Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9
Slick's track record
Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.
Backtested record · Not live picks
Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.
Methodology
Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.
Backtested record
Sep 2024 → Apr 2025
+101.77u
50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41
Live record
Begins May 9, 2026
1 graded · sample too small to publish
Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.
NCAAF
New for 2026
NBA
Live picks daily
NFL backtest
268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI
+43.05u · backtested
NCAA Basketball backtest
320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI
+28.70u · backtested
PGA backtest
110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI
+30.02u · backtested
Sun, Feb 9·NFL
WPhiladelphia Eagles ML
Kansas City Chiefs @ Philadelphia Eagles · Chiefs 22, Eagles 40
Sun, Feb 2·NFL
WOver 137.0
AFC @ NFC
Sun, Jan 26·NFL
PUnder 61.0
Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs · Bills 29, Chiefs 32
Sun, Jan 26·NFL
WWashington Commanders +38.5
Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles · Commanders 23, Eagles 55
Sun, Jan 19·NFL
WPhiladelphia Eagles ML
Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles · Rams 22, Eagles 28
Sat, Jan 18·NFL
LKansas City Chiefs -12.5
Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs · Texans 14, Chiefs 23
Mon, Jan 13·NFL
WUnder 45.0
Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams · Vikings 9, Rams 27
Sun, Jan 12·NFL
WUnder 33.0
Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles · Packers 10, Eagles 22
Sat, Jan 11·NFL
LPittsburgh Steelers ML
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens · Steelers 14, Ravens 28
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WDenver Broncos -41.5
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos · Chiefs 0, Broncos 38
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
LOver 59.0
Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders · Chargers 34, Raiders 20
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WUnder 64.0
Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams · Seahawks 30, Rams 25
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WNew York Jets -11.5
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets · Dolphins 20, Jets 32
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WOver 64.0
San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals · 49ers 24, Cardinals 47
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
PGreen Bay Packers +2.0
Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers · Bears 24, Packers 22
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WHouston Texans -8.5
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans · Texans 23, Titans 14
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
LJacksonville Jaguars +1.0
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts · Jaguars 23, Colts 26
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WBuffalo Bills +9.5
Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots · Bills 16, Patriots 23
Sun, Jan 5·NFL
WPhiladelphia Eagles ML
New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles · Giants 13, Eagles 20
Sat, Jan 4·NFL
LPittsburgh Steelers -0.5
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Bengals 19, Steelers 17
Mon, Dec 30·NFL
LDetroit Lions -7.0
Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49ers · Lions 40, 49ers 34
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
LWashington Commanders -7.0
Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Commanders · Falcons 24, Commanders 30
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
LNew Orleans Saints +13.0
Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints · Raiders 25, Saints 10
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
WNew York Giants -9.0
Indianapolis Colts @ New York Giants · Colts 33, Giants 45
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
WPhiladelphia Eagles -33.0
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles · Cowboys 7, Eagles 41
Sun, Dec 29·NFL
LOver 63.0
Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Panthers 14, Buccaneers 48
Sat, Dec 28·NFL
WLos Angeles Rams -1.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams · Cardinals 9, Rams 13
Sat, Dec 28·NFL
WNew England Patriots +33.5
Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots · Chargers 40, Patriots 7
Thu, Dec 26·NFL
LChicago Bears ML
Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears · Seahawks 6, Bears 3
Wed, Dec 25·NFL
LKansas City Chiefs -23.5
Kansas City Chiefs @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Chiefs 29, Steelers 10
Mon, Dec 23·NFL
LOver 38.0
New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers · Saints 0, Packers 34
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
WBuffalo Bills ML
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills · Patriots 21, Bills 24
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
LJacksonville Jaguars +4.0
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Las Vegas Raiders · Jaguars 14, Raiders 19
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
PDetroit Lions -17.0
Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears · Lions 34, Bears 17
Sun, Dec 22·NFL
PCarolina Panthers -6.0
Arizona Cardinals @ Carolina Panthers · Cardinals 30, Panthers 36
Sat, Dec 21·NFL
LBaltimore Ravens -20.0
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens · Steelers 17, Ravens 34
Sat, Dec 21·NFL
LHouston Texans +1.5
Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs · Texans 19, Chiefs 27
Thu, Dec 19·NFL
WDenver Broncos +11.0
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers · Broncos 27, Chargers 34
Mon, Dec 16·NFL
LChicago Bears +15.5
Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings · Bears 12, Vikings 30
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
WGreen Bay Packers -11.0
Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks · Packers 30, Seahawks 13
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
WIndianapolis Colts +23.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos · Colts 13, Broncos 31
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
WBuffalo Bills -3.5
Buffalo Bills @ Detroit Lions · Bills 48, Lions 42
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
WArizona Cardinals -10.0
New England Patriots @ Arizona Cardinals · Patriots 17, Cardinals 30
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
LLos Angeles Chargers +22.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Los Angeles Chargers · Buccaneers 40, Chargers 17
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
LCarolina Panthers +13.5
Dallas Cowboys @ Carolina Panthers · Cowboys 30, Panthers 14
Sun, Dec 15·NFL
WUnder 29.0
Kansas City Chiefs @ Cleveland Browns · Chiefs 21, Browns 7
Thu, Dec 12·NFL
LLos Angeles Rams -6.5
Los Angeles Rams @ San Francisco 49ers · Rams 12, 49ers 6
Mon, Dec 9·NFL
LUnder 40.5
Cincinnati Bengals @ Dallas Cowboys · Bengals 27, Cowboys 20
Sun, Dec 8·NFL
WBuffalo Bills +1.0
Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams · Bills 42, Rams 44
Sun, Dec 8·NFL
LOver 54.5
Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers · Bears 13, 49ers 38
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Book | Odds | Units | P/L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Feb 9 | NFL | Kansas City Chiefs @ Philadelphia Eagles Chiefs 22, Eagles 40 | Philadelphia Eagles ML Moneyline | FD | +220 | 1.00u | +2.20u | W |
| Sun, Feb 2 | NFL | AFC @ NFC | Over 137.0 Total · O 137.0 | BMGM | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Jan 26 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs Bills 29, Chiefs 32 | Under 61.0 Total · U 61.0 | CZR | -109 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Jan 26 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles Commanders 23, Eagles 55 | Washington Commanders +38.5 Spread · +38.5 | BMGM | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Jan 19 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles Rams 22, Eagles 28 | Philadelphia Eagles ML Moneyline | BMGM | +165 | 1.00u | +1.65u | W |
| Sat, Jan 18 | NFL | Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs Texans 14, Chiefs 23 | Kansas City Chiefs -12.5 Spread · -12.5 | CZR | -111 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Mon, Jan 13 | NFL | Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams Vikings 9, Rams 27 | Under 45.0 Total · U 45.0 | FD | -106 | 1.00u | +0.94u | W |
| Sun, Jan 12 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles Packers 10, Eagles 22 | Under 33.0 Total · U 33.0 | FD | -110 | 1.00u | +0.91u | W |
| Sat, Jan 11 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens Steelers 14, Ravens 28 | Pittsburgh Steelers ML Moneyline | BMGM | +237 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Chiefs 0, Broncos 38 | Denver Broncos -41.5 Spread · -41.5 | DK | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders Chargers 34, Raiders 20 | Over 59.0 Total · O 59.0 | BMGM | -114 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams Seahawks 30, Rams 25 | Under 64.0 Total · U 64.0 | CZR | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets Dolphins 20, Jets 32 | New York Jets -11.5 Spread · -11.5 | FD | -110 | 1.00u | +0.91u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals 49ers 24, Cardinals 47 | Over 64.0 Total · O 64.0 | FD | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Bears 24, Packers 22 | Green Bay Packers +2.0 Spread · +2.0 | CZR | -110 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans Texans 23, Titans 14 | Houston Texans -8.5 Spread · -8.5 | CZR | -115 | 1.00u | +0.87u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts Jaguars 23, Colts 26 | Jacksonville Jaguars +1.0 Spread · +1.0 | CZR | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots Bills 16, Patriots 23 | Buffalo Bills +9.5 Spread · +9.5 | FD | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Sun, Jan 5 | NFL | New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles Giants 13, Eagles 20 | Philadelphia Eagles ML Moneyline | CZR | +246 | 1.00u | +2.46u | W |
| Sat, Jan 4 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers Bengals 19, Steelers 17 | Pittsburgh Steelers -0.5 Spread · -0.5 | DK | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Mon, Dec 30 | NFL | Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49ers Lions 40, 49ers 34 | Detroit Lions -7.0 Spread · -7.0 | CZR | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Atlanta Falcons @ Washington Commanders Falcons 24, Commanders 30 | Washington Commanders -7.0 Spread · -7.0 | FD | -106 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints Raiders 25, Saints 10 | New Orleans Saints +13.0 Spread · +13.0 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Indianapolis Colts @ New York Giants Colts 33, Giants 45 | New York Giants -9.0 Spread · -9.0 | FD | -106 | 1.00u | +0.94u | W |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Cowboys 7, Eagles 41 | Philadelphia Eagles -33.0 Spread · -33.0 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sun, Dec 29 | NFL | Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Panthers 14, Buccaneers 48 | Over 63.0 Total · O 63.0 | BMGM | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Dec 28 | NFL | Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams Cardinals 9, Rams 13 | Los Angeles Rams -1.5 Spread · -1.5 | BMGM | -108 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sat, Dec 28 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ New England Patriots Chargers 40, Patriots 7 | New England Patriots +33.5 Spread · +33.5 | CZR | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Thu, Dec 26 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears Seahawks 6, Bears 3 | Chicago Bears ML Moneyline | BMGM | +196 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Wed, Dec 25 | NFL | Kansas City Chiefs @ Pittsburgh Steelers Chiefs 29, Steelers 10 | Kansas City Chiefs -23.5 Spread · -23.5 | CZR | -114 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Mon, Dec 23 | NFL | New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers Saints 0, Packers 34 | Over 38.0 Total · O 38.0 | FD | -108 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills Patriots 21, Bills 24 | Buffalo Bills ML Moneyline | FD | +193 | 1.00u | +1.93u | W |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Las Vegas Raiders Jaguars 14, Raiders 19 | Jacksonville Jaguars +4.0 Spread · +4.0 | DK | -108 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears Lions 34, Bears 17 | Detroit Lions -17.0 Spread · -17.0 | DK | -114 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Dec 22 | NFL | Arizona Cardinals @ Carolina Panthers Cardinals 30, Panthers 36 | Carolina Panthers -6.0 Spread · -6.0 | DK | -113 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sat, Dec 21 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens Steelers 17, Ravens 34 | Baltimore Ravens -20.0 Spread · -20.0 | BMGM | -111 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sat, Dec 21 | NFL | Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs Texans 19, Chiefs 27 | Houston Texans +1.5 Spread · +1.5 | DK | -111 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Dec 19 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers Broncos 27, Chargers 34 | Denver Broncos +11.0 Spread · +11.0 | BMGM | -115 | 1.00u | +0.87u | W |
| Mon, Dec 16 | NFL | Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings Bears 12, Vikings 30 | Chicago Bears +15.5 Spread · +15.5 | BMGM | -106 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks Packers 30, Seahawks 13 | Green Bay Packers -11.0 Spread · -11.0 | DK | -108 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos Colts 13, Broncos 31 | Indianapolis Colts +23.5 Spread · +23.5 | DK | -111 | 1.00u | +0.90u | W |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Detroit Lions Bills 48, Lions 42 | Buffalo Bills -3.5 Spread · -3.5 | CZR | -110 | 1.00u | +0.91u | W |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | New England Patriots @ Arizona Cardinals Patriots 17, Cardinals 30 | Arizona Cardinals -10.0 Spread · -10.0 | FD | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Los Angeles Chargers Buccaneers 40, Chargers 17 | Los Angeles Chargers +22.5 Spread · +22.5 | DK | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ Carolina Panthers Cowboys 30, Panthers 14 | Carolina Panthers +13.5 Spread · +13.5 | DK | -114 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 15 | NFL | Kansas City Chiefs @ Cleveland Browns Chiefs 21, Browns 7 | Under 29.0 Total · U 29.0 | FD | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Thu, Dec 12 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ San Francisco 49ers Rams 12, 49ers 6 | Los Angeles Rams -6.5 Spread · -6.5 | CZR | -109 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Mon, Dec 9 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ Dallas Cowboys Bengals 27, Cowboys 20 | Under 40.5 Total · U 40.5 | DK | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Dec 8 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams Bills 42, Rams 44 | Buffalo Bills +1.0 Spread · +1.0 | FD | -107 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sun, Dec 8 | NFL | Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers Bears 13, 49ers 38 | Over 54.5 Total · O 54.5 | BMGM | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |