Slick's track record

Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9

Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.

Backtested record · Not live picks

Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.

Methodology

Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.

Backtested record

Sep 2024 → Apr 2025

+101.77u

50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41

Live record

Begins May 9, 2026

1 graded · sample too small to publish

Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.

NCAAF

New for 2026

NBA

Live picks daily

NFL backtest

268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI

+43.05u · backtested

NCAA Basketball backtest

320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI

+28.70u · backtested

PGA backtest

110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI

+30.02u · backtested

Backtest LiveAll NFL NBA PGA NCAAF NCAAB

All Wins Losses PushesAll 1u 2u 3u

Scope

Backtest Live

Sport

All NFL NBA PGA NCAA Football NCAA Basketball

Result

All Wins Losses Pushes

Confidence

All 1u 2u 3u

Sun, Feb 9·NFL

Philadelphia Eagles ML

Kansas City Chiefs @ Philadelphia Eagles · Chiefs 22, Eagles 40

FD+2201.00u

+2.20u

Sun, Feb 2·NFL

Over 137.0

AFC @ NFC

BMGM-1091.00u

+0.92u

Sun, Jan 26·NFL

Under 61.0

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs · Bills 29, Chiefs 32

CZR-1091.00u

0.00u

Sun, Jan 26·NFL

Washington Commanders +38.5

Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles · Commanders 23, Eagles 55

BMGM-1091.00u

+0.92u

Sun, Jan 19·NFL

Philadelphia Eagles ML

Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles · Rams 22, Eagles 28

BMGM+1651.00u

+1.65u

Sat, Jan 18·NFL

Kansas City Chiefs -12.5

Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs · Texans 14, Chiefs 23

CZR-1111.00u

-1.00u

Mon, Jan 13·NFL

Under 45.0

Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams · Vikings 9, Rams 27

FD-1061.00u

+0.94u

Sun, Jan 12·NFL

Under 33.0

Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles · Packers 10, Eagles 22

FD-1101.00u

+0.91u

Sat, Jan 11·NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers ML

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens · Steelers 14, Ravens 28

BMGM+2371.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Denver Broncos -41.5

Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos · Chiefs 0, Broncos 38

DK-1091.00u

+0.92u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Over 59.0

Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders · Chargers 34, Raiders 20

BMGM-1141.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Under 64.0

Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams · Seahawks 30, Rams 25

CZR-1051.00u

+0.95u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

New York Jets -11.5

Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets · Dolphins 20, Jets 32

FD-1101.00u

+0.91u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Over 64.0

San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals · 49ers 24, Cardinals 47

FD-1051.00u

+0.95u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Green Bay Packers +2.0

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers · Bears 24, Packers 22

CZR-1101.00u

0.00u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Houston Texans -8.5

Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans · Texans 23, Titans 14

CZR-1151.00u

+0.87u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars +1.0

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts · Jaguars 23, Colts 26

CZR-1151.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Buffalo Bills +9.5

Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots · Bills 16, Patriots 23

FD-1121.00u

+0.89u

Sun, Jan 5·NFL

Philadelphia Eagles ML

New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles · Giants 13, Eagles 20

CZR+2461.00u

+2.46u

Sat, Jan 4·NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers -0.5

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Bengals 19, Steelers 17

DK-1091.00u

-1.00u

Mon, Dec 30·NFL

Detroit Lions -7.0

Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49ers · Lions 40, 49ers 34

CZR-1051.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Dec 29·NFL

Washington Commanders -7.0

Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Commanders · Falcons 24, Commanders 30

FD-1061.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Dec 29·NFL

New Orleans Saints +13.0

Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints · Raiders 25, Saints 10

BMGM-1071.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Dec 29·NFL

New York Giants -9.0

Indianapolis Colts @ New York Giants · Colts 33, Giants 45

FD-1061.00u

+0.94u

Sun, Dec 29·NFL

Philadelphia Eagles -33.0

Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles · Cowboys 7, Eagles 41

BMGM-1071.00u

+0.93u

Sun, Dec 29·NFL

Over 63.0

Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Panthers 14, Buccaneers 48

BMGM-1091.00u

-1.00u

Sat, Dec 28·NFL

Los Angeles Rams -1.5

Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams · Cardinals 9, Rams 13

BMGM-1081.00u

+0.93u

Sat, Dec 28·NFL

New England Patriots +33.5

Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots · Chargers 40, Patriots 7

CZR-1091.00u

+0.92u

Thu, Dec 26·NFL

Chicago Bears ML

Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears · Seahawks 6, Bears 3

BMGM+1961.00u

-1.00u

Wed, Dec 25·NFL

Kansas City Chiefs -23.5

Kansas City Chiefs @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Chiefs 29, Steelers 10

CZR-1141.00u

-1.00u

Mon, Dec 23·NFL

Over 38.0

New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers · Saints 0, Packers 34

FD-1081.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Dec 22·NFL

Buffalo Bills ML

New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills · Patriots 21, Bills 24

FD+1931.00u

+1.93u

Sun, Dec 22·NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars +4.0

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Las Vegas Raiders · Jaguars 14, Raiders 19

DK-1081.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Dec 22·NFL

Detroit Lions -17.0

Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears · Lions 34, Bears 17

DK-1141.00u

0.00u

Sun, Dec 22·NFL

Carolina Panthers -6.0

Arizona Cardinals @ Carolina Panthers · Cardinals 30, Panthers 36

DK-1131.00u

0.00u

Sat, Dec 21·NFL

Baltimore Ravens -20.0

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens · Steelers 17, Ravens 34

BMGM-1111.00u

-1.00u

Sat, Dec 21·NFL

Houston Texans +1.5

Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs · Texans 19, Chiefs 27

DK-1111.00u

-1.00u

Thu, Dec 19·NFL

Denver Broncos +11.0

Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers · Broncos 27, Chargers 34

BMGM-1151.00u

+0.87u

Mon, Dec 16·NFL

Chicago Bears +15.5

Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings · Bears 12, Vikings 30

BMGM-1061.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Dec 15·NFL

Green Bay Packers -11.0

Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks · Packers 30, Seahawks 13

DK-1081.00u

+0.93u

Sun, Dec 15·NFL

Indianapolis Colts +23.5

Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos · Colts 13, Broncos 31

DK-1111.00u

+0.90u

Sun, Dec 15·NFL

Buffalo Bills -3.5

Buffalo Bills @ Detroit Lions · Bills 48, Lions 42

CZR-1101.00u

+0.91u

Sun, Dec 15·NFL

Arizona Cardinals -10.0

New England Patriots @ Arizona Cardinals · Patriots 17, Cardinals 30

FD-1051.00u

+0.95u

Sun, Dec 15·NFL

Los Angeles Chargers +22.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Los Angeles Chargers · Buccaneers 40, Chargers 17

DK-1091.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Dec 15·NFL

Carolina Panthers +13.5

Dallas Cowboys @ Carolina Panthers · Cowboys 30, Panthers 14

DK-1141.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Dec 15·NFL

Under 29.0

Kansas City Chiefs @ Cleveland Browns · Chiefs 21, Browns 7

FD-1121.00u

+0.89u

Thu, Dec 12·NFL

Los Angeles Rams -6.5

Los Angeles Rams @ San Francisco 49ers · Rams 12, 49ers 6

CZR-1091.00u

-1.00u

Mon, Dec 9·NFL

Under 40.5

Cincinnati Bengals @ Dallas Cowboys · Bengals 27, Cowboys 20

DK-1151.00u

-1.00u

Sun, Dec 8·NFL

Buffalo Bills +1.0

Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams · Bills 42, Rams 44

FD-1071.00u

+0.93u

Sun, Dec 8·NFL

Over 54.5

Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers · Bears 13, 49ers 38

BMGM-1151.00u

-1.00u

Date	Sport	Matchup	Pick	Book	Odds	Units	P/L
Sun, Feb 9	NFL	Kansas City Chiefs @ Philadelphia Eagles Chiefs 22, Eagles 40	Philadelphia Eagles ML Moneyline	FD	+220	1.00u	+2.20u	W
Sun, Feb 2	NFL	AFC @ NFC	Over 137.0 Total · O 137.0	BMGM	-109	1.00u	+0.92u	W
Sun, Jan 26	NFL	Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs Bills 29, Chiefs 32	Under 61.0 Total · U 61.0	CZR	-109	1.00u	0.00u	P
Sun, Jan 26	NFL	Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles Commanders 23, Eagles 55	Washington Commanders +38.5 Spread · +38.5	BMGM	-109	1.00u	+0.92u	W
Sun, Jan 19	NFL	Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles Rams 22, Eagles 28	Philadelphia Eagles ML Moneyline	BMGM	+165	1.00u	+1.65u	W
Sat, Jan 18	NFL	Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs Texans 14, Chiefs 23	Kansas City Chiefs -12.5 Spread · -12.5	CZR	-111	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Mon, Jan 13	NFL	Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams Vikings 9, Rams 27	Under 45.0 Total · U 45.0	FD	-106	1.00u	+0.94u	W
Sun, Jan 12	NFL	Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles Packers 10, Eagles 22	Under 33.0 Total · U 33.0	FD	-110	1.00u	+0.91u	W
Sat, Jan 11	NFL	Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens Steelers 14, Ravens 28	Pittsburgh Steelers ML Moneyline	BMGM	+237	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Chiefs 0, Broncos 38	Denver Broncos -41.5 Spread · -41.5	DK	-109	1.00u	+0.92u	W
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders Chargers 34, Raiders 20	Over 59.0 Total · O 59.0	BMGM	-114	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams Seahawks 30, Rams 25	Under 64.0 Total · U 64.0	CZR	-105	1.00u	+0.95u	W
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets Dolphins 20, Jets 32	New York Jets -11.5 Spread · -11.5	FD	-110	1.00u	+0.91u	W
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals 49ers 24, Cardinals 47	Over 64.0 Total · O 64.0	FD	-105	1.00u	+0.95u	W
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Bears 24, Packers 22	Green Bay Packers +2.0 Spread · +2.0	CZR	-110	1.00u	0.00u	P
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans Texans 23, Titans 14	Houston Texans -8.5 Spread · -8.5	CZR	-115	1.00u	+0.87u	W
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts Jaguars 23, Colts 26	Jacksonville Jaguars +1.0 Spread · +1.0	CZR	-115	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots Bills 16, Patriots 23	Buffalo Bills +9.5 Spread · +9.5	FD	-112	1.00u	+0.89u	W
Sun, Jan 5	NFL	New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles Giants 13, Eagles 20	Philadelphia Eagles ML Moneyline	CZR	+246	1.00u	+2.46u	W
Sat, Jan 4	NFL	Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers Bengals 19, Steelers 17	Pittsburgh Steelers -0.5 Spread · -0.5	DK	-109	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Mon, Dec 30	NFL	Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49ers Lions 40, 49ers 34	Detroit Lions -7.0 Spread · -7.0	CZR	-105	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Dec 29	NFL	Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Commanders Falcons 24, Commanders 30	Washington Commanders -7.0 Spread · -7.0	FD	-106	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Dec 29	NFL	Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints Raiders 25, Saints 10	New Orleans Saints +13.0 Spread · +13.0	BMGM	-107	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Dec 29	NFL	Indianapolis Colts @ New York Giants Colts 33, Giants 45	New York Giants -9.0 Spread · -9.0	FD	-106	1.00u	+0.94u	W
Sun, Dec 29	NFL	Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Cowboys 7, Eagles 41	Philadelphia Eagles -33.0 Spread · -33.0	BMGM	-107	1.00u	+0.93u	W
Sun, Dec 29	NFL	Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Panthers 14, Buccaneers 48	Over 63.0 Total · O 63.0	BMGM	-109	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sat, Dec 28	NFL	Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams Cardinals 9, Rams 13	Los Angeles Rams -1.5 Spread · -1.5	BMGM	-108	1.00u	+0.93u	W
Sat, Dec 28	NFL	Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots Chargers 40, Patriots 7	New England Patriots +33.5 Spread · +33.5	CZR	-109	1.00u	+0.92u	W
Thu, Dec 26	NFL	Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears Seahawks 6, Bears 3	Chicago Bears ML Moneyline	BMGM	+196	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Wed, Dec 25	NFL	Kansas City Chiefs @ Pittsburgh Steelers Chiefs 29, Steelers 10	Kansas City Chiefs -23.5 Spread · -23.5	CZR	-114	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Mon, Dec 23	NFL	New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers Saints 0, Packers 34	Over 38.0 Total · O 38.0	FD	-108	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Dec 22	NFL	New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills Patriots 21, Bills 24	Buffalo Bills ML Moneyline	FD	+193	1.00u	+1.93u	W
Sun, Dec 22	NFL	Jacksonville Jaguars @ Las Vegas Raiders Jaguars 14, Raiders 19	Jacksonville Jaguars +4.0 Spread · +4.0	DK	-108	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Dec 22	NFL	Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears Lions 34, Bears 17	Detroit Lions -17.0 Spread · -17.0	DK	-114	1.00u	0.00u	P
Sun, Dec 22	NFL	Arizona Cardinals @ Carolina Panthers Cardinals 30, Panthers 36	Carolina Panthers -6.0 Spread · -6.0	DK	-113	1.00u	0.00u	P
Sat, Dec 21	NFL	Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens Steelers 17, Ravens 34	Baltimore Ravens -20.0 Spread · -20.0	BMGM	-111	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sat, Dec 21	NFL	Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs Texans 19, Chiefs 27	Houston Texans +1.5 Spread · +1.5	DK	-111	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Thu, Dec 19	NFL	Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers Broncos 27, Chargers 34	Denver Broncos +11.0 Spread · +11.0	BMGM	-115	1.00u	+0.87u	W
Mon, Dec 16	NFL	Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings Bears 12, Vikings 30	Chicago Bears +15.5 Spread · +15.5	BMGM	-106	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Dec 15	NFL	Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks Packers 30, Seahawks 13	Green Bay Packers -11.0 Spread · -11.0	DK	-108	1.00u	+0.93u	W
Sun, Dec 15	NFL	Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos Colts 13, Broncos 31	Indianapolis Colts +23.5 Spread · +23.5	DK	-111	1.00u	+0.90u	W
Sun, Dec 15	NFL	Buffalo Bills @ Detroit Lions Bills 48, Lions 42	Buffalo Bills -3.5 Spread · -3.5	CZR	-110	1.00u	+0.91u	W
Sun, Dec 15	NFL	New England Patriots @ Arizona Cardinals Patriots 17, Cardinals 30	Arizona Cardinals -10.0 Spread · -10.0	FD	-105	1.00u	+0.95u	W
Sun, Dec 15	NFL	Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Los Angeles Chargers Buccaneers 40, Chargers 17	Los Angeles Chargers +22.5 Spread · +22.5	DK	-109	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Dec 15	NFL	Dallas Cowboys @ Carolina Panthers Cowboys 30, Panthers 14	Carolina Panthers +13.5 Spread · +13.5	DK	-114	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Dec 15	NFL	Kansas City Chiefs @ Cleveland Browns Chiefs 21, Browns 7	Under 29.0 Total · U 29.0	FD	-112	1.00u	+0.89u	W
Thu, Dec 12	NFL	Los Angeles Rams @ San Francisco 49ers Rams 12, 49ers 6	Los Angeles Rams -6.5 Spread · -6.5	CZR	-109	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Mon, Dec 9	NFL	Cincinnati Bengals @ Dallas Cowboys Bengals 27, Cowboys 20	Under 40.5 Total · U 40.5	DK	-115	1.00u	-1.00u	L
Sun, Dec 8	NFL	Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams Bills 42, Rams 44	Buffalo Bills +1.0 Spread · +1.0	FD	-107	1.00u	+0.93u	W
Sun, Dec 8	NFL	Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers Bears 13, 49ers 38	Over 54.5 Total · O 54.5	BMGM	-115	1.00u	-1.00u	L

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