Backtested ledger · Live starts May 9
Slick's track record
Every entry maps to a real game. ESPN finals. Click any row to verify.
Backtested record · Not live picks
Slick's first live play posts May 9, 2026. Everything below was graded after the fact — the engine replayed every line from Sep 2024 to Apr 2025 and we logged the result against the ESPN final. We did not post these calls publicly before the games. Treat them as the model's tape, not as a live track record.
Methodology
Slick's engine ranks every line each morning. It de-vigs Pinnacle to back into the true price, then flags soft-book sides where the gap is real. For the backtest, the engine replayed lines from Sep 2024 through Apr 2025 against ESPN final scores. None of these plays were posted before the games. Live picks start May 9. Every row links to the box score so you can re-grade it.
Backtested record
Sep 2024 → Apr 2025
+101.77u
50.5% win · +10.7% ROI · 332-325-41
Live record
Begins May 9, 2026
1 graded · sample too small to publish
Live stats unlock at 5+ plays.
NCAAF
New for 2026
NBA
Live picks daily
NFL backtest
268 picks · 53.1% · +11.6% ROI
+43.05u · backtested
NCAA Basketball backtest
320 picks · 54.3% · +6.3% ROI
+28.70u · backtested
PGA backtest
110 picks · 34.5% · +22.7% ROI
+30.02u · backtested
Sun, Oct 13·NFL
LJacksonville Jaguars ML
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Chicago Bears · Jaguars 16, Bears 35
Thu, Oct 10·NFL
LSan Francisco 49ers -13.0
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks · 49ers 36, Seahawks 24
Mon, Oct 7·NFL
WNew Orleans Saints +14.0
New Orleans Saints @ Kansas City Chiefs · Saints 13, Chiefs 26
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
LPittsburgh Steelers +2.5
Dallas Cowboys @ Pittsburgh Steelers · Cowboys 20, Steelers 17
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
WLos Angeles Rams +8.0
Green Bay Packers @ Los Angeles Rams · Packers 24, Rams 19
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
LSan Francisco 49ers +0.5
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers · Cardinals 24, 49ers 23
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
LLas Vegas Raiders +8.0
Las Vegas Raiders @ Denver Broncos · Raiders 18, Broncos 34
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
LIndianapolis Colts ML
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Colts 34, Jaguars 37
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
WBuffalo Bills +3.5
Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans · Bills 20, Texans 23
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
WOver 24.5
Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots · Dolphins 15, Patriots 10
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
PBaltimore Ravens -3.0
Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals · Ravens 41, Bengals 38
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
WCarolina Panthers +28.0
Carolina Panthers @ Chicago Bears · Panthers 10, Bears 36
Sun, Oct 6·NFL
LMinnesota Vikings -8.0
New York Jets @ Minnesota Vikings · Jets 17, Vikings 23
Thu, Oct 3·NFL
LTampa Bay Buccaneers ML
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons · Buccaneers 30, Falcons 36
Mon, Sep 30·NFL
LSeattle Seahawks ML
Seattle Seahawks @ Detroit Lions · Seahawks 29, Lions 42
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
WBaltimore Ravens -21.5
Buffalo Bills @ Baltimore Ravens · Bills 10, Ravens 35
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
LUnder 42.0
New England Patriots @ San Francisco 49ers · Patriots 13, 49ers 30
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
LPhiladelphia Eagles +16.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Eagles 16, Buccaneers 33
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
WCarolina Panthers +14.0
Cincinnati Bengals @ Carolina Panthers · Bengals 34, Panthers 24
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
LNew Orleans Saints -1.5
New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons · Saints 24, Falcons 26
Sun, Sep 29·NFL
PChicago Bears -6.0
Los Angeles Rams @ Chicago Bears · Rams 18, Bears 24
Thu, Sep 26·NFL
WNew York Giants +6.0
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants · Cowboys 20, Giants 15
Mon, Sep 23·NFL
WCincinnati Bengals +7.0
Washington Commanders @ Cincinnati Bengals · Commanders 38, Bengals 33
Mon, Sep 23·NFL
PJacksonville Jaguars +37.0
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills · Jaguars 10, Bills 47
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WUnder 54.0
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams · 49ers 24, Rams 27
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
LUnder 23.5
Miami Dolphins @ Seattle Seahawks · Dolphins 3, Seahawks 24
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
LIndianapolis Colts -8.5
Chicago Bears @ Indianapolis Colts · Bears 16, Colts 21
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WDenver Broncos -13.5
Denver Broncos @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Broncos 26, Buccaneers 7
Sun, Sep 22·NFL
WTennessee Titans ML
Green Bay Packers @ Tennessee Titans · Packers 30, Titans 14
Thu, Sep 19·NFL
WUnder 35.0
New England Patriots @ New York Jets · Patriots 3, Jets 24
Mon, Sep 16·NFL
WPhiladelphia Eagles +3.0
Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles · Falcons 22, Eagles 21
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LChicago Bears +5.5
Chicago Bears @ Houston Texans · Bears 13, Texans 19
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LUnder 16.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos · Steelers 13, Broncos 6
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
WCincinnati Bengals +7.0
Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs · Bengals 25, Chiefs 26
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
WBaltimore Ravens +5.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ Baltimore Ravens · Raiders 26, Ravens 23
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
WCleveland Browns -2.0
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars · Browns 18, Jaguars 13
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LSeattle Seahawks -4.5
Seattle Seahawks @ New England Patriots · Seahawks 23, Patriots 20
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
LCarolina Panthers +21.0
Los Angeles Chargers @ Carolina Panthers · Chargers 26, Panthers 3
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
WOver 39.5
New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans · Jets 24, Titans 17
Sun, Sep 15·NFL
WNew Orleans Saints -21.0
New Orleans Saints @ Dallas Cowboys · Saints 44, Cowboys 19
Mon, Sep 9·NFL
LOver 52.0
New York Jets @ San Francisco 49ers · Jets 19, 49ers 32
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LDetroit Lions -9.5
Los Angeles Rams @ Detroit Lions · Rams 20, Lions 26
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LCleveland Browns ML
Dallas Cowboys @ Cleveland Browns · Cowboys 33, Browns 17
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LLos Angeles Chargers -15.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers · Raiders 10, Chargers 22
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LJacksonville Jaguars +2.0
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Miami Dolphins · Jaguars 17, Dolphins 20
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
WPittsburgh Steelers ML
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Atlanta Falcons · Steelers 18, Falcons 10
Sun, Sep 8·NFL
LMinnesota Vikings -24.0
Minnesota Vikings @ New York Giants · Vikings 28, Giants 6
Thu, Sep 5·NFL
LBaltimore Ravens ML
Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs · Ravens 20, Chiefs 27
| Date | Sport | Matchup | Pick | Book | Odds | Units | P/L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 13 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Chicago Bears Jaguars 16, Bears 35 | Jacksonville Jaguars ML Moneyline | FD | +155 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Oct 10 | NFL | San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks 49ers 36, Seahawks 24 | San Francisco 49ers -13.0 Spread · -13.0 | BMGM | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Mon, Oct 7 | NFL | New Orleans Saints @ Kansas City Chiefs Saints 13, Chiefs 26 | New Orleans Saints +14.0 Spread · +14.0 | FD | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ Pittsburgh Steelers Cowboys 20, Steelers 17 | Pittsburgh Steelers +2.5 Spread · +2.5 | DK | -110 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Los Angeles Rams Packers 24, Rams 19 | Los Angeles Rams +8.0 Spread · +8.0 | BMGM | -111 | 1.00u | +0.90u | W |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers Cardinals 24, 49ers 23 | San Francisco 49ers +0.5 Spread · +0.5 | FD | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ Denver Broncos Raiders 18, Broncos 34 | Las Vegas Raiders +8.0 Spread · +8.0 | BMGM | -110 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars Colts 34, Jaguars 37 | Indianapolis Colts ML Moneyline | DK | +162 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans Bills 20, Texans 23 | Buffalo Bills +3.5 Spread · +3.5 | DK | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots Dolphins 15, Patriots 10 | Over 24.5 Total · O 24.5 | DK | -113 | 1.00u | +0.88u | W |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals Ravens 41, Bengals 38 | Baltimore Ravens -3.0 Spread · -3.0 | FD | -108 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | Carolina Panthers @ Chicago Bears Panthers 10, Bears 36 | Carolina Panthers +28.0 Spread · +28.0 | BMGM | -110 | 1.00u | +0.91u | W |
| Sun, Oct 6 | NFL | New York Jets @ Minnesota Vikings Jets 17, Vikings 23 | Minnesota Vikings -8.0 Spread · -8.0 | BMGM | -113 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Oct 3 | NFL | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons Buccaneers 30, Falcons 36 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML Moneyline | DK | +192 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Mon, Sep 30 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ Detroit Lions Seahawks 29, Lions 42 | Seattle Seahawks ML Moneyline | DK | +187 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Buffalo Bills @ Baltimore Ravens Bills 10, Ravens 35 | Baltimore Ravens -21.5 Spread · -21.5 | CZR | -110 | 1.00u | +0.91u | W |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | New England Patriots @ San Francisco 49ers Patriots 13, 49ers 30 | Under 42.0 Total · U 42.0 | CZR | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Eagles 16, Buccaneers 33 | Philadelphia Eagles +16.5 Spread · +16.5 | DK | -111 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ Carolina Panthers Bengals 34, Panthers 24 | Carolina Panthers +14.0 Spread · +14.0 | FD | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons Saints 24, Falcons 26 | New Orleans Saints -1.5 Spread · -1.5 | DK | -114 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 29 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ Chicago Bears Rams 18, Bears 24 | Chicago Bears -6.0 Spread · -6.0 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Thu, Sep 26 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants Cowboys 20, Giants 15 | New York Giants +6.0 Spread · +6.0 | BMGM | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Mon, Sep 23 | NFL | Washington Commanders @ Cincinnati Bengals Commanders 38, Bengals 33 | Cincinnati Bengals +7.0 Spread · +7.0 | CZR | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Mon, Sep 23 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Buffalo Bills Jaguars 10, Bills 47 | Jacksonville Jaguars +37.0 Spread · +37.0 | CZR | -114 | 1.00u | 0.00u | P |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams 49ers 24, Rams 27 | Under 54.0 Total · U 54.0 | DK | -105 | 1.00u | +0.95u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Miami Dolphins @ Seattle Seahawks Dolphins 3, Seahawks 24 | Under 23.5 Total · U 23.5 | BMGM | -112 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Chicago Bears @ Indianapolis Colts Bears 16, Colts 21 | Indianapolis Colts -8.5 Spread · -8.5 | FD | -112 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Denver Broncos @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Broncos 26, Buccaneers 7 | Denver Broncos -13.5 Spread · -13.5 | BMGM | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Sep 22 | NFL | Green Bay Packers @ Tennessee Titans Packers 30, Titans 14 | Tennessee Titans ML Moneyline | FD | +204 | 1.00u | +2.04u | W |
| Thu, Sep 19 | NFL | New England Patriots @ New York Jets Patriots 3, Jets 24 | Under 35.0 Total · U 35.0 | FD | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Mon, Sep 16 | NFL | Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles Falcons 22, Eagles 21 | Philadelphia Eagles +3.0 Spread · +3.0 | CZR | -108 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Chicago Bears @ Houston Texans Bears 13, Texans 19 | Chicago Bears +5.5 Spread · +5.5 | BMGM | -114 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos Steelers 13, Broncos 6 | Under 16.5 Total · U 16.5 | DK | -106 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs Bengals 25, Chiefs 26 | Cincinnati Bengals +7.0 Spread · +7.0 | FD | -109 | 1.00u | +0.92u | W |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ Baltimore Ravens Raiders 26, Ravens 23 | Baltimore Ravens +5.5 Spread · +5.5 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars Browns 18, Jaguars 13 | Cleveland Browns -2.0 Spread · -2.0 | BMGM | -112 | 1.00u | +0.89u | W |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ New England Patriots Seahawks 23, Patriots 20 | Seattle Seahawks -4.5 Spread · -4.5 | BMGM | -107 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | Los Angeles Chargers @ Carolina Panthers Chargers 26, Panthers 3 | Carolina Panthers +21.0 Spread · +21.0 | DK | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans Jets 24, Titans 17 | Over 39.5 Total · O 39.5 | BMGM | -113 | 1.00u | +0.88u | W |
| Sun, Sep 15 | NFL | New Orleans Saints @ Dallas Cowboys Saints 44, Cowboys 19 | New Orleans Saints -21.0 Spread · -21.0 | BMGM | -108 | 1.00u | +0.93u | W |
| Mon, Sep 9 | NFL | New York Jets @ San Francisco 49ers Jets 19, 49ers 32 | Over 52.0 Total · O 52.0 | FD | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Los Angeles Rams @ Detroit Lions Rams 20, Lions 26 | Detroit Lions -9.5 Spread · -9.5 | DK | -112 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Dallas Cowboys @ Cleveland Browns Cowboys 33, Browns 17 | Cleveland Browns ML Moneyline | DK | +239 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers Raiders 10, Chargers 22 | Los Angeles Chargers -15.5 Spread · -15.5 | FD | -115 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Miami Dolphins Jaguars 17, Dolphins 20 | Jacksonville Jaguars +2.0 Spread · +2.0 | DK | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Atlanta Falcons Steelers 18, Falcons 10 | Pittsburgh Steelers ML Moneyline | DK | +182 | 1.00u | +1.82u | W |
| Sun, Sep 8 | NFL | Minnesota Vikings @ New York Giants Vikings 28, Giants 6 | Minnesota Vikings -24.0 Spread · -24.0 | BMGM | -105 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |
| Thu, Sep 5 | NFL | Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs Ravens 20, Chiefs 27 | Baltimore Ravens ML Moneyline | DK | +204 | 1.00u | -1.00u | L |