36, Raiders 22	Over 57.5 Total · O 57.5	FD	-111	2.00u	+1.80u	W
Sun, Sep 22	NFL	New York Giants @ Cleveland Browns Giants 21, Browns 15	New York Giants -4.5 Spread · -4.5	DK	-113	2.00u	+1.77u	W

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