Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9
Slick's track record
Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.
Backtested record · Not live picks
Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.
Methodology
Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.
Backtested record
Sep 2024 → Apr 2025
+101.77u
50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41
Live record
Begins May 9, 2026
1 graded · sample too small to publish
Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.
NCAAF
New for 2026
NBA
Live picks daily
NFL backtest
268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI
+43.05u · backtested
NCAA Basketball backtest
320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI
+28.70u · backtested
PGA backtest
110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI
+30.02u · backtested
Sat, Mar 1·NCAA Basketball
WOver 149.5
LSU Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs · Tigers 69, Bulldogs 81
Fri, Feb 28·NCAA Basketball
LUnder 147.5
Georgia State Panthers @ Georgia Southern Eagles · Panthers 75, Eagles 76
Thu, Feb 27·NCAA Basketball
WPortland Pilots -18.0
Pepperdine Waves @ Portland Pilots · Waves 67, Pilots 87
Wed, Feb 26·NCAA Basketball
WRadford Highlanders -4.0
Radford Highlanders @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs · Highlanders 63, Bulldogs 56
Wed, Feb 26·NCAA Basketball
WAuburn Tigers ML
Ole Miss Rebels @ Auburn Tigers · Rebels 76, Tigers 106
Sun, Feb 23·NCAA Basketball
WUTSA Roadrunners +10.0
UTSA Roadrunners @ East Carolina Pirates · Roadrunners 89, Pirates 96
Sun, Feb 23·NCAA Basketball
LOver 165.5
Green Bay Phoenix @ Youngstown State Penguins · Phoenix 77, Penguins 81
Thu, Feb 13·NCAA Basketball
WLe Moyne Dolphins +0.5
Wagner Seahawks @ Le Moyne Dolphins · Seahawks 68, Dolphins 72
Thu, Feb 13·NCAA Basketball
WWilliam & Mary Tribe +1.0
Hofstra Pride @ William & Mary Tribe · Pride 60, Tribe 61
Wed, Feb 12·NCAA Basketball
LFordham Rams +13.0
Dayton Flyers @ Fordham Rams · Flyers 93, Rams 76
Tue, Feb 11·NCAA Basketball
LUnder 143.5
Purdue Boilermakers @ Michigan Wolverines · Boilermakers 73, Wolverines 75
Mon, Feb 10·NCAA Basketball
LUnder 122.5
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders @ Lamar Cardinals · Islanders 56, Cardinals 67
Sat, Feb 8·NCAA Basketball
WPurdue Fort Wayne Mastodons -11.5
Green Bay Phoenix @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · Phoenix 74, Mastodons 89
Sat, Feb 8·NCAA Basketball
LLafayette Leopards -11.5
Navy Midshipmen @ Lafayette Leopards · Midshipmen 51, Leopards 61
Thu, Feb 6·NCAA Basketball
WUtah Tech Trailblazers +18.5
Abilene Christian Wildcats @ Utah Tech Trailblazers · Wildcats 86, Trailblazers 72
Thu, Feb 6·NCAA Basketball
LUnder 150.5
UMBC Retrievers @ New Hampshire Wildcats · Retrievers 78, Wildcats 79
Wed, Feb 5·NCAA Basketball
WUnder 130.5
Southern Illinois Salukis @ Evansville Purple Aces · Salukis 68, Aces 59
Wed, Feb 5·NCAA Basketball
LSyracuse Orange +20.5
Duke Blue Devils @ Syracuse Orange · Devils 83, Orange 54
Mon, Feb 3·NCAA Basketball
LKansas Jayhawks -18.5
Iowa State Cyclones @ Kansas Jayhawks · Cyclones 52, Jayhawks 69
Sat, Feb 1·NCAA Basketball
WOver 126.5
UNLV Rebels @ Nevada Wolf Pack · Rebels 65, Pack 71
Sat, Feb 1·NCAA Basketball
WSt. John's Red Storm +0.5
Providence Friars @ St. John's Red Storm · Friars 66, Storm 68
Fri, Jan 31·NCAA Basketball
LCornell Big Red -14.5
Dartmouth Big Green @ Cornell Big Red · Green 64, Red 76
Wed, Jan 29·NCAA Basketball
PMississippi State Bulldogs +4.0
Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs · Tide 88, Bulldogs 84
Tue, Jan 28·NCAA Basketball
WTexas A&M Aggies -5.5
Oklahoma Sooners @ Texas A&M Aggies · Sooners 68, Aggies 75
Tue, Jan 28·NCAA Basketball
WNorth Carolina Tar Heels +9.5
North Carolina Tar Heels @ Pittsburgh Panthers · Heels 65, Panthers 73
Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball
PHawai'i Rainbow Warriors +16.0
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors @ UC Irvine Anteaters · Warriors 55, Anteaters 71
Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball
WWofford Terriers +17.5
Wofford Terriers @ Samford Bulldogs · Terriers 61, Bulldogs 77
Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball
LOver 162.0
McNeese Cowboys @ UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros · Cowboys 93, Vaqueros 63
Sat, Jan 25·NCAA Basketball
WGeorgia Bulldogs +36.0
Georgia Bulldogs @ Florida Gators · Bulldogs 59, Gators 89
Thu, Jan 23·NCAA Basketball
LUtah Valley Wolverines -8.0
Utah Valley Wolverines @ California Baptist Lancers · Wolverines 74, Lancers 69
Thu, Jan 23·NCAA Basketball
WWest Georgia Wolves +21.0
Jacksonville Dolphins @ West Georgia Wolves · Dolphins 79, Wolves 62
Sat, Jan 18·NCAA Basketball
WSMU Mustangs -39.5
SMU Mustangs @ Miami Hurricanes · Mustangs 117, Hurricanes 74
Thu, Jan 16·NCAA Basketball
LPacific Tigers -0.5
Pacific Tigers @ Portland Pilots · Tigers 81, Pilots 84
Wed, Jan 15·NCAA Basketball
WSt. Bonaventure Bonnies -13.5
Richmond Spiders @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies · Spiders 49, Bonnies 63
Wed, Jan 15·NCAA Basketball
WVirginia Tech Hokies -0.5
NC State Wolfpack @ Virginia Tech Hokies · Wolfpack 76, Hokies 79
Mon, Jan 13·NCAA Basketball
WLamar Cardinals +6.5
New Orleans Privateers @ Lamar Cardinals · Privateers 68, Cardinals 62
Sat, Jan 11·NCAA Basketball
WOver 177.5
Alabama Crimson Tide @ Texas A&M Aggies · Tide 94, Aggies 88
Wed, Jan 8·NCAA Basketball
WBelmont Bruins -1.5
Southern Illinois Salukis @ Belmont Bruins · Salukis 86, Bruins 90
Sat, Jan 4·NCAA Basketball
LThe Citadel Bulldogs +10.0
Chattanooga Mocs @ The Citadel Bulldogs · Mocs 81, Bulldogs 68
Thu, Jan 2·NCAA Basketball
WGreen Bay Phoenix +25.5
Green Bay Phoenix @ Wright State Raiders · Phoenix 51, Raiders 74
Mon, Dec 30·NCAA Basketball
LSan Francisco Dons -6.5
Santa Clara Broncos @ San Francisco Dons · Broncos 94, Dons 97
Mon, Dec 30·NCAA Basketball
PUnder 181.0
Fort Valley State Wildcats @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks · Wildcats 70, Gamecocks 111
Sun, Dec 29·NCAA Basketball
WHoly Cross Crusaders -35.0
Regis College Pride @ Holy Cross Crusaders · Pride 46, Crusaders 82
Sat, Dec 28·NCAA Basketball
WMorehead State Eagles -28.0
Alice Lloyd Eagles @ Morehead State Eagles · Eagles 63, Eagles 94
Sat, Dec 21·NCAA Basketball
WOver 147.5
DePaul Blue Demons @ Northwestern Wildcats · Demons 64, Wildcats 84
Fri, Dec 20·NCAA Basketball
LUnder 152.0
Loyola New Orleans Wolfpack @ SE Louisiana Lions · Wolfpack 62, Lions 96
Wed, Dec 18·NCAA Basketball
LWagner Seahawks +13.5
Manhattan Jaspers @ Wagner Seahawks · Jaspers 80, Seahawks 66
Tue, Dec 17·NCAA Basketball
LUnder 137.5
Central Michigan Chippewas @ Mississippi State Bulldogs · Chippewas 59, Bulldogs 83
Sun, Dec 15·NCAA Basketball
WNorth Dakota State Bison -35.0
Western Michigan Broncos @ North Dakota State Bison · Broncos 62, Bison 98
Sat, Dec 14·NCAA Basketball
WSanta Clara Broncos -4.0
Bradley Braves @ Santa Clara Broncos · Braves 74, Broncos 84
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Book | Odds | Units | P/L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Mar 1 | NCAA Basketball | LSU Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Tigers 69, Bulldogs 81 | Over 149.5 Total · O 149.5 | BMGM | -111 | 2.00u | +1.80u | W |
| Fri, Feb 28 | NCAA Basketball | Georgia State Panthers @ Georgia Southern Eagles Panthers 75, Eagles 76 | Under 147.5 Total · U 147.5 | BMGM | -109 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Thu, Feb 27 | NCAA Basketball | Pepperdine Waves @ Portland Pilots Waves 67, Pilots 87 | Portland Pilots -18.0 Spread · -18.0 | DK | -113 | 2.00u | +1.77u | W |
| Wed, Feb 26 | NCAA Basketball | Radford Highlanders @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs Highlanders 63, Bulldogs 56 | Radford Highlanders -4.0 Spread · -4.0 | FD | -114 | 2.00u | +1.75u | W |
| Wed, Feb 26 | NCAA Basketball | Ole Miss Rebels @ Auburn Tigers Rebels 76, Tigers 106 | Auburn Tigers ML Moneyline | BMGM | +179 | 2.00u | +3.58u | W |
| Sun, Feb 23 | NCAA Basketball | UTSA Roadrunners @ East Carolina Pirates Roadrunners 89, Pirates 96 | UTSA Roadrunners +10.0 Spread · +10.0 | BRV | -110 | 2.00u | +1.82u | W |
| Sun, Feb 23 | NCAA Basketball | Green Bay Phoenix @ Youngstown State Penguins Phoenix 77, Penguins 81 | Over 165.5 Total · O 165.5 | BMGM | -114 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Thu, Feb 13 | NCAA Basketball | Wagner Seahawks @ Le Moyne Dolphins Seahawks 68, Dolphins 72 | Le Moyne Dolphins +0.5 Spread · +0.5 | BRV | -105 | 2.00u | +1.90u | W |
| Thu, Feb 13 | NCAA Basketball | Hofstra Pride @ William & Mary Tribe Pride 60, Tribe 61 | William & Mary Tribe +1.0 Spread · +1.0 | DK | -108 | 2.00u | +1.85u | W |
| Wed, Feb 12 | NCAA Basketball | Dayton Flyers @ Fordham Rams Flyers 93, Rams 76 | Fordham Rams +13.0 Spread · +13.0 | BRV | -106 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Tue, Feb 11 | NCAA Basketball | Purdue Boilermakers @ Michigan Wolverines Boilermakers 73, Wolverines 75 | Under 143.5 Total · U 143.5 | DK | -113 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Mon, Feb 10 | NCAA Basketball | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders @ Lamar Cardinals Islanders 56, Cardinals 67 | Under 122.5 Total · U 122.5 | DK | -105 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sat, Feb 8 | NCAA Basketball | Green Bay Phoenix @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Phoenix 74, Mastodons 89 | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons -11.5 Spread · -11.5 | BMGM | -112 | 2.00u | +1.79u | W |
| Sat, Feb 8 | NCAA Basketball | Navy Midshipmen @ Lafayette Leopards Midshipmen 51, Leopards 61 | Lafayette Leopards -11.5 Spread · -11.5 | BMGM | -105 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Thu, Feb 6 | NCAA Basketball | Abilene Christian Wildcats @ Utah Tech Trailblazers Wildcats 86, Trailblazers 72 | Utah Tech Trailblazers +18.5 Spread · +18.5 | DK | -113 | 2.00u | +1.77u | W |
| Thu, Feb 6 | NCAA Basketball | UMBC Retrievers @ New Hampshire Wildcats Retrievers 78, Wildcats 79 | Under 150.5 Total · U 150.5 | FD | -108 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Wed, Feb 5 | NCAA Basketball | Southern Illinois Salukis @ Evansville Purple Aces Salukis 68, Aces 59 | Under 130.5 Total · U 130.5 | BRV | -114 | 2.00u | +1.75u | W |
| Wed, Feb 5 | NCAA Basketball | Duke Blue Devils @ Syracuse Orange Devils 83, Orange 54 | Syracuse Orange +20.5 Spread · +20.5 | DK | -105 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Mon, Feb 3 | NCAA Basketball | Iowa State Cyclones @ Kansas Jayhawks Cyclones 52, Jayhawks 69 | Kansas Jayhawks -18.5 Spread · -18.5 | BRV | -112 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sat, Feb 1 | NCAA Basketball | UNLV Rebels @ Nevada Wolf Pack Rebels 65, Pack 71 | Over 126.5 Total · O 126.5 | BRV | -106 | 2.00u | +1.89u | W |
| Sat, Feb 1 | NCAA Basketball | Providence Friars @ St. John's Red Storm Friars 66, Storm 68 | St. John's Red Storm +0.5 Spread · +0.5 | BRV | -105 | 2.00u | +1.90u | W |
| Fri, Jan 31 | NCAA Basketball | Dartmouth Big Green @ Cornell Big Red Green 64, Red 76 | Cornell Big Red -14.5 Spread · -14.5 | BMGM | -114 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Wed, Jan 29 | NCAA Basketball | Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Tide 88, Bulldogs 84 | Mississippi State Bulldogs +4.0 Spread · +4.0 | BRV | -106 | 2.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Tue, Jan 28 | NCAA Basketball | Oklahoma Sooners @ Texas A&M Aggies Sooners 68, Aggies 75 | Texas A&M Aggies -5.5 Spread · -5.5 | DK | -112 | 2.00u | +1.79u | W |
| Tue, Jan 28 | NCAA Basketball | North Carolina Tar Heels @ Pittsburgh Panthers Heels 65, Panthers 73 | North Carolina Tar Heels +9.5 Spread · +9.5 | BRV | -109 | 2.00u | +1.83u | W |
| Sat, Jan 25 | NCAA Basketball | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors @ UC Irvine Anteaters Warriors 55, Anteaters 71 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +16.0 Spread · +16.0 | BRV | -106 | 2.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sat, Jan 25 | NCAA Basketball | Wofford Terriers @ Samford Bulldogs Terriers 61, Bulldogs 77 | Wofford Terriers +17.5 Spread · +17.5 | BMGM | -105 | 2.00u | +1.90u | W |
| Sat, Jan 25 | NCAA Basketball | McNeese Cowboys @ UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros Cowboys 93, Vaqueros 63 | Over 162.0 Total · O 162.0 | FD | -106 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sat, Jan 25 | NCAA Basketball | Georgia Bulldogs @ Florida Gators Bulldogs 59, Gators 89 | Georgia Bulldogs +36.0 Spread · +36.0 | BRV | -112 | 2.00u | +1.79u | W |
| Thu, Jan 23 | NCAA Basketball | Utah Valley Wolverines @ California Baptist Lancers Wolverines 74, Lancers 69 | Utah Valley Wolverines -8.0 Spread · -8.0 | BRV | -110 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Thu, Jan 23 | NCAA Basketball | Jacksonville Dolphins @ West Georgia Wolves Dolphins 79, Wolves 62 | West Georgia Wolves +21.0 Spread · +21.0 | BMGM | -112 | 2.00u | +1.79u | W |
| Sat, Jan 18 | NCAA Basketball | SMU Mustangs @ Miami Hurricanes Mustangs 117, Hurricanes 74 | SMU Mustangs -39.5 Spread · -39.5 | BRV | -112 | 2.00u | +1.79u | W |
| Thu, Jan 16 | NCAA Basketball | Pacific Tigers @ Portland Pilots Tigers 81, Pilots 84 | Pacific Tigers -0.5 Spread · -0.5 | FD | -109 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Wed, Jan 15 | NCAA Basketball | Richmond Spiders @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spiders 49, Bonnies 63 | St. Bonaventure Bonnies -13.5 Spread · -13.5 | BRV | -115 | 2.00u | +1.74u | W |
| Wed, Jan 15 | NCAA Basketball | NC State Wolfpack @ Virginia Tech Hokies Wolfpack 76, Hokies 79 | Virginia Tech Hokies -0.5 Spread · -0.5 | BRV | -106 | 2.00u | +1.89u | W |
| Mon, Jan 13 | NCAA Basketball | New Orleans Privateers @ Lamar Cardinals Privateers 68, Cardinals 62 | Lamar Cardinals +6.5 Spread · +6.5 | DK | -115 | 2.00u | +1.74u | W |
| Sat, Jan 11 | NCAA Basketball | Alabama Crimson Tide @ Texas A&M Aggies Tide 94, Aggies 88 | Over 177.5 Total · O 177.5 | BMGM | -109 | 2.00u | +1.83u | W |
| Wed, Jan 8 | NCAA Basketball | Southern Illinois Salukis @ Belmont Bruins Salukis 86, Bruins 90 | Belmont Bruins -1.5 Spread · -1.5 | DK | -107 | 2.00u | +1.87u | W |
| Sat, Jan 4 | NCAA Basketball | Chattanooga Mocs @ The Citadel Bulldogs Mocs 81, Bulldogs 68 | The Citadel Bulldogs +10.0 Spread · +10.0 | DK | -114 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Thu, Jan 2 | NCAA Basketball | Green Bay Phoenix @ Wright State Raiders Phoenix 51, Raiders 74 | Green Bay Phoenix +25.5 Spread · +25.5 | BMGM | -107 | 2.00u | +1.87u | W |
| Mon, Dec 30 | NCAA Basketball | Santa Clara Broncos @ San Francisco Dons Broncos 94, Dons 97 | San Francisco Dons -6.5 Spread · -6.5 | BMGM | -111 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Mon, Dec 30 | NCAA Basketball | Fort Valley State Wildcats @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks Wildcats 70, Gamecocks 111 | Under 181.0 Total · U 181.0 | BMGM | -111 | 2.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NCAA Basketball | Regis College Pride @ Holy Cross Crusaders Pride 46, Crusaders 82 | Holy Cross Crusaders -35.0 Spread · -35.0 | BRV | -105 | 2.00u | +1.90u | W |
| Sat, Dec 28 | NCAA Basketball | Alice Lloyd Eagles @ Morehead State Eagles Eagles 63, Eagles 94 | Morehead State Eagles -28.0 Spread · -28.0 | BMGM | -112 | 2.00u | +1.79u | W |
| Sat, Dec 21 | NCAA Basketball | DePaul Blue Demons @ Northwestern Wildcats Demons 64, Wildcats 84 | Over 147.5 Total · O 147.5 | FD | -113 | 2.00u | +1.77u | W |
| Fri, Dec 20 | NCAA Basketball | Loyola New Orleans Wolfpack @ SE Louisiana Lions Wolfpack 62, Lions 96 | Under 152.0 Total · U 152.0 | FD | -113 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Wed, Dec 18 | NCAA Basketball | Manhattan Jaspers @ Wagner Seahawks Jaspers 80, Seahawks 66 | Wagner Seahawks +13.5 Spread · +13.5 | DK | -113 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Tue, Dec 17 | NCAA Basketball | Central Michigan Chippewas @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Chippewas 59, Bulldogs 83 | Under 137.5 Total · U 137.5 | BRV | -108 | 2.00u | -2.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NCAA Basketball | Western Michigan Broncos @ North Dakota State Bison Broncos 62, Bison 98 | North Dakota State Bison -35.0 Spread · -35.0 | DK | -110 | 2.00u | +1.82u | W |
| Sat, Dec 14 | NCAA Basketball | Bradley Braves @ Santa Clara Broncos Braves 74, Broncos 84 | Santa Clara Broncos -4.0 Spread · -4.0 | FD | -106 | 2.00u | +1.89u | W |